Estimating reservoir evaporation losses for the United States: Fusing remote sensing and modeling approaches

Abstract Evaporation from open surface water is a critical and continuous process in the water cycle. Globally, evaporation losses from reservoirs are estimated to be greater than the combined consumption from industrial and domestic water uses. However, this large volume of water loss is only coarsely considered in modern water resources management practices due to the complexities involved with quantifying these losses. By fusing remote sensing and modeling approaches, this study developed a novel method to accurately estimate the evaporation losses from 721 reservoirs in the contiguous United States (CONUS). Reservoir surface areas were extracted and enhanced from the Landsat based Global Surface Water Dataset (GSWD) from March 1984 to October 2015. The evaporation rate was modeled using the Penman Equation in which the lake heat storage term was considered. Validation results using in situ observations suggest that this approach can significantly improve the accuracy of the simulated monthly reservoir evaporation rate. The evaporation losses were subsequently estimated as the product of the surface area and evaporation rate. This paper presents a first of its kind, comprehensively validated, locally practical, and continentally consistent reservoir evaporation dataset. The results suggest that the long term averaged annual evaporation volume from these 721 reservoirs is 33.73 × 109 m3, which is equivalent to 93% of the annual public water supply of the United States (in 2010). An increasing trend of the evaporation rate (0.0076 mm/d/year) and a slightly decreasing trend of the total surface area (−0.011 × 109 m2/year) were both detected during the study period. As a result, the total evaporation shows an insignificant trend, yet with significant spatial heterogeneity. This new reservoir evaporation dataset can help facilitate more efficient water management practices.

[1]  F. I. Morton Climatological estimates of lake evaporation , 1979 .

[2]  Sally A. McFarlane,et al.  Significant decadal brightening of downwelling shortwave in the continental United States , 2009 .

[3]  F. Beyrich,et al.  Developments in Scintillometry , 2009 .

[4]  Alan L. Flint,et al.  Use of the Priestley-Taylor evaporation equation for soil water limited conditions in a small forest clearcut , 1991 .

[5]  Daniel J. McEvoy,et al.  Climatological Estimates of Open Water Evaporation from Selected Truckee and Carson River Basin Wate , 2011 .

[6]  M. Roderick,et al.  A simple pan‐evaporation model for analysis of climate simulations: Evaluation over Australia , 2006 .

[7]  Gennadii Donchyts,et al.  Global 5 km resolution estimates of secondary evaporation including irrigation through satellite data assimilation , 2018, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences.

[8]  The Dynamics of the Skin Temperature of the Dead Sea , 2013 .

[9]  Heping Liu,et al.  Environmental Controls on the Surface Energy Budget over a Large Southern Inland Water in the United States: An Analysis of One-Year Eddy Covariance Flux Data , 2012 .

[10]  L. Talley,et al.  Mass, Salt, and Heat Budgets and Wind Forcing , 2011 .

[11]  Mysore G. Satish,et al.  Predicting river water temperatures using the equilibrium temperature concept with application on Miramichi River catchments (New Brunswick, Canada) , 2005 .

[12]  C. Donlon,et al.  Toward Improved Validation of Satellite Sea Surface Skin Temperature Measurements for Climate Research , 2002 .

[13]  Nelson Luís Dias,et al.  Multi-season lake evaporation: energy-budget estimates and CRLE model assessment with limited meteorological observations , 1998 .

[14]  Ashish Sharma,et al.  A Comparison of Australian Open Water Body Evaporation Trends for Current and Future Climates Estimated from Class A Evaporation Pans and General Circulation Models , 2010 .

[15]  Christian Schwatke,et al.  A global lake and reservoir volume analysis using a surface water dataset and satellite altimetry , 2018, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences.

[16]  V. Antonopoulos,et al.  Evaporation and energy budget in Lake Vegoritis, Greece , 2007 .

[17]  A. Karpatne,et al.  An approach for global monitoring of surface water extent variations in reservoirs using MODIS data , 2017 .

[18]  Terrie M. Lee,et al.  Comparison of energy-budget evaporation losses from two morphometrically different Florida seepage lakes , 1994 .

[19]  E. Linacre Data-sparse estimation of lake evaporation, using a simplified Penman equation , 1993 .

[20]  C. Long,et al.  Assessment of the effect of air pollution controls on trends in shortwave radiation over the United States from 1995 through 2010 from multiple observation networks , 2013 .

[21]  Arjen Ysbert Hoekstra,et al.  The consumptive water footprint of electricity and heat: a global assessment , 2015 .

[22]  Richard N. Weisman,et al.  Evaporation and cooling of a lake under unstable atmospheric conditions , 1973 .

[23]  Alon Rimmer,et al.  A comprehensive study across methods and time scales to estimate surface fluxes from Lake Kinneret, Israel. , 2009 .

[24]  Michael Dixon,et al.  Google Earth Engine: Planetary-scale geospatial analysis for everyone , 2017 .

[25]  Huilin Gao,et al.  Automatic Correction of Contaminated Images for Assessment of Reservoir Surface Area Dynamics , 2018, Geophysical research letters.

[26]  J. Lenters,et al.  Reservoir Evaporation in the Western United States: Current Science, Challenges, and Future Needs , 2017 .

[27]  S. Gorelick,et al.  A remote sensing method for estimating regional reservoir area and evaporative loss , 2017 .

[28]  D. Lettenmaier,et al.  The Effects of Climate Change on the Hydrology and Water Resources of the Colorado River Basin , 2004 .

[29]  M. Wild Decadal changes in radiative fluxes at land and ocean surfaces and their relevance for global warming , 2016 .

[30]  P. Döll,et al.  High‐resolution mapping of the world's reservoirs and dams for sustainable river‐flow management , 2011 .

[31]  Arjen Ysbert Hoekstra,et al.  The blue water footprint of electricity from hydropower , 2011 .

[32]  Heping Liu,et al.  Eddy covariance measurements of surface energy budget and evaporation in a cool season over southern open water in Mississippi , 2009 .

[33]  Frank H. Quinn,et al.  Evaluation of Potential Impacts on Great Lakes Water Resources Based on Climate Scenarios of Two GCMs , 2002 .

[34]  Yuri G. Trokhimovski,et al.  Air and sea surface temperature measurements using a 60-GHz microwave rotating radiometer , 1998, IEEE Trans. Geosci. Remote. Sens..

[35]  K. Patalas Mid-summer mixing depths of lakes of different latitudes: With 5 figures in the text , 1984 .

[36]  F. I. Morton Practical Estimates of Lake Evaporation , 1986 .

[37]  W. Graf Dam nation: A geographic census of American dams and their large‐scale hydrologic impacts , 1999 .

[38]  André F. Lotter,et al.  The relationship between air and water temperatures in lakes of the Swiss Plateau: a case study with pal\sgmaelig;olimnological implications , 1998 .

[39]  Binbin Wang,et al.  Evaporation variability of Nam Co Lake in the Tibetan Plateau and its role in recent rapid lake expansion , 2016 .

[40]  E. Wood,et al.  Development of a 50-Year High-Resolution Global Dataset of Meteorological Forcings for Land Surface Modeling , 2006 .

[41]  J. C. Geyer,et al.  The Response of Water Temperatures to Meteorological Conditions , 1968 .

[42]  J. Finch A comparison between measured and modelled open water evaporation from a reservoir in south‐east England , 2001 .

[43]  L. S. Pereira,et al.  Crop evapotranspiration : guidelines for computing crop water requirements , 1998 .

[44]  Donald R. Satterlund,et al.  An improved equation for estimating long‐wave radiation from the atmosphere , 1979 .

[45]  Shmuel Assouline,et al.  Evaporation from a small water reservoir: Direct measurements and estimates , 2008 .

[46]  Jeffrey P. Walker,et al.  THE GLOBAL LAND DATA ASSIMILATION SYSTEM , 2004 .

[47]  R. Dickinson,et al.  A review of global terrestrial evapotranspiration: Observation, modeling, climatology, and climatic variability , 2011 .

[48]  Nicole M. Hesch,et al.  Trends in evaporation for the Canadian Prairies , 2007 .

[49]  Huilin Gao,et al.  Integrating a reservoir regulation scheme into a spatially distributed hydrological model , 2016 .

[50]  T. McVicar,et al.  Developing a decision support tool for China's re-vegetation program: Simulating regional impacts of afforestation on average annual streamflow in the Loess Plateau , 2007 .

[51]  J. Józsa,et al.  New findings about the complementary relationship- based evaporation estimation methods , 2008 .

[52]  Wei Wang,et al.  Global lake evaporation accelerated by changes in surface energy allocation in a warmer climate , 2018, Nature Geoscience.

[53]  G. Holland,et al.  Running dry: The U.S. Southwest's drift into a drier climate state , 2016 .

[54]  S. Changnon,et al.  El Niño, 1997-1998 : the climate event of the century , 2000 .

[55]  M. M. González-Real,et al.  Regional assessment of evaporation from agricultural irrigation reservoirs in a semiarid climate , 2008 .

[56]  John D. Valiantzas,et al.  Simplified versions for the Penman evaporation equation using routine weather data , 2006 .

[57]  Thomas C. Winter,et al.  UNCERTAINTIES IN ESTIMATING THE WATER BALANCE OF LAKES , 1981 .

[58]  M. B. Parlange,et al.  Hydrologic cycle explains the evaporation paradox , 1998, Nature.

[59]  D. Hollinger,et al.  Uncertainty in eddy covariance measurements and its application to physiological models. , 2005, Tree physiology.

[60]  T. McMahon,et al.  Estimating actual, potential, reference crop and pan evaporation using standard meteorological data: a pragmatic synthesis , 2013 .

[61]  T. C. Winter,et al.  Comparison of 15 evaporation methods applied to a small mountain lake in the northeastern USA , 2007 .

[62]  Thomas C. Peterson,et al.  Evaporation changes over the contiguous United States and the former USSR: A reassessment , 2001 .

[63]  B. Lehner,et al.  Water on an Urban Planet: Urbanization and the Reach of Urban Water Infrastructure , 2014 .

[64]  Evaporation research—a critical review and its lessons for the environmental sciences , 1994 .

[65]  Yongwei Sheng,et al.  Response of inland lake dynamics over the Tibetan Plateau to climate change , 2014, Climatic Change.

[66]  J. Lawrimore,et al.  Pan Evaporation Trends in Dry and Humid Regions of the United States , 2000 .

[67]  Nathan J. Heinert,et al.  Extending satellite remote sensing to local scales: land and water resource monitoring using high-resolution imagery , 2003 .

[68]  Nathaniel A. Brunsell,et al.  Warm spring reduced carbon cycle impact of the 2012 US summer drought , 2016, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[69]  J. D. Tarpley,et al.  Validation of the North American Land Data Assimilation System (NLDAS) retrospective forcing over the southern Great Plains : GEWEX Continental-Scale International Project, Part 3 (GCIP3) , 2003 .

[70]  Huilin Gao Satellite remote sensing of large lakes and reservoirs: from elevation and area to storage , 2015 .

[71]  Heinz G. Stefan,et al.  Stream temperature‐equilibrium temperature relationship , 2003 .

[72]  F. I. Morton Operational estimates of areal evapotranspiration and their significance to the science and practice of hydrology , 1983 .

[73]  Heinz G. Stefan,et al.  Stream temperature/air temperature relationship : a physical interpretation , 1999 .

[74]  E. F. Bradley,et al.  Bulk parameterization of air‐sea fluxes for Tropical Ocean‐Global Atmosphere Coupled‐Ocean Atmosphere Response Experiment , 1996 .

[75]  William P. Kustas,et al.  Assessment of clear and cloudy sky parameterizations for daily downwelling longwave radiation over different land surfaces in Florida, USA , 2008 .

[76]  J. Pekel,et al.  High-resolution mapping of global surface water and its long-term changes , 2016, Nature.

[77]  I. Shiklomanov,et al.  World water resources and their use : a joint SHI/UNESCO product , 1999 .

[78]  David W. Pierce,et al.  When will Lake Mead go dry? , 2008 .

[79]  Martin Wild,et al.  Is the Hydrological Cycle Accelerating? , 2002, Science.

[80]  Marc B. Parlange,et al.  On the concept of equilibrium evaporation and the value of the Priestley-Taylor coefficient. , 1996 .

[81]  N. C. Ghosh,et al.  Evaluating best evaporation estimate model for water surface evaporation in semi‐arid region, India , 2008 .

[82]  Jean-Noël Thépaut,et al.  Northern Hemisphere atmospheric stilling partly attributed to an increase in surface roughness , 2010 .

[83]  Maosheng Zhao,et al.  Improvements to a MODIS global terrestrial evapotranspiration algorithm , 2011 .

[84]  Wossenu Abtew,et al.  Evaporation Estimation for Lake Okeechobee in South Florida , 2001 .

[85]  David L. McJannet,et al.  An area-dependent wind function for estimating open water evaporation using land-based meteorological data , 2012, Environ. Model. Softw..

[86]  Shmuel Assouline,et al.  On the variability of the Priestley‐Taylor coefficient over water bodies , 2016 .

[87]  B. Chao,et al.  Impact of Artificial Reservoir Water Impoundment on Global Sea Level , 2008, Science.

[88]  G. Stanhill,et al.  Is the Class A evaporation pan still the most practical and accurate meteorological method for determining irrigation water requirements , 2002 .

[89]  Gennadii Donchyts,et al.  Earth's surface water change over the past 30 years , 2016 .

[90]  R. Reedy,et al.  Drought and the water–energy nexus in Texas , 2013 .

[91]  Martin Wild,et al.  Enlightening Global Dimming and Brightening , 2012 .

[92]  D. McJannet,et al.  The potential effects of anthropogenic climate change on evaporation from water storage reservoirs within the Lockyer Catchment, south-east Queensland, Australia , 2016 .

[93]  X. Lee,et al.  Trends in evaporation of a large subtropical lake , 2017, Theoretical and Applied Climatology.

[94]  David McJannet,et al.  Measurements of evaporation from a mine void lake and testing of modelling approaches , 2017 .

[95]  Tim R. McVicar,et al.  Evaluating anemometer drift: A statistical approach to correct biases in wind speed measurement , 2018 .

[96]  W. Woessner,et al.  Results of Seepage Meter and Mini‐Piezometer Study, Lake Mead, Nevada , 1984 .

[97]  Katherine J. Chase,et al.  General weather conditions and precipitation contributing to the 2011 flooding in the Mississippi River and Red River of the North Basins, December 2010 through July 2011: Chapter B in 2011 floods of the central United States , 2013 .

[98]  H. D. Bruin Temperature and energy balance of a water reservoir determined from standard weather data of a land station , 1982 .

[99]  A. Swancar Comparison of evaporation at two central Florida lakes, April 2005–November 2007 , 2015 .

[100]  X. Lee,et al.  Evaporation from a temperate closed-basin lake and its impact on present, past, and future water level , 2017, Journal of Hydrology.

[101]  K. Mo,et al.  Continental-scale water and energy flux analysis and validation for the North American Land Data Assimilation System project phase 2 (NLDAS-2): 1. Intercomparison and application of model products , 2012 .

[102]  J.-Y. Parlange,et al.  Increasing Evapotranspiration from the Conterminous United States , 2004 .

[103]  S. K. McFeeters The use of the Normalized Difference Water Index (NDWI) in the delineation of open water features , 1996 .

[104]  David McJannet,et al.  Estimating open water evaporation for the Murray-Darling Basin , 2008 .

[105]  N. Mahowald,et al.  Global review and synthesis of trends in observed terrestrial near-surface wind speeds; implications for evaporation , 2012 .

[106]  Thomas C. Winter,et al.  Evaluation of 11 Equations for Determining Evaporation for a Small Lake in the North Central United States , 1995 .

[107]  J. Abatzoglou,et al.  TerraClimate, a high-resolution global dataset of monthly climate and climatic water balance from 1958–2015 , 2018, Scientific Data.

[108]  Wilfried Brutsaert,et al.  Indications of increasing land surface evaporation during the second half of the 20th century , 2006 .

[109]  Wilfried Brutsaert,et al.  Evaporation into the atmosphere : theory, history, and applications , 1982 .

[110]  C. Priestley,et al.  On the Assessment of Surface Heat Flux and Evaporation Using Large-Scale Parameters , 1972 .