Aplicação da transformada wavelet discreta na previsão de carga a curto prazo via redes neurais

The importance of short-term load forecasting has been increasing lately. With deregulation and competition, energy price forecasting has become a big business. Bus-load forecasting is essential to feed analytical methods utilized for determining energy prices. The variability and non-stationarity of loads are becoming worse due to the dynamics of energy prices. Besides, the number of nodal loads to be predicted does not allow frequent interventions from load forecasting experts. More autonomous load predictors are needed in the new competitive scenario. This paper proposes a novel wavelet transform-based technique for short-term load forecasting via neural networks. Its main goal is to develop more robust load forecasters. Two whole years of load data from a North-American electric utility has been used in order to test the proposed methodology.