THE PRICE OF RISK IN CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS

Construction projects are risky. However, in practice, contractors may be unable or unwilling to make appropriate allowances for the risk. Formal risk models that contractors can incorporate into the bidding process have proliferated in recent years but they are not used in practice. Introducing more models may, therefore, not necessarily help. A better understanding is needed of how contractors arrive at a price, and how that price is influenced by the apportionment of risk. This question is the starting point for an ethnographic investigation into how contractors price risks. The purpose is to develop a model for assessing risk and opportunity in construction projects for the purpose of contingency allocation in a risk and reward sense. As risks can be spread, the price of building up a contingency will generally be smaller than the impact of a risk. Price of risk is smaller than the impact of risk.

[1]  R. E. Calvert Introduction to Building Management , 1971 .

[2]  M. Bloor,et al.  On the Analysis of Observational Data: A Discussion of the Worth and Uses of Inductive Techniques and Respondent Validation , 1978 .

[3]  Jamal F. Al‐Bahar,et al.  Systematic Risk Management Approach for Construction Projects , 1990 .

[4]  Daniel King,et al.  Risk and Need-for-Work Premiums in Contractor Bidding , 1991 .

[5]  J. Gill,et al.  Research Methods For Managers , 1991 .

[6]  A. Thorpe,et al.  Contractor project risks contingency allocation using linguistic approximation , 1993 .

[7]  Jong H. Ock,et al.  Pricing construction risk: fuzzy set application , 1993 .

[8]  A. Akintoye,et al.  Risk analysis and management in construction , 1997 .

[9]  A. A Kwakye Construction Project Administration in Practice , 1997 .

[10]  Will Hughes,et al.  Financial Protection in the UK Building Industry: Bonds, Retentions and Guarantees , 1998 .

[11]  M. Denscombe The Good Research Guide: for small-scale social research projects , 1998 .

[12]  Gary R. Smith,et al.  Small to Medium Contractor Contingency and Assumption of Risk , 1999 .

[13]  Peter Wynn Contracting for Engineering and Construction Projects , 2001 .

[14]  Andrew D.F. Price,et al.  Modelling global risk factors affecting construction cost performance , 2003 .

[15]  Will Hughes,et al.  Construction industry: Historical overview and technological change , 2003 .

[16]  D. Silverman Qualitative research : theory, method and practice , 2004 .

[17]  Martin Loosemore Risk Management in Projects , 2005 .

[18]  Min Liu,et al.  Modeling a Contractor’s Markup Estimation , 2005 .