National Traffic Safety Prediction and Analysis

Aiming at the austere problem of national traffic safety, traffic safety model has been created following the multivariate statistics method based on the relative data of people-vehicle-road in traffic system since 1983.The model discovers the quantitative relation among the traffic accident generating capacity, the traffic accident death with the number of drivers, the number of vehicles, highway mileage and GDP. Meanwhile, the other factors influencing the traffic safety are analyzed, and the tendencies that traffic accident taking place will decrease after an increase, and then, that traffic accident death will decrease are given. At last, an analysis for the result of prediction is made in the paper.