A count‐amount model with endogenous recording of observations

This paper discusses some of the problems which are encountered if an event Y is only recorded if its value satisfies a recording criterion A. It follows that we get an incorrect idea of the frequency of the events and of its true distribution. In order to solve these problems, an econometric model has been constructed by means of which consistent estimation of the true parameters is possible. The model is estimated on consumer purchases, where the number of purchases is assumed to be NEGBIN-distributed and the purchase amounts obey a lognormal distribution. Purchases are only recorded if their value exceeds Dfl.10. It is shown that ignoring the recording condition will result in biased estimates and invalid predictions. Apart from this, the model is, among others, relevant for insurance problems, marketing surveys and criminological and epidemiological phenomena. Copyright 1993 by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

[1]  G. Judge,et al.  The Theory and Practice of Econometrics , 1981 .

[2]  Roger Tarling,et al.  Statistical Applications in Criminology , 1986 .

[3]  A. Cameron,et al.  Econometric models based on count data. Comparisons and applications of some estimators and tests , 1986 .

[4]  David C. Schmittlein,et al.  Generalizing the NBD Model for Customer Purchases: What Are the Implications and Is It Worth the Effort? , 1988 .

[5]  P. Schmidt,et al.  Limited-Dependent and Qualitative Variables in Econometrics. , 1984 .

[6]  C. Gourieroux,et al.  Pseudo Maximum Likelihood Methods: Applications to Poisson Models , 1984 .

[7]  B. Melenberg,et al.  The problem of not observing small expenditures in a consumer expenditure survey , 1990 .

[8]  Milton Abramowitz,et al.  Handbook of Mathematical Functions with Formulas, Graphs, and Mathematical Tables , 1964 .

[9]  G. S. Maddala,et al.  Limited-dependent and qualitative variables in econometrics: Models with self-selectivity , 1983 .

[10]  Lung-fei Lee Generalized Econometric Models with Selectivity , 1983 .

[11]  Joseph Berkson,et al.  Some Difficulties of Interpretation Encountered in the Application of the Chi-Square Test , 1938 .

[12]  Z. Griliches,et al.  Econometric Models for Count Data with an Application to the Patents-R&D Relationship , 1984 .

[13]  A. Ehrenberg The Pattern of Consumer Purchases , 1959 .

[14]  J. Heckman The Common Structure of Statistical Models of Truncation, Sample Selection and Limited Dependent Variables and a Simple Estimator for Such Models , 1976 .