TAFV Alternative Fuels and Vehicles Choice Model Documentation

A model for predicting choice of alternative fuel and among alternative vehicle technologies for light-duty motor vehicles is derived. The nested multinomial logit (NML) mathematical framework is used. Calibration of the model is based on information in the existing literature and deduction based on assuming a small number of key parameters, such as the value of time and discount rates. A spreadsheet model has been developed for calibration and preliminary testing of the model.

[1]  Ryuichi Kitamura,et al.  Refueling and new fuels: An exploratory analysis , 1986 .

[2]  P. McCarthy,et al.  Market Price and Income Elasticities of New Vehicles Demand , 1996 .

[3]  Robert F. Bordley,et al.  AN OVERLAPPING CHOICE SET MODEL OF AUTOMOTIVE PRICE ELASTICITIES , 1994 .

[4]  Owen R. Phillips,et al.  Identifying profitable self-service markets: A test in gasoline retailing , 1988 .

[5]  J. A. Donndelinger,et al.  Methods for Analyzing the Value of Automobiles , 1997 .

[6]  David L. Greene.  The market share of diesel cars in the USA, 1979–1983 , 1986 .

[7]  J. D. Murrell,et al.  Light-duty automotive technology and fuel-economy trends through 1989. Technical report , 1988 .

[8]  R. Bordley,et al.  Estimating Automotive Elasticities from Segment Elasticities and First Choice/Second Choice Data , 1993 .

[9]  H. E. Cook,et al.  EXAMINING THE TRADE-OFF BETWEEN AUTOMOBILE ACCELERATION PERFORMANCE AND FUEL ECONOMY , 1996 .

[10]  F. Owen Irvine,et al.  Demand Equations for Individual New Car Models Estimated Using Transaction Prices with Implications for Regulatory Issues , 1983 .

[11]  Ryuichi Kitamura,et al.  Demand for clean-fuel vehicles in California: A discrete-choice stated preference pilot project , 1993 .

[12]  Robert M Heavenrich,et al.  LIGHT-DUTY AUTOMOTIVE TECHNOLOGY AND FUEL ECONOMY TRENDS THROUGH 1996. , 1988 .

[13]  David L. Greene,et al.  Motor fuel choice: An econometric analysis☆ , 1989 .

[14]  D Murrel,et al.  PASSENGER CAR FUEL ECONOMY: EPA AND ROAD , 1980 .

[15]  Steven T. Berry,et al.  Automobile Prices in Market Equilibrium , 1995 .

[16]  N. L. Johnson,et al.  Continuous Univariate Distributions. , 1995 .

[17]  Danilo Santini,et al.  Determinants of Alternative Fuel Vehicle Choice in the Continental United States , 1997 .

[18]  Kenneth S Kurani,et al.  Refueling and the Vehicle Purchase Decision: The Diesel Car Case , 1987 .

[19]  Andrew N. Kleit,et al.  The effect of annual changes in automobile fuel economy standards , 1990 .

[20]  David L. Greene,et al.  Alternative fuels and vehicles choice model , 1994 .

[21]  P. Stolpman,et al.  Environmental Protection Agency , 2020, The Grants Register 2022.

[22]  R. N. Elliott,et al.  American Council for an Energy-Efficient Economy , 2002 .