Power tailed ruin probabilities in the presence of risky investments

The present paper addresses the situation where the reserve of an insurance business is currently invested in an asset that may yield negative interest. Upper and lower bounds for the probability of ruin are obtained in the case where the cash flow of premiums less claims and the logarithm of the asset price are both Levy processes. These bounds are in general power functions of the initial reserve.

[1]  R. Norberg Ruin problems with assets and liabilities of diffusion type , 1999 .

[2]  William Feller,et al.  An Introduction to Probability Theory and Its Applications , 1967 .

[3]  P. Embrechts,et al.  Estimates for the probability of ruin with special emphasis on the possibility of large claims , 1982 .

[4]  J. Grandell Aspects of Risk Theory , 1991 .

[5]  Jan Grandell,et al.  Simple approximations of ruin probabilities , 2000 .

[6]  J. Michael Harrison,et al.  Ruin problems with compounding assets , 1977 .

[7]  V. Kalashnikov,et al.  Two-sided bounds of ruin probabilities , 1996 .

[8]  William Feller,et al.  An Introduction to Probability Theory and Its Applications , 1951 .

[9]  Jostein Paulsen,et al.  Risk theory in a stochastic economic environment , 1993 .

[10]  C. Goldie IMPLICIT RENEWAL THEORY AND TAILS OF SOLUTIONS OF RANDOM EQUATIONS , 1991 .

[11]  H. Nyrhinen,et al.  On the ruin probabilities in a general economic environment , 1999 .

[12]  C. Klüppelberg,et al.  Modelling Extremal Events , 1997 .

[13]  H. Kesten Random difference equations and Renewal theory for products of random matrices , 1973 .

[14]  V. Kalashnikov,et al.  Geometric Sums: Bounds for Rare Events with Applications: Risk Analysis, Reliability, Queueing , 1997 .

[15]  Jostein Paulsen,et al.  Ruin theory with compounding assets -- a survey , 1998 .

[16]  W. Feller,et al.  An Introduction to Probability Theory and Its Applications, Vol. II , 1972, The Mathematical Gazette.