National population forecasting in industrialized countries.

This book gives a detailed account of the current practices that statistical agencies in thirty industrialized countries follow in producing official population forecasts at the national level. International comparisons are given for methodological aspects and for assumption levels regarding fertility mortality and international migration. In addition new approaches for modelling and extrapolating fertility for the use of birth expectations for the analysis of mortality and for handling forecast uncertainty are presented. The book concludes with discussions on research needs and future aspects regarding national population forecasting. (EXCERPT)