A Real Option based Six Sigma project evaluation and selection model

Abstract Identification and selection of Six Sigma projects are one of the most frequently discussed issues in the Six Sigma literatures today. In this paper a two-stage methodology has been proposed based on (i) Real Option Analysis for evaluating the value of the project to improve the managerial flexibility (ii) a zero–one integer linear programming model for selecting and scheduling an optimal project portfolio, based on the organization's objectives and constraints. The methodology is illustrated through a case study from petrochemical industry carried out during 2007. The study contributes to managerial practices by identifying a new way of valuing the Six Sigma projects through Real Option Analysis by considering various kinds of risks. Resource-constrained environment has been chosen to test the proposed approach of selection of project portfolio and the model is validated with a detailed discussion.

[1]  Florian Herzog,et al.  Making Real Options Work for Practitioners: A Generic Model for Valuing R&D Projects , 2007 .

[2]  Ram L. Kumar,et al.  Managing risks in IT projects: an options perspective , 2002, Inf. Manag..

[3]  M. Tkác,et al.  On the evaluation of Six Sigma projects , 2010, Qual. Reliab. Eng. Int..

[4]  Anabela Costa,et al.  An approximate solution approach for a scenario-based capital budgeting model , 2010, Comput. Manag. Sci..

[5]  Nicos Christofides,et al.  Capital Budgeting Under Uncertainty - An Integrated Approach Using Contingent Claims Analysis and Integer Programming , 2001, Oper. Res..

[6]  Eduardo S. Schwartz,et al.  Investment Under Uncertainty. , 1994 .

[7]  Gerald W. Evans,et al.  Selection and Scheduling of Advanced Missions for NASA Using 0-1 Integer Linear Programming , 1989 .

[8]  Praveen Gupta,et al.  Six Sigma Deployment , 2003 .

[9]  Haritha Saranga,et al.  Six sigma project selection using data envelopment analysis , 2007 .

[10]  Chao-Ton Su,et al.  A systematic methodology for the creation of Six Sigma projects: A case study of semiconductor foundry , 2008, Expert Syst. Appl..

[11]  Philip A. Roussel,et al.  Third generation R & D : managing the link to corporate strategy / Philip A. Roussel, Kamal N. Saad, Tamara J. Erickson , 1991 .

[12]  William Michael Kelly,et al.  Three Steps To Project Selection , 2002 .

[13]  Dennis Kira,et al.  A specific decision support system (SDSS) to develop an optimal project portfolio mix under uncertainty , 1990 .

[14]  Jichao Xu,et al.  Selecting Six Sigma Projects , 2002 .

[15]  Improvement ASQ's ... annual Quality Congress proceedings , 1998 .

[16]  Young Hoon Kwak,et al.  Benefits, obstacles, and future of six sigma approach , 2006 .

[17]  Peter S. Pande,et al.  The Six Sigma Way: How GE, Motorola, and Other Top Companies are Honing Their Performance , 2000 .

[18]  Joseph Moses Juran,et al.  Juran Institute's Six Sigma Breakthrough and Beyond , 2004 .

[19]  Fereidoun Ghasemzadeh,et al.  A zero-one model for project portfolio selection and scheduling , 1999, J. Oper. Res. Soc..

[20]  Bopaya Bidanda,et al.  A multi-objective model for project portfolio selection to implement lean and Six Sigma concepts , 2008 .

[21]  Dimitrios V. Siskos Project Valuation Using Real Options , 2007 .

[22]  C. Tennant,et al.  Selection of six sigma projects in the UK , 2006 .

[23]  Jeremy M. Eckhause,et al.  Evaluating real options for mitigating technical risk in public sector R&D acquisitions , 2009 .

[24]  Chan S. Park,et al.  Decision Making Under Uncertainty—Real Options to the Rescue? , 2002 .

[25]  Carlos Zozaya-Gorostiza,et al.  Investment Under Uncertainty in Information Technology: Acquisition and Development Projects , 2003, Manag. Sci..