Social interactions, local spillovers and unemployment

I analyse a model that explicitly incorporates local interactions and allows agents to exchange information about job openings within their social networks. Agents are more likely to be employed if their social contacts are also employed. The model generates a stationary distribution of unemployment that exhibits positive spatial correlations. I estimate the model via an indirect inference procedure, using Census Tract data for Chicago. I find a significantly positive amount of social interactions across neighbouring tracts. The local spillovers are stronger for areas with less educated workers and higher fractions of minorities. Furthermore, they are shaped by ethnic dividing lines and neighbourhood boundaries.

[1]  D. Ellwood The Spatial Mismatch Hypothesis: are There Teenage Jobs Missing in the Ghetto? , 1983 .

[2]  Enrique Andjel Survival of multidimensional contact process in random environments , 1992 .

[3]  R. Bénabou Equity and Efficiency in Human Capital Investment: The Local Connection , 1996 .

[4]  Harry J. Holzer,et al.  The Spatial Mismatch Hypothesis: What Has the Evidence Shown? , 1991 .

[5]  S. Durlauf Neighborhood Feedbacks, Endogenous Stratification, and Income Inequality , 1993 .

[6]  Charles E. Connerly The Community Question , 1985 .

[7]  Timothy G. Conley,et al.  Socio-economic Distance and Spatial Patterns in Unemployment Journal of Applied Econometrics 17 , 2002 .

[8]  A. Case Spatial Patterns in Household Demand , 1991 .

[9]  William L. Goffe SIMANN: A Global Optimization Algorithm using Simulated Annealing , 1996 .

[10]  Daniel Aaronson,et al.  Using sibling data to estimate the impact of neighborhoods on children's educational outcomes , 1998 .

[11]  Lars Peter Hansen,et al.  Seasonality and approximation errors in rational expectations models , 1993 .

[12]  C. Fischer To Dwell Among Friends , 1982 .

[13]  M. Feldman,et al.  R&D spillovers and the ge-ography of innovation and production , 1996 .

[14]  J. Coleman,et al.  Social Capital in the Creation of Human Capital , 1988, American Journal of Sociology.

[15]  L. Hansen Large Sample Properties of Generalized Method of Moments Estimators , 1982 .

[16]  David L. Sjoquist,et al.  The Effect of Job Access on Black and White Youth Employment: A Cross-sectional Analysis , 1991 .

[17]  S. Bikhchandani,et al.  You have printed the following article : A Theory of Fads , Fashion , Custom , and Cultural Change as Informational Cascades , 2007 .

[18]  George Tauchen New Minimum Chi-Square Methods in Empirical Finance , 1996 .

[19]  William L. Goffe,et al.  SIMANN: FORTRAN module to perform Global Optimization of Statistical Functions with Simulated Annealing , 1992 .

[20]  David L. Sjoquist,et al.  Job Accessibility and Racial Differences in Youth Employment Rates , 1990 .

[21]  Steven B. Andrews,et al.  Structural Holes: The Social Structure of Competition , 1995, The SAGE Encyclopedia of Research Design.

[22]  G. Duncan,et al.  Do neighborhoods influence child and adolescent behavior , 1992 .

[23]  N. Cressie,et al.  Statistics for Spatial Data. , 1992 .

[24]  Timothy G. Conley GMM estimation with cross sectional dependence , 1999 .

[25]  A. Mood,et al.  Equality of Educational Opportunity. , 1967 .

[26]  Network Effects and Welfare Cultures , 1998 .

[27]  Robert Haining,et al.  Statistics for spatial data: by Noel Cressie, 1991, John Wiley & Sons, New York, 900 p., ISBN 0-471-84336-9, US $89.95 , 1993 .

[28]  A. Banerjee,et al.  A Simple Model of Herd Behavior , 1992 .

[29]  S. Goyal,et al.  Learning from neighbours , 1998 .

[30]  C. Manski Identification of Endogenous Social Effects: The Reflection Problem , 1993 .

[31]  Mark S. Granovetter Getting a Job: A Study of Contacts and Careers , 1974 .

[32]  N. Milburn To Dwell Among Friends: Personal Networks in Town and City. , 1983 .

[33]  J. Montgomery Social Networks and Labor-Market Outcomes: Toward an Economic Analysis , 1991 .

[34]  T. E. Harris Contact Interactions on a Lattice , 1974 .

[35]  Barry Wellman,et al.  Are personal communities local? A Dumptarian reconsideration☆ , 1996 .

[36]  P. V. Marsden,et al.  Homogeneity in confiding relations , 1988 .

[37]  J. Crane The Epidemic Theory of Ghettos and Neighborhood Effects on Dropping Out and Teenage Childbearing , 1991, American Journal of Sociology.

[38]  Gary Solon,et al.  Effects of Family and Community Background on Men&Apos;S Economic Status , 1989 .

[39]  P. V. Marsden,et al.  Core Discussion Networks of Americans , 1987 .

[40]  A. Hunter The Local Community Fact Book: Chicago Metropolitan Area , 1984 .

[41]  J. Ludwig,et al.  Urban Poverty and Juvenile Crime: Evidence from a Randomized Housing-Mobility Experiment , 2001 .

[42]  W. Wilson The truly disadvantaged : the inner city, the underclass, and public policy , 1988 .

[43]  E. Glaeser,et al.  Crime and Social Interactions , 1995 .

[44]  Lawrence F. Katz,et al.  The Company You Keep: The Effects of Family and Neighborhood on Disadvantaged Youths , 1991 .

[45]  T. Liggett Interacting Particle Systems , 1985 .

[46]  Roberto H. Schonmann,et al.  A New Look at Contact Processes in Several Dimensions , 1987 .

[47]  James J. Heckman,et al.  Handbook of Econometrics , 1985 .

[48]  Thomas M. Liggett,et al.  The Survival of One-Dimensional Contact Processes in Random Environments , 1992 .

[49]  Steven N. Durlauf,et al.  Interactions-Based Models , 2000 .

[50]  A. Hunter Symbolic communities: The persistence and change of Chicago's local communities , 1974 .

[51]  S. Durlauf A theory of persistent income inequality , 1992 .

[52]  Jonathan P. Thomas,et al.  Self-Enforcing Wage Contracts , 1988 .

[53]  James E. Rauch Does History Matter Only When it Matters Little? the Case of City-Indu Try Location , 1993 .

[54]  R. Bénabou Workings of a City: Location, Education, and Production , 1991 .