Levelised costs of Wave and Tidal energy in the UK: Cost competitiveness and the importance of "banded" Renewables Obligation Certificates

In this paper, publicly available cost data are used to calculate the private levelised costs of two marine energy technologies for UK electricity generation: Wave and Tidal Stream power. These estimates are compared to those for ten other electricity generation technologies whose costs were identified by the UK Government (DTI, 2006). Under plausible assumptions for costs and performance, point estimates of the levelised costs of Wave and Tidal Stream generation are £190 and £81/MWh, respectively. Sensitivity analysis shows how these relative private levelised costs calculations are affected by variation in key parameters, specifically the assumed capital costs, fuel costs and the discount rate. We also consider the impact of the introduction of technology-differentiated financial support for renewable energy on the cost competitiveness of Wave and Tidal Stream power. Further, we compare the impact of the current UK government support level to the more generous degree of assistance for marine technologies that is proposed by the Scottish government.

[1]  Leo Schrattenholzer,et al.  Learning rates for energy technologies , 2001 .

[2]  MICHAEL B. Jones,et al.  Current and future financial competitiveness of electricity and heat from energy crops: A case study from Ireland , 2007 .

[3]  Wim Turkenburg,et al.  Global experience curves for wind farms , 2005 .

[4]  Ian F. Roth,et al.  Incorporating externalities into a full cost approach to electric power generation life-cycle costing , 2004 .

[5]  T. Stallard,et al.  A comparative approach to the economic modelling of a large-scale wave power scheme , 2008, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[6]  Tim Stallard,et al.  Concurrent and legacy economic and environmental impacts from establishing a marine energy sector in Scotland , 2008 .

[7]  Daniel M. Kammen,et al.  ASSESSING THE COSTS OF ELECTRICITY , 2004 .

[8]  J. Olsen,et al.  On what basis should health be discounted? , 1993, Journal of health economics.

[9]  Jin-Won Park,et al.  Economic comparison between coal-fired and liquefied natural gas combined cycle power plants considering carbon tax: Korean case , 2008 .

[10]  G. Sinden Characteristics of the UK wind resource: Long-term patterns and relationship to electricity demand , 2007 .

[11]  Lena Neij,et al.  Cost development of future technologies for power generation--A study based on experience curves and complementary bottom-up assessments , 2008 .

[12]  Timothy C. Green,et al.  Intermittent renewable generation and the cost of maintaining power system reliability , 2008 .

[13]  Lena Neij,et al.  Use of experience curves to analyse the prospects for diffusion and adoption of renewable energy technology , 1997 .

[14]  Joseph Andrew Clarke,et al.  Regulating the output characteristics of tidal current power stations to facilitate better base load matching over the lunar cycle , 2006 .

[15]  Lena Neij,et al.  Cost dynamics of wind power , 1999 .

[16]  G. Heal Discounting: A Review of the Basic Economics , 2007 .

[17]  Jürgen Rheinländer,et al.  Economic analysis of integrated solar combined cycle power plants , 2004 .