Smartphone Technologies for Social Network Data Generation and Infectious Disease Modeling

This paper presents a means of collecting and analyzing data related to personal social contact networks. A custom application is developed for smartphones that support Bluetooth connectivity, as representative of the ensemble of many consumer electronic products, to infer users' location and proximity to one another, the duration of such proximity ('contact'), and GPS-based information. In many instances of testing the application in this work, this is augmented by device meta-identity. The smartphone application and data storage and retrieval are discussed in detail. Preliminary data were collected (device-device proximity, proximity duration, and location) in pilot testing on the Blackberry Storm and HTC Hero (Android) smartphones. Data are presented as distributions and visualization tools for evolving contact graphs, including Pareto distributions and power law exponents representing face-to-face contacts. Extracted parameters are useful for estimating the potential of infection spread (e.g., respiratory illness), where a key transmission vector is person-person contact. A variant of the standard SEIR individual-based model is developed, with individual contact patterns guided by contact distributions extracted from the smartphone proximity data. Finally, a detailed agent-based model (ABM) of a small community is developed and the spread of an infectious disease is simulated. The data from the ABM is then analyzed in terms of proximity distributions across various demographic profiles, illustrating the utility of the proposed data collection technologies in supporting advancing modeling and simulation efforts associated with infectious diseases.

[1]  J. Price GO TO THE ANT...... , 1969, British Journal of Psychiatry.

[2]  P. Kaye Infectious diseases of humans: Dynamics and control , 1993 .

[3]  H. Van Dyke Parunak,et al.  "Go to the ant": Engineering principles from natural multi-agent systems , 1997, Ann. Oper. Res..

[4]  Herbert W. Hethcote,et al.  The Mathematics of Infectious Diseases , 2000, SIAM Rev..

[5]  Lada A. Adamic,et al.  Zipf's law and the Internet , 2002, Glottometrics.

[6]  Eric Bonabeau,et al.  Agent-based modeling: Methods and techniques for simulating human systems , 2002, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.

[7]  Meredith Rolfe,et al.  Social networks and simulations , 2004 .

[8]  A. McMichael,et al.  Environmental and social influences on emerging infectious diseases: past, present and future. , 2004, Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences.

[9]  Kathleen M. Carley,et al.  BioWar: scalable agent-based model of bioattacks , 2006, IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics - Part A: Systems and Humans.

[10]  Christopher T. McCaw,et al.  A Biological Model for Influenza Transmission: Pandemic Planning Implications of Asymptomatic Infection and Immunity , 2007, PloS one.

[11]  Herbert W. Hethcote,et al.  Mixing patterns between age groups in social networks , 2007, Soc. Networks.

[12]  Phillip D. Stroud,et al.  Spatial Dynamics of Pandemic Influenza in a Massive Artificial Society , 2007, J. Artif. Soc. Soc. Simul..

[13]  Pan Hui,et al.  Wireless Epidemic Spread in Dynamic Human Networks , 2008, BIOWIRE.

[14]  Fred Brauer,et al.  Compartmental Models in Epidemiology , 2008, Mathematical Epidemiology.

[15]  R. Mikolajczyk,et al.  Social Contacts and Mixing Patterns Relevant to the Spread of Infectious Diseases , 2008, PLoS medicine.

[16]  R.D. McLeod,et al.  Epidemic Modeling with Discrete Space Scheduled Walkers , 2008, 2008 19th International Conference on Systems Engineering.

[17]  David Lazer,et al.  Inferring friendship network structure by using mobile phone data , 2009, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[18]  Danny Weyns,et al.  Multi-Agent Systems , 2009 .

[19]  M. Laskowski,et al.  Models of Emergency Departments for Reducing Patient Waiting Times , 2009, PloS one.

[20]  Alessandro Vespignani,et al.  Comparing large-scale computational approaches to epidemic modeling: Agent-based versus structured metapopulation models , 2010, BMC infectious diseases.

[21]  A. Barrat,et al.  Simulation of an SEIR infectious disease model on the dynamic contact network of conference attendees , 2011, BMC medicine.