A nearly perfect market?

Internet shopbots allow consumers to almost instantly compare prices and other characteristics from dozens of sellers via a single website. We estimate the magnitude of consumer search costs and benefits using data from a major shopbot for books. For the median consumer, the estimated benefit from simply scrolling down to search lower screens is $6.55. This amounts to about 60% of the observed price dispersion and suggests that consumers face significant search costs, even in this “nearly-perfect” market. Price elasticities are relatively high compared to offline markets (−7 to −10 in our base model). Furthermore, contrary to the common assumption, search intensity is not correlated with greater price sensitivity. Instead, consumers who search multiple screens put relatively more weight on non-price factors like brand.

[1]  Austan Goolsbee,et al.  Does the Internet Make Markets More Competitive? , 2000 .

[2]  Joseph E. Stiglitz,et al.  The Theory of Sales: A Simple Model of Equilibrium Price Dispersion with Identical Agents , 1982 .

[3]  K. Sudhir,et al.  When Shopbots Meet Emails: Implications for Price Competition on the Internet , 2004 .

[4]  Dennis W. Jansen The New Economy and Beyond , 2006 .

[5]  K. Srinivasan,et al.  Price Uncertainty and Consumer Search: A Structural Model of Consideration Set Formation , 2003 .

[6]  Siddhartha Chib,et al.  Markov chain Monte Carlo and models of consideration set and parameter heterogeneity , 1998 .

[7]  Aviv Nevo Measuring Market Power in the Ready-to-Eat Cereal Industry , 1998 .

[8]  Erik Brynjolfsson,et al.  Frictionless Commerce? A Comparison of Internet and Conventional Retailers , 2000 .

[9]  André de Palma,et al.  Discrete Choice Theory of Product Differentiation , 1995 .

[10]  Joseph E. Stiglitz,et al.  Competition and the Number of Firms in a Market: Are Duopolies More Competitive than Atomistic Markets? , 1987, Journal of Political Economy.

[11]  Ali Hortaçsu,et al.  Winner's Curse, Reserve Prices and Endogenous Entry: Empirical Insights from Ebay Auctions , 2003 .

[12]  Florian Zettelmeyer,et al.  Internet Car Retailing , 2000 .

[13]  Avishay Braverman Consumer search and alternative market equilibria , 1980 .

[14]  P. Diamond A model of price adjustment , 1971 .

[15]  Ramayya Krishnan,et al.  Designing a Better Shopbot , 2004, Manag. Sci..

[16]  Erik Brynjolfsson,et al.  Consumer Surplus in the Digital Economy: Estimating the Value of Increased Product Variety at Online Booksellers , 2003, Manag. Sci..

[17]  Yannis Bakos,et al.  The emerging role of electronic marketplaces on the Internet , 1998, CACM.

[18]  B. Wernerfelt,et al.  Umbrella Branding as a Signal of New Product Quality: An Example of Signalling by Posting a Bond , 1988 .

[19]  Simon P. Anderson,et al.  Pricing, product diversity, and search costs: a Bertrand-Chamberlin-Diamond model , 1999 .

[20]  Erik Brynjolfsson,et al.  Consumer Decision-Making at an Internet Shopbot , 2001 .

[21]  Christian Terwiesch,et al.  Measuring the Frictional Costs of Online Transactions: The Case of a Name-Your-Own-Price Channel , 2003, Manag. Sci..

[22]  Austan Goolsbee,et al.  Does the Internet Make Markets More Competitive? Evidence from the Life Insurance Industry , 2000, Journal of Political Economy.

[23]  P. Goldberg Product Differentiation and Oligopoly in International Markets: The Case of the U.S. Automobile Industry , 1995 .

[24]  Steven M. Shugan The Cost Of Thinking , 1980 .

[25]  D. Kuksov Buyer Search Costs and Endogenous Product Design , 2004 .

[26]  K. Train Halton Sequences for Mixed Logit , 2000 .

[27]  Steven T. Berry,et al.  Automobile Prices in Market Equilibrium , 1995 .

[28]  John Roberts,et al.  Development and Testing of a Model of Consideration Set Composition , 1991 .

[29]  Ramayya Krishnan,et al.  Retail Strategies on the Web: Price and Non-Price Competition in the Online Book Industry , 2003 .

[30]  G. Stigler A Theory of Oligopoly , 1964, Journal of Political Economy.

[31]  D. McFadden Econometric Models of Probabilistic Choice , 1981 .

[32]  Erik Brynjolfsson,et al.  Consumer Decision-Making at an Internet Shopbot , 2001 .

[33]  Han Hong,et al.  Using price distributions to estimate search costs , 2006 .

[34]  Manfred Kochen,et al.  On the economics of information , 1972, J. Am. Soc. Inf. Sci..

[35]  Gerald L. Lohse,et al.  Cognitive Lock-In and the Power Law of Practice , 2003 .

[36]  John Morgan,et al.  Persistent Price Dispersion in Online Markets , 2006 .

[37]  J. Chevalier,et al.  Measuring Prices and Price Competition Online: Amazon.com and BarnesandNoble.com , 2003 .

[38]  D. McFadden Econometric analysis of qualitative response models , 1984 .

[39]  K. Small,et al.  Applied Welfare Economics with Discrete Choice Models , 1979 .

[40]  J. Bakos Reducing buyer search costs: implications for electronic marketplaces , 1997 .

[41]  S. Salop Monopolistic competition with outside goods , 1979 .

[42]  Peter S. Fader,et al.  On the Depth and Dynamics of Online Search Behavior , 2004, Manag. Sci..

[43]  Glenn Ellison,et al.  Search, Obfuscation, and Price Elasticities on the Internet , 2004 .

[44]  Bart J. Bronnenberg,et al.  Limited Choice Sets, Local Price Response, and Implied Measures of Price Competition , 1996 .

[45]  Michael D. Smith The impact of shopbots on electronic markets , 2002 .

[46]  Manuel Trajtenberg,et al.  The Welfare Analysis of Product Innovations, with an Application to Computed Tomography Scanners , 1989, Journal of Political Economy.

[47]  Zhulei Tang,et al.  The Impact of Shopbot Use on Prices and Price Dispersion: Evidence from Online Book Retailing , 2010 .

[48]  Rafael Rob,et al.  Equilibrium Price Distributions , 1985 .

[49]  A. Wolinsky True Monopolistic Competition as a Result of Imperfect Information , 1986 .

[50]  Rick L. Andrews,et al.  Studying Consideration Effects in Empirical Choice Models Using Scanner Panel Data , 1995 .