Extrasolar planet population synthesis I: Method, formation tracks and mass-distance distribution

With the high number of extrasolar planets discovered by now, it becomes possible to constrain theoretical formation models in a statistical sense. This paper is the first in a series in which we carry out a large number of planet population synthesis calculations. We begin the series with a paper mainly dedicated to the presentation of our approach, but also the discussion of a representative synthetic planetary population of solar like stars. Based as tightly as possible on observational data, we have derived probability distributions for the most important initial conditions for the planetary formation process. We then draw sets of initial conditions from these distributions and obtain the corresponding synthetic planets with our formation model. Although the main purpose of this paper is the description of our methods, we present some key results: We find that the variation of the initial conditions in the limits occurring in nature leads to the formation of planets of large diversity. This formation process is best visualized in planetary formation tracks, where different phases of concurrent growth and migration can be identified. These phases lead to the emergence of sub-populations of planets distinguishable in a mass-semimajor axis diagram. The most important ones are the "failed cores", a vast group of core-dominated low mass planets, the "horizontal branch", a sub-population of Neptune mass planets extending out to 6 AU, and the "main clump", a concentration of giant gaseous giants planets at around 0.3-2 AU.

[1]  S. Weidenschilling Accretion of planetary embryos in the inner and outer solar system , 2008 .

[2]  John C B Papaloizou,et al.  Planet formation and migration , 2006 .

[3]  C. Hayashi Structure of the Solar Nebula, Growth and Decay of Magnetic Fields and Effects of Magnetic and Turbulent Viscosities on the Nebula , 1981 .

[4]  Shigeru Ida,et al.  Toward a Deterministic Model of Planetary Formation. II. The Formation and Retention of Gas Giant Planets around Stars with a Range of Metallicities , 2004, astro-ph/0408019.

[5]  D. Lin,et al.  On the tidal interaction between protoplanets and the primordial solar nebula. I - Linear calculation of the role of angular momentum exchange , 1984 .

[6]  Portugal,et al.  Statistical properties of exoplanets - I. The period distribution: Constraints for the migration scenario , 2003, astro-ph/0306049.

[7]  Lynne Hillenbrand,et al.  On the Evolutionary Status of Class I Stars and Herbig-Haro Energy Sources in Taurus-Auriga , 2004 .

[8]  K. Menou,et al.  Low-Mass Protoplanet Migration in T Tauri α-Disks , 2003, astro-ph/0310169.

[9]  UC Berkeley,et al.  HAT-P-11b: A SUPER-NEPTUNE PLANET TRANSITING A BRIGHT K STAR IN THE KEPLER FIELD , 2009, 0901.0282.

[10]  U. Gorti,et al.  Photoevaporation of Circumstellar Disks Due to External Far-Ultraviolet Radiation in Stellar Aggregates , 2004, astro-ph/0404383.

[11]  F. Allard,et al.  The effect of evaporation on the evolution of close-in giant planets , 2004, astro-ph/0404101.

[12]  G. Mellema,et al.  Halting type I planet migration in non-isothermal disks , 2006, astro-ph/0608658.

[13]  Jonathan P. Williams,et al.  Circumstellar Dust Disks in Taurus-Auriga: The Submillimeter Perspective , 2005, astro-ph/0506187.

[14]  R. Rafikov The Growth of Planetary Embryos: Orderly, Runaway, or Oligarchic? , 2002, astro-ph/0209059.

[15]  Nuno C. Santos,et al.  Extrasolar Planets: Statistical properties of exoplanets , 2007 .

[16]  S. Ida,et al.  Orbital evolution and accretion of protoplanets tidally interacting with a gas disk. II. Solid surface density evolution with type-I migration , 2006 .

[17]  Johns Hopkins University,et al.  Disk Accretion onto High-Mass Planets , 1999 .

[18]  R. P. Butler,et al.  Two Extra-Solar Planets From The Anglo-Australian Planet Search , 2007 .

[19]  Alan P. Boss,et al.  Gas Giant Protoplanet Formation: Disk Instability Models with Thermodynamics and Radiative Transfer , 2001 .

[20]  M. Meyer,et al.  The Formation and Evolution of Planetary Systems: Placing Our Solar System in Context with Spitzer , 2005, astro-ph/0701058.

[21]  J. Makino,et al.  Scattering of Planetesimals by a Protoplanet: Slowing Down of Runaway Growth , 1993 .

[22]  S. Weidenschilling Formation of the Cores of the Outer Planets , 2005 .

[23]  Willy Benz,et al.  Extrasolar planet population synthesis - II. Statistical comparison with observations , 2009, 0904.2542.

[24]  Disk eccentricity and embedded planets , 2005, astro-ph/0510393.

[25]  Bruce T. Draine,et al.  in Protostars and Planets II , 1985 .

[26]  J. Lissauer,et al.  Accretion rates of protoplanets: II. Gaussian distributions of planetesimal velocities , 1991 .

[27]  D. Lin,et al.  Toward a Deterministic Model of Planetary Formation. I. A Desert in the Mass and Semimajor Axis Distributions of Extrasolar Planets , 2004 .

[28]  J. Papaloizou,et al.  THE EVOLUTION OF A SUPERMASSIVE BINARY CAUSED BY AN ACCRETION DISC , 1998, astro-ph/9812198.

[29]  J. Chambers A semi-analytic model for oligarchic growth , 2006 .

[30]  R. Rebolo,et al.  Statistical properties of exoplanets. II. Metallicity, orbital parameters, and space velocities , 2002, astro-ph/0211211.

[31]  Peter Bodenheimer,et al.  Calculations of the accretion and evolution of giant planets: The effects of solid cores , 1986 .

[32]  E. Kokubo,et al.  Formation of Protoplanet Systems and Diversity of Planetary Systems , 2002 .

[33]  K. Lodders Solar System Abundances and Condensation Temperatures of the Elements , 2003 .

[34]  D. Lin,et al.  Toward a Deterministic Model of Planetary Formation. IV. Effects of Type I Migration , 2007, 0709.1375.

[35]  Scott J. Kenyon,et al.  RAPID FORMATION OF ICY SUPER-EARTHS AND THE CORES OF GAS GIANT PLANETS , 2008, 0811.4665.

[36]  Y. Miguel,et al.  Core instability models of giant planet accretion and the planetary desert , 2008, 0810.1760.

[37]  An alternative look at the snowline in protoplanetary disks , 2003, astro-ph/0312471.

[38]  M. Tamura,et al.  Planetary Formation Scenarios Revisited: Core-Accretion versus Disk Instability , 2007, astro-ph/0703237.

[39]  W. Benz,et al.  Birth and fate of hot-Neptune planets , 2005, astro-ph/0512091.

[40]  A. Crida,et al.  Migration of protoplanets in radiative discs , 2008, 0806.2990.

[41]  Harold F. Levison,et al.  Oligarchic growth of giant planets , 2003 .

[42]  Elizabeth A. Lada,et al.  Disk Frequencies and Lifetimes in Young Clusters , 2001, astro-ph/0104347.

[43]  Steven V. W. Beckwith,et al.  Circumstellar disks and the search for neighbouring planetary systems , 1996, Nature.

[44]  J. Valenti,et al.  The Planet-Metallicity Correlation , 2005 .

[45]  Richard P. Nelson,et al.  The interaction of giant planets with a disc with MHD turbulence – IV. Migration rates of embedded protoplanets , 2003, astro-ph/0308360.

[46]  D. Queloz,et al.  Detection of transits of the nearby hot Neptune GJ 436 b , 2007, Astronomy & Astrophysics.

[47]  A. Morbidelli,et al.  On the width and shape of gaps in protoplanetary disks , 2006 .

[48]  Migration and dynamical relaxation in crowded systems of giant planets , 2003, astro-ph/0301561.

[49]  T. Stepinski,et al.  Diversity of planetary systems from evolution of solids in protoplanetary disks , 2001 .

[50]  S. Ida,et al.  Towards a Deterministic Model of Planetary Formation I: a Desert in the Mass and Semi Major Axis Distributions of Extra Solar Planets , 2022 .

[51]  S. Ida,et al.  Growth of a Migrating Protoplanet , 1999 .

[52]  O. Benvenuto,et al.  Methods for computing giant planet formation and evolution , 2005 .

[53]  F. Bouchy,et al.  The HARPS search for southern extra-solar planets - XVII. Super-Earth and Neptune-mass planets in multiple planet systems HD 47 186 and HD 181 433 , 2008, 0812.1608.

[54]  D. Lin,et al.  On the tidal interaction between protoplanets and the protoplanetary disk. III. Orbital migration of protoplanets , 1986 .

[55]  T. Guillot,et al.  Orbital Evolution and Migration of Giant Planets: Modeling Extrasolar Planets , 1998, astro-ph/9801292.

[56]  P. Armitage Massive Planet Migration: Theoretical Predictions and Comparison with Observations , 2007, 0705.3039.

[57]  F. Rasio,et al.  Gas Disks to Gas Giants: Simulating the Birth of Planetary Systems , 2008, Science.

[58]  A. Fortier,et al.  Oligarchic planetesimal accretion and giant planet formation , 2007, 0709.1454.

[59]  Andrew Cumming,et al.  The Keck Planet Search: Detectability and the Minimum Mass and Orbital Period Distribution of Extrasolar Planets , 2008, 0803.3357.

[60]  Jack J. Lissauer,et al.  Formation of the Giant Planets by Concurrent Accretion of Solids and Gas , 1995 .

[61]  N. C. Santos,et al.  Spectroscopic [Fe/H] for 98 extra-solar planet-host stars. Exploring the probability of planet formation , 2003 .

[62]  F. Allard,et al.  Deuterium Burning in Substellar Objects , 2000 .

[63]  Harold F. Levison,et al.  THE FORMATION OF URANUS AND NEPTUNE AMONG JUPITER AND SATURN , 2001, astro-ph/0111290.

[64]  Silicon and Nickel Enrichment in Planet Host Stars: Observations and Implications for the Core Accretion Theory of Planet Formation , 2006, astro-ph/0601656.

[65]  Avi M. Mandell,et al.  Observable consequences of planet formation models in systems with close-in terrestrial planets , 2007, 0711.2015.

[66]  S. Zucker,et al.  On the Mass-Period Correlation of the Extrasolar Planets , 2002, astro-ph/0202415.

[67]  D. Davis,et al.  Accretional Evolution of a Planetesimal Swarm , 1997 .

[68]  S. Inaba,et al.  Enhanced collisional growth of a protoplanet that has an atmosphere , 2003 .

[69]  B. Hansen,et al.  Stellar Pollution in the Solar Neighborhood , 2000, astro-ph/0011530.

[70]  Mark Clampin,et al.  Optical Images of an Exosolar Planet 25 Light-Years from Earth , 2008, Science.

[71]  Planet formation by coagulation: A focus on Uranus and Neptune , 2004, astro-ph/0405215.

[72]  C. Moutou,et al.  The HARPS search for southern extra-solar planets IX. Exoplanets orbiting HD 100777, HD 190647, and HD 221287 , 2007, 0704.0917.

[73]  R. Rosenfeld Nature , 2009, Otolaryngology--head and neck surgery : official journal of American Academy of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery.

[74]  D. Syer,et al.  Satellites in discs: regulating the accretion luminosity , 1995, astro-ph/9505021.

[75]  Y. Miguel,et al.  Core instability models of giant planet accretion – II. Forming planetary systems , 2009 .

[76]  Oligarchic planetesimal accretion and giant planet formation II , 2007, 0907.0389.

[77]  M. Mayor,et al.  The Geneva–Copenhagen Survey of the Solar Neighbourhood , 2004, Publications of the Astronomical Society of Australia.

[78]  R. Edgar Giant Planet Migration in Viscous Power-Law Disks , 2007, 0704.0448.

[79]  William R. Ward,et al.  Three-Dimensional Interaction between a Planet and an Isothermal Gaseous Disk. I. Corotation and Lindblad Torques and Planet Migration , 2002 .

[80]  Jack J. Lissauer,et al.  Accretion of the gaseous envelope of Jupiter around a 5–10 Earth-mass core , 2005 .

[81]  I. Baraffe,et al.  Structure and evolution of super-Earth to super-Jupiter exoplanets - I. Heavy element enrichment in the interior , 2008, 0802.1810.

[82]  The effects of ablation on the cross section of planetary envelopes at capturing planetesimals , 2008 .

[83]  Willy Benz,et al.  Models of giant planet formation with migration and disc evolution , 2004 .

[84]  E. Ford,et al.  The Formation of Ice Giants in a Packed Oligarchy: Instability and Aftermath , 2007, astro-ph/0701745.

[85]  B. Macintosh,et al.  Direct Imaging of Multiple Planets Orbiting the Star HR 8799 , 2008, Science.

[86]  A. Quillen,et al.  The minimum gap‐opening planet mass in an irradiated circumstellar accretion disc , 2007, 0705.3436.

[87]  David E. Trilling,et al.  Easy Come, Easy Go: Orbital Migration and the Frequency of Giant Planet Formation , 2000 .

[88]  Yann Alibert,et al.  New Jupiter and Saturn Formation Models Meet Observations , 2005, astro-ph/0504598.

[89]  On the Formation Timescale and Core Masses of Gas Giant Planets , 2003, astro-ph/0310191.

[90]  S. Wolf,et al.  Radial distribution of planets - Predictions based on the core-accretion gas-capture planet-formation model , 2006, astro-ph/0601209.

[91]  Formation and structure of the three Neptune-mass planets system around HD 69830 , 2006, astro-ph/0607175.

[92]  Dispersion in the lifetime and accretion rate of T Tauri discs , 2003, astro-ph/0303343.

[93]  Y. Alibert,et al.  Migration and giant planet formation , 2004, astro-ph/0403574.

[94]  S. Ida,et al.  Velocity Evolution of Planetesimals: Unified Analytical Formulas and Comparisons with N-Body Simulations , 2000 .

[95]  CRITICAL PROTOPLANETARY CORE MASSES IN PROTOPLANETARY DISKS AND THE FORMATION OF SHORT-PERIOD GIANT PLANETS , 1999, astro-ph/9903310.

[96]  S. Udry,et al.  Statistical properties of exoplanets. III. Planet properties and stellar multiplicity , 2004, astro-ph/0402664.

[97]  M. Mayor,et al.  An extended upper atmosphere around the extrasolar planet HD209458b , 2003, Nature.

[98]  Philip J. Armitage,et al.  Outward migration of extrasolar planets to large orbital radii , 2003 .

[99]  Gennaro D'Angelo,et al.  Nested-grid calculations of disk-planet interaction , 2001, astro-ph/0112429.

[100]  Y. Alibert,et al.  Bulk composition of the transiting hot Neptune around GJ 436 , 2009, 0904.2979.

[101]  N. Grevesse,et al.  Abundances of the elements: Meteoritic and solar , 1989 .

[102]  A. Sozzetti,et al.  HD 147506b: A Supermassive Planet in an Eccentric Orbit Transiting a Bright Star , 2007, 0705.0126.

[103]  M. Mayor,et al.  A Jupiter-mass companion to a solar-type star , 1995, Nature.

[104]  E. Kokubo,et al.  Formation of Protoplanets from Planetesimals in the Solar Nebula , 2000 .

[105]  Debra A. Fischer,et al.  A Neptune-Mass Planet Orbiting the Nearby M Dwarf GJ 436 , 2004 .

[106]  S. Beckwith,et al.  A Survey for Circumstellar Disks around Young Stellar Objects , 1990 .

[107]  Michel Mayor,et al.  An extrasolar planetary system with three Neptune-mass planets , 2006, Nature.

[108]  P. Bodenheimer,et al.  Orbital migration of the planetary companion of 51 Pegasi to its present location , 1996, Nature.

[109]  Joachim Stadel,et al.  The Evolution of Gravitationally Unstable Protoplanetary Disks: Fragmentation and Possible Giant Planet Formation , 2003, astro-ph/0310771.

[110]  K. Tsiganis,et al.  Origin of the orbital architecture of the giant planets of the Solar System , 2005, Nature.

[111]  R. Sari,et al.  Final Stages of Planet Formation , 2004, astro-ph/0404240.

[112]  Space Science Reviews , 1962, Nature.

[113]  S Ida,et al.  Toward a Deterministic Model of Planetary Formation. III. Mass Distribution of Short-Period Planets around Stars of Various Masses , 2005 .

[114]  William R. Ward,et al.  Survival of Planetary Systems , 1997 .