The radiative effects of clouds and their impact on climate

Our knowledge of the direct role of clouds in long-term climate change is examined in an overview of key results published over the last 15 or 20 years, along with some relevant unpublished model studies. The focus is on 1) the impact of clouds on the incoming and outgoing radiation at the top of the atmosphere, and 2) the two-way interaction of clouds with other variables of the climate system—i.e., the cloud/climate feedback problem—as revealed by climate model simulations. A common framework is established for comparing results from different investigations. The total effect of clouds on radiative fluxes at the top of the atmosphere—specifically, the difference in flux between average conditions and cloud-free conditions, often called cloud forcing–has been derived from earth radiation budget measurements by several investigators using various data sources and methods. There is general agreement that the annual global mean effect of clouds is to cool the climate system, but there is significant disagre...