Measuring Returns on Investments in Collectibles

This paper considers the question of how to measure and interpret the financial return to investing in collectibles. We review various methodologies for creating priced indexes and then discuss studies that explicitly calculate a rate of return to some set of collectibles. While most collectibles appear to yield positive real returns, the majority embody more risk and yield lower financial returns than stocks. Other characteristics of collectibles prices, such as covariance with other asset prices, are also examined.

[1]  D. Dannefer Rationality and Passion in Private Experience: Modern Consciousness and the Social World of Old-Car Collectors , 1980 .

[2]  Diane Gershon Liquid assets , 1990, Nature.

[3]  Corinna Czujack,et al.  Picasso Paintings at Auction, 1963–1994 , 1997 .

[4]  John L. Kling,et al.  Stamp Returns and Economic Factors , 1995 .

[5]  Elizabeth Jaeger,et al.  To Save or Savor: The Rate of Return to Storing Wine , 1981, Journal of Political Economy.

[6]  Brenda Danet,et al.  No two alike: Play and aesthetics in collecting. , 1989 .

[7]  J. Stein,et al.  The Monetary Appreciation of Paintings , 1977, Journal of Political Economy.

[8]  Hanan G. Jacoby The Economics of Polygyny in Sub-Saharan Africa: Female Productivity and the Demand for Wives in Côte d'Ivoire , 1995, Journal of Political Economy.

[9]  O. Ashenfelter How Auctions Work for Wine and Art , 1989 .

[10]  Robert C Anderson,et al.  PAINTINGS AS AN INVESTMENT , 1974 .

[11]  Alex Kane Coins: Anatomy of a fad asset , 1984 .

[12]  Victor Ginsburgh,et al.  Revisiting Baumol's Art as floating crap game , 1993 .

[13]  Lars P. Feld,et al.  The Impact of Museum Purchase on the Auction Prices of Paintings , 1997 .

[14]  O. Ashenfelter,et al.  Predicting the Quality of an Unborn Grange , 1995 .

[15]  Kathryn Graddy,et al.  Declining Values and the Afternoon Effect: Evidence from Art Auctions , 1997 .

[16]  William J. Baumol,et al.  Unnatural Value: Or Art Investment as Floating Crap Game , 1985 .

[17]  W. Goetzmann The Informational Efficiency of the Art Market , 1995 .

[18]  Myron H. Ross,et al.  Capital Gains and the Rate of Return on a Stradivarius , 1989 .

[19]  V. Ginsburgh,et al.  Prices and Returns on Paintings: An Exercise on How to Price the Priceless , 1994 .

[20]  R. Belk Collecting as luxury consumption : effects on individuals and households , 1995 .

[21]  William N. Goetzmann,et al.  Accounting for Taste: Art and the Financial Markets over Three Centuries , 1993 .

[22]  Bruno S. Frey,et al.  Art Investment: An Empirical Inquiry , 1989 .

[23]  Dow Jones Co Far Eastern economic review , 2000 .

[24]  W. M. Taylor The Estimation of Quality-adjusted Rates of Return in Stamp Auctions , 1983 .

[25]  Olivier Chanel,et al.  Is art market behaviour predictable , 1995 .

[26]  Richard B. Coffman Art investment and asymmetrical information , 1991 .

[27]  G. Candela,et al.  A Price Index for Art Market Auctions , 1997 .

[28]  A. D. Olmsted Hobbies and Serious Leisure , 1993 .

[29]  W. Pearman,et al.  RATIONALIZATION AND ANTIQUE COLLECTING , 1983 .

[30]  B. Frey Art Markets and Economics: Introduction , 1997 .

[31]  V. Ginsburgh,et al.  Land Artists and Art Markets , 1997 .

[32]  Leon G. Schiffman,et al.  Swatch fever: An allegory for understanding the paradox of collecting , 1997 .

[33]  J. E. Pesando,et al.  Art as an Investment: The Market for Modern Prints , 1993 .

[34]  J. Pompe An Investment Flash: The Rate of Return for Photographs , 1996 .

[35]  Douglas Rigby,et al.  Lock, stock and barrel , 1944 .

[36]  G. Tappeiner,et al.  Light and shadow in art price computation , 1993 .

[37]  Paul Graeser,et al.  Rate of Return to Investment in American Antique Furniture , 1993 .

[38]  Laurence B. Siegel,et al.  World wealth , 1985 .

[39]  Joyce P. Jacobsen,et al.  The Rate of Return on Investment in Wine , 2001 .

[40]  An appetite for living. , 1993 .

[41]  R. J. Agnello,et al.  Financial returns, price determinants, and genre effects in American art investment , 1996 .

[42]  Sidney Homer,et al.  A History of Interest Rates. , 1964 .

[43]  M. Spiegel,et al.  Private value components, and the winner's curse in an art index , 1995 .

[44]  Susan M. Pearce,et al.  On Collecting: An Investigation into Collecting in the European Tradition , 1995 .

[45]  Russell W. Belk,et al.  Collecting in a consumer society , 1995 .

[46]  Michael B. Schiffer,et al.  Waste Not, Want Not: An Ethnoarchaeological Study of Reuse in Tucson, Arizona , 1981 .

[47]  B. Frey,et al.  On the rate of return in the art market: Survey and evaluation , 1995 .

[48]  Victor Ginsburgh,et al.  Absentee Bidders and the Declining Price Anomaly in Wine Auctions , 1998, Journal of Political Economy.

[49]  Thomas H. Mcinish,et al.  The determinants of investment in collectibles: A probit analysis , 1982 .

[50]  W. S. Krasker The Rate of Return to Storing Wines , 1979, Journal of Political Economy.

[51]  M. Stoller The economics of collectible goods , 1984 .

[52]  V. Ginsburgh,et al.  Long-term comovements in international markets for paintings , 1995 .

[53]  J. E. Pesando,et al.  The Returns to Picasso's Prints and to Traditional Financial Assets, 1977 to 1996 , 1999 .

[54]  Thomas R. Noland,et al.  The Volatility of the Pe Ratio and its Components: A Contrast of Japanese and U.S. Markets , 1995 .

[55]  V. Ginsburgh,et al.  The relevance of hedonic price indices , 1996 .

[56]  C. Delorme,et al.  Price Determination for a Collectible Good: The Case of Rare United States Coins , 1994 .

[57]  Richard Goy,et al.  Short Holds, the Distributions of First and Second Sales, and Bias in the Repeat-Sales Price Index , 1997 .

[58]  Returns of impressionist, modern and contemporary European paintings , 1994 .

[59]  B. Frey,et al.  On the return of art investment return analyses , 1995 .