Credit Risk Assessment Using Rough Set Theory and GA-Based SVM

This paper applies a. classifier, hybridizing rough set approach and improved support vector machine(SVM) using genetic optimization algorithm (GA), to the study of credit risk assessment in commercial banks. We can get reduced information table, which implies that the number of evaluation criteria, such as financial ratios and qualitative variables is reduced with no information loss through rough set approach. And then, this reduced information table is used to develop classification rules and train SVM. Especially, in order to improve the assessment accuracy, GA is applied to optimize the parameters of SVM classifier. The rationale of our hybrid system is using rules developed by rough sets for an object that matches any of the rules and SVM for one that dose not match any of them. The effectiveness of our methodology was verified by experiments comparing traditional discriminant analysis (DA) model, BP neural networks (BPN) and standard SVM with our approach.

[1]  Serpil Canbas,et al.  Prediction of commercial bank failure via multivariate statistical analysis of financial structures: The Turkish case , 2005, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[2]  W. Perraudin,et al.  Regulatory implications of credit risk modelling , 2000 .

[3]  Heribert Popp,et al.  Genetically optimized neural network classifiers for bankruptcy prediction-an empirical study , 1996, Proceedings of HICSS-29: 29th Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences.

[4]  Nello Cristianini,et al.  An introduction to Support Vector Machines , 2000 .

[5]  Xi Bao,et al.  AHP-ANN Based Credit Risk Assessment for Commercial Banks , 2004 .

[6]  Kyung-shik Shin,et al.  A genetic algorithm application in bankruptcy prediction modeling , 2002, Expert Syst. Appl..

[7]  Zdzislaw Pawlak,et al.  Rough sets and intelligent data analysis , 2002, Inf. Sci..

[8]  Renpu Li,et al.  Mining classification rules using rough sets and neural networks , 2004, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[9]  Kyung-shik Shin,et al.  An application of support vector machines in bankruptcy prediction model , 2005, Expert Syst. Appl..

[10]  Dustin Boswell,et al.  Introduction to Support Vector Machines , 2002 .

[11]  Christopher M. Bishop,et al.  Mixtures of Probabilistic Principal Component Analyzers , 1999, Neural Computation.

[12]  Timo Salmi,et al.  THE GENERALIZED ASSOCIATION BETWEEN FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND SECURITY CHARACTERISTICS , 1997 .

[13]  Byeong Seok Ahn,et al.  The integrated methodology of rough set theory and artificial neural network for business failure prediction , 2000 .

[14]  Marc Blum FAILING COMPANY DISCRIMINANT-ANALYSIS , 1974 .

[15]  Arthur K. Kordon,et al.  Fault diagnosis based on Fisher discriminant analysis and support vector machines , 2004, Comput. Chem. Eng..

[16]  Carl Gold,et al.  Model selection for support vector machine classification , 2002, Neurocomputing.