Come Rain or Shine: Evidence on Flood Insurance Purchases in Florida

In the U.S., flood insurance is provided essentially through the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP), a public-private program established in 1968. In the past 10 years, the program has radically expanded to cover $1.1 trillion in assets today. This paper provides a detailed analysis of the largest flood insurance sample ever studied by focusing on the state of Florida, which accounts for 40 percent of the entire NFIP portfolio. We study the demand for flood insurance with a database of more than 7.5 million flood policies-in-force for the years 2000-2005, and all the claims filed in Florida during that period. We answer four questions: What are the characteristics of the buyers of flood insurance? What types of contracts (deductibles and coverage levels) are purchased? Where and when are claims paid and to what extent does mitigation work? How are prices determined and how much does NFIP insurance cost? Given the recent significant increase in the cost of catastrophes worldwide and the debate about the role that insurance can play to enhance adaptation to climate change, the responses to these questions shall be of interest to other countries too.

[1]  Robert Blair Vocci Geology , 1882, Nature.

[2]  E. S. Overman The Flood Peril and the Federal Flood Insurance Act of 1956 , 1957 .

[3]  Flood Insurance: Can a Feasible Program Be Created? , 1958 .

[4]  Victor Gerdes Insuring the Flood Peril , 1963 .

[5]  Dan R. Anderson The National Flood Insurance Program. Problems and Potential , 1974 .

[6]  H. Kunreuther Disaster Insurance Protection: Public Policy Lessons , 1978 .

[7]  Paul J. H. Schoemaker,et al.  An Experimental Study of Insurance Decisons , 1979 .

[8]  S. Pritchett,et al.  Comparison of Ordinary Life Operating Expense Ratios for Agency and Nonagency Insurers , 1979 .

[9]  H. Kunreuther The Changing Societal Consequences of Risks from Natural Hazards , 1979 .

[10]  E. W. Shows,et al.  A Status Report on the National Flood Insurance Program. Mid 1978 , 1979 .

[11]  Gary W. Eldred How Wisely Do Consumers Select Their Property and Liability Insurance Coverages , 1980 .

[12]  J. C. Flanagan The American Institutes for Research. , 1984 .

[13]  James C. Murdoch,et al.  Uncertain Hazards, Insurance, and Consumer Choice: Evidence from Housing Markets , 1987 .

[14]  Don N. MacDonald,et al.  Flood Hazard Pricing and Insurance Premium Differentials: Evidence From the Housing Market , 1990 .

[15]  Leslie E. Papke,et al.  Econometric Methods for Fractional Response Variables with an Application to 401(K) Plan Participation Rates , 1993 .

[16]  Y. Chen [The change of serum alpha 1-antitrypsin level in patients with spontaneous pneumothorax]. , 1995, Zhonghua jie he he hu xi za zhi = Zhonghua jiehe he huxi zazhi = Chinese journal of tuberculosis and respiratory diseases.

[17]  M. Browne,et al.  The Demand for Flood Insurance: Empirical Evidence , 1999 .

[18]  Howard Kunreuther,et al.  Paying the price : the status and role of insurance against natural disasters in the United States , 2000 .

[19]  Charles A. Perry,et al.  Significant Floods in the United States During the 20th century - USGS Measures a Century of Floods , 2000 .

[20]  Robert E. Criss,et al.  Flood enhancement through flood control , 2001 .

[21]  Wyo Clearinghouse,et al.  NATIONAL FLOOD INSURANCE PROGRAM , 2001 .

[22]  FLOOD INSURANCE: Extent of Noncompliance with Purchase Requirements Is Unknown , 2002 .

[23]  Richard Zeckhauser,et al.  Extending the Theory to Meet the Practice of Insurance , 2004 .

[24]  Alexander Muermann,et al.  The Impact of Regret on the Demand for Insurance , 2004 .

[25]  C. Landry,et al.  Participation in the National Flood Insurance Program: An Empirical Analysis for Coastal Properties , 2004 .

[26]  Corinne Calfee,et al.  The National Flood Insurance Program's Mandatory Purchase Requirement: Policies, Processes, and Stakeholders , 2005 .

[27]  L. Dixon,et al.  The National Flood Insurance Program’s Market Penetration Rate , 2006 .

[28]  Howard Kunreuther,et al.  Climate Change, Insurability of Large-Scale Disasters and the Emerging Liability Challenge , 2007 .

[29]  The Lender-Placed Flood Insurance Market for Residential Properties , 2007 .

[30]  GAO-09-12 Flood Insurance: FEMA's Rate-Setting Process Warrants Attention , 2008 .

[31]  Okmyung Bin,et al.  Flood Hazards, Insurance Rates, and Amenities: Evidence from the Coastal Housing Market , 2008 .

[32]  Long Term Insurance (Lti) for Addressing Catastrophe Risk , 2008 .

[33]  R. Stouffer,et al.  Stationarity Is Dead: Whither Water Management? , 2008, Science.

[34]  Howard Kunreuther,et al.  Market and Government Failure in Insuring and Mitigating Natural Catastrophes: How Long-Term Contracts Can Help , 2009 .

[35]  C. Kousky Learning from Extreme Events: Risk Perceptions after the Flood , 2010, Land Economics.