Multivariate Option Pricing Using Dynamic Copula Models

This paper examines the behavior of multivariate option prices in the presence of association between the underlying assets.Parametric families of copulas offering various alternatives to the normal dependence structure are used to model this association, which is explicitly assumed to vary over time as a function of the volatilities of the assets.These dynamic copula models are applied to better-of-two-markets and worse-of-two-markets options on the S&P500 and Nasdaq indexes.Results show that option prices implied by dynamic copula models differ substantially from prices implied by models that fix the dependence between the underlyings, particularly in times of high volatilities. Furthermore, the normal copula produces option prices that differ significantly from non-normal copula prices, irrespective of initial volatility levels.Within the class of non-normal copula families considered, option prices are robust with respect to the copula choice.

[1]  M. Sklar Fonctions de repartition a n dimensions et leurs marges , 1959 .

[2]  F. Black,et al.  The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities , 1973, Journal of Political Economy.

[3]  William Margrabe The Value of an Option to Exchange One Asset for Another , 1978 .

[4]  S. Ross,et al.  Option pricing: A simplified approach☆ , 1979 .

[5]  René M. Stulz,et al.  Options on the minimum or the maximum of two risky assets : Analysis and applications , 1982 .

[6]  T. Bollerslev,et al.  Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity , 1986 .

[7]  Christian Genest,et al.  Copules archimédiennes et families de lois bidimensionnelles dont les marges sont données , 1986 .

[8]  C. Genest Frank's family of bivariate distributions , 1987 .

[9]  H. Johnson Options on the Maximum or the Minimum of Several Assets , 1987, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis.

[10]  C. Genest,et al.  Statistical Inference Procedures for Bivariate Archimedean Copulas , 1993 .

[11]  D. Shimko Options on futures spreads: Hedging, speculation, and valuation , 1994 .

[12]  J. Duan THE GARCH OPTION PRICING MODEL , 1995 .

[13]  C. Genest,et al.  A semiparametric estimation procedure of dependence parameters in multivariate families of distributions , 1995 .

[14]  T. Louis,et al.  Inferences on the association parameter in copula models for bivariate survival data. , 1995, Biometrics.

[15]  R. Engle,et al.  Multivariate Simultaneous Generalized ARCH , 1995, Econometric Theory.

[16]  Jon A. Wellner,et al.  Weak Convergence and Empirical Processes: With Applications to Statistics , 1996 .

[17]  Michael S. Gibson,et al.  Pitfalls in Tests for Changes in Correlations , 1997 .

[18]  J. Rosenberg Pricing Multivariate Contingent Claims Using Estimated Risk-Neutral Density Functions , 1997 .

[19]  A. Lo,et al.  Nonparametric Estimation of State‐Price Densities Implicit in Financial Asset Prices , 1998 .

[20]  Kilani Ghoudi,et al.  Propriétés statistiques des copules de valeurs extrêmes bidimensionnelles , 1998 .

[21]  J. Rosenberg Semiparametric Pricing of Multivariate Contingent Claims , 1999 .

[22]  Christian Genest,et al.  Conditions for the Asymptotic Semiparametric Efficiency of an Omnibus Estimator of Dependence Parame , 2000 .

[23]  J. Rosenberg Nonparametric Pricing of Multivariate Contingent Claims , 2000 .

[24]  Umberto Cherubini,et al.  Multivariate Option Pricing with Copulas , 2000 .

[25]  Andrew J. Patton Modelling Time-Varying Exchange Rate Dependence Using the Conditional Copula , 2001 .

[26]  P. Embrechts,et al.  Risk Management: Correlation and Dependence in Risk Management: Properties and Pitfalls , 2002 .

[27]  E. Luciano,et al.  Bivariate option pricing with copulas , 2002 .

[28]  Carles M. Cuadras,et al.  Distributions With Given Marginals and Statistical Modelling , 2002 .

[29]  Andrew J. Patton On the Out-of-Sample Importance of Skewness and Asymmetric Dependence for Asset Allocation , 2002 .

[30]  Offer Lieberman,et al.  Asymptotic theory for multivariate GARCH processes , 2003 .

[31]  Thorsten Rheinländer Risk Management: Value at Risk and Beyond , 2003 .