The Evolutionary Demography of Ecological Change: Linking Trait Variation and Population Growth

Population dynamics and evolutionary change are linked by the fundamental biological processes of birth and death. This means that population growth may correlate with the strength of selection, whereas evolutionary change can leave an ecological signature. We decompose population growth in an age-structured population into contributions from variation in a quantitative trait. We report that the distribution of body sizes within a population of Soay sheep can markedly influence population dynamics, accounting for up to one-fifth of observed population growth. Our results suggest that there is substantial opportunity for evolutionary dynamics to leave an ecological signature and visa versa.

[1]  L. Kruuk,et al.  ESTIMATING SELECTION ON NEONATAL TRAITS IN RED DEER USING ELASTICITY PATH ANALYSIS , 2003, Evolution; international journal of organic evolution.

[2]  J. N. Thompson,et al.  Rapid evolution as an ecological process. , 1998, Trends in ecology & evolution.

[3]  Lawrence B. Slobodkin,et al.  Growth and Regulation of Animal Populations , 1963 .

[4]  L. Slobodkin Growth and regulation of animal populations , 1962 .

[5]  M. Festa‐Bianchet,et al.  Effects of body size, population density, and maternal characteristics on age at first reproduction in bighorn ewes , 1993 .

[6]  B. Grant,et al.  Unpredictable Evolution in a 30-Year Study of Darwin's Finches , 2002, Science.

[7]  I. Hanski,et al.  Natural selection and population dynamics. , 2006, Trends in ecology & evolution.

[8]  Sasha R. X. Dall,et al.  Estimating individual contributions to population growth: evolutionary fitness in ecological time , 2006, Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences.

[9]  L. Kruuk,et al.  Quantitative genetics of growth and cryptic evolution of body size in an island population , 2007, Evolutionary Ecology.

[10]  R. Punnett,et al.  The Genetical Theory of Natural Selection , 1930, Nature.

[11]  S. Ellner,et al.  Rapid evolution and the convergence of ecological and evolutionary time , 2005 .

[12]  I. Hanski,et al.  Molecular-Level Variation Affects Population Growth in a Butterfly Metapopulation , 2006, PLoS biology.

[13]  T. Clutton‐Brock,et al.  Soay sheep: dynamics and selection in an island population. , 2003 .

[14]  Jan Lindström,et al.  Climate and population density induce long‐term cohort variation in a northern ungulate , 2001 .

[15]  D. Falconer,et al.  Introduction to Quantitative Genetics. , 1962 .

[16]  L. Kruuk,et al.  Environmental Coupling of Selection and Heritability Limits Evolution , 2006, PLoS biology.

[17]  E D Brodie,et al.  Visualizing and quantifying natural selection. , 1995, Trends in ecology & evolution.

[18]  Byron J. T. Morgan,et al.  Factors influencing Soay sheep survival , 2000 .

[19]  K. Byrne,et al.  Heterozygosity, inbreeding and neonatal traits in Soay sheep on St Kilda , 2005, Molecular ecology.

[20]  R. Lande,et al.  A Quantitative Genetic Theory of Life History Evolution , 1982 .