Can “hot spots” in the sciences be mapped using the dynamics of aggregated journal–journal citation Relations?

Using 3 years of the Journal Citation Reports (2011, 2012, and 2013), indicators of transitions in 2012 (between 2011 and 2013) were studied using methodologies based on entropy statistics. Changes can be indicated at the level of journals using the margin totals of entropy production along the row or column vectors, but also at the level of links among journals by importing the transition matrices into network analysis and visualization programs (and using community‐finding algorithms). Seventy‐four journals were flagged in terms of discontinuous changes in their citations, but 3,114 journals were involved in “hot” links. Most of these links are embedded in a main component; 78 clusters (containing 172 journals) were flagged as potential “hot spots” emerging at the network level. An additional finding was that PLoS ONE introduced a new communication dynamic into the database. The limitations of the methodology were elaborated using an example. The results of the study indicate where developments in the citation dynamics can be considered as significantly unexpected. This can be used as heuristic information, but what a “hot spot” in terms of the entropy statistics of aggregated citation relations means substantively can be expected to vary from case to case.

[1]  Loet Leydesdorff,et al.  The development of frames of references , 1986, Scientometrics.

[2]  Loet Leydesdorff,et al.  Mapping Change in Scientific Specialties: A Scientometric Reconstruction of the Development of Artificial Intelligence , 1996, J. Am. Soc. Inf. Sci..

[3]  Loet Leydesdorff,et al.  Is the European Monetary System converging to integration? , 1999, 1001.4424.

[4]  Chaomei Chen,et al.  Interactive overlays of journals and the measurement of interdisciplinarity on the basis of aggregated journal-journal citations , 2013, J. Assoc. Inf. Sci. Technol..

[5]  Kevin W. Boyack,et al.  Toward a consensus map of science , 2009, J. Assoc. Inf. Sci. Technol..

[6]  Zaida Chinchilla-Rodríguez,et al.  Visualizing the marrow of science , 2007 .

[7]  Ludo Waltman,et al.  Software survey: VOSviewer, a computer program for bibliometric mapping , 2009, Scientometrics.

[8]  Sang Joon Kim,et al.  A Mathematical Theory of Communication , 2006 .

[9]  Loet Leydesdorff,et al.  What We Have Learned from the Amsterdam Science Shop , 1987 .

[10]  L. Tian,et al.  Phase transitions of the q-state Potts model on multiply-laced Sierpinski gaskets , 2013, 1303.1605.

[11]  L. Leydesdorff Scientific Communication and Cognitive Codification , 2007, 0911.2717.

[12]  Satoru Kawai,et al.  An Algorithm for Drawing General Undirected Graphs , 1989, Inf. Process. Lett..

[13]  L. Leydesdorff,et al.  Technological change and trade unions , 1984 .

[14]  R. Hanneman Introduction to Social Network Methods , 2001 .

[15]  Loet Leydesdorff,et al.  The impact of ec science policies on the transnational publication system , 1992 .

[16]  Loet Leydesdorff,et al.  Mapping Change in Scientific Specialties: A Scientometric Reconstruction of the Development of Artificial Intelligence , 1996, J. Am. Soc. Inf. Sci..

[17]  Ismael Rafols,et al.  Content-based and algorithmic classifications of journals: Perspectives on the dynamics of scientific communication and indexer effects , 2008, J. Assoc. Inf. Sci. Technol..

[18]  Vincent Larivière,et al.  The impact factor's Matthew Effect: A natural experiment in bibliometrics , 2009, J. Assoc. Inf. Sci. Technol..

[19]  Loet Leydesdorff,et al.  Content Analysis and the Measurement of Meaning: The Visualization of Frames in Collections of Messages , 2011 .

[20]  Loet Leydesdorff,et al.  Dynamic animations of journal maps: Indicators of structural changes and interdisciplinary developments , 2009, J. Assoc. Inf. Sci. Technol..

[21]  Francis Narin,et al.  Clustering of scientific journals , 1973, J. Am. Soc. Inf. Sci..

[22]  Loet Leydesdorff,et al.  The static and dynamic analysis of network data using information theory , 1991 .

[23]  Michel Callon,et al.  An Essay on Framing and Overflowing: Economic Externalities Revisited by Sociology , 1998 .

[24]  P. Visscher,et al.  Five years of GWAS discovery. , 2012, American journal of human genetics.

[25]  Ed C. M. Noyons,et al.  A unified approach to mapping and clustering of bibliometric networks , 2010, J. Informetrics.

[26]  Loet Leydesdorff,et al.  Indicators of structural change in the dynamics of science: Entropy statistics of the SCI Journal Citation Reports , 2009, Scientometrics.

[27]  M E J Newman,et al.  Finding and evaluating community structure in networks. , 2003, Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics.

[28]  Loet Leydesdorff Een Scientometrische Verkenning van de Biotechnologie. , 1994 .

[29]  D. H. Freeman Statistical Decomposition Analysis , 1974 .

[30]  Chaomei Chen,et al.  Patterns of connections and movements in dual‐map overlays: A new method of publication portfolio analysis , 2014, J. Assoc. Inf. Sci. Technol..

[31]  J. Ott,et al.  Complement Factor H Polymorphism in Age-Related Macular Degeneration , 2005, Science.

[32]  Martin Rosvall,et al.  Maps of random walks on complex networks reveal community structure , 2007, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[33]  Manfred Bonitz,et al.  The challenge of scientometrics: The development, measurement and self-organization of scientific communications , 1996, Scientometrics.

[34]  Vladimir Batagelj,et al.  Exploratory Social Network Analysis with Pajek , 2005 .

[35]  Wolfgang Glänzel,et al.  Using ‘core documents’ for detecting and labelling new emerging topics , 2011, Scientometrics.

[36]  Y. Bar-Hillel An Examination of Information Theory , 1955, Philosophy of Science.

[37]  K. K. Cetina,et al.  Unscrewing the big Leviathan: how actors macro- structure reality and how sociologists help them to do so , 2014 .

[38]  Huaiyu Zhu On Information and Sufficiency , 1997 .

[39]  Ronald N. Kostoff,et al.  Database tomography for information retrieval , 1997, J. Inf. Sci..

[40]  Loet Leydesdorff,et al.  Dynamic and evolutionary updates of classificatory schemes in scientific journal structures , 2002, J. Assoc. Inf. Sci. Technol..

[41]  Loet Leydesdorff,et al.  Scaling trajectories in civil aircraft (1913–1997) , 2000, 1001.1312.

[42]  Ludo Waltman,et al.  A smart local moving algorithm for large-scale modularity-based community detection , 2013, The European Physical Journal B.

[43]  Loet Leydesdorff,et al.  The Challenge of Scientometrics: The Development, Measurement, and Self-Organization of Scientific Communications , 2001 .

[44]  E. Holtzman,et al.  The Cancer Mission: Social Contexts of Biomedical Research , 1980 .

[45]  Loet Leydesdorff,et al.  The Social Direction of the Public Sciences , 1987 .

[46]  Kevin W. Boyack,et al.  Coco at the Copacabana: Introducing Co-cited Author Pair Co-citation (Coco) Analysis , 2009 .

[47]  Loet Leydesdorff,et al.  Tracking areas of strategic importance using scientometric journal mappings , 1994 .

[48]  Vladimir Batagelj,et al.  Exploratory social network analysis with Pajek. - 2nd ed. , 2011 .

[49]  Henry G. Small,et al.  Mapping the dynamics of science and technology , 1988, Scientometrics.

[50]  W. R. Garner,et al.  The relation between information and variance analyses , 1956 .

[51]  Ludo Waltman,et al.  Field-normalized citation impact indicators using algorithmically constructed classification systems of science , 2015, J. Informetrics.

[52]  Andrew D. Johnson,et al.  Bmc Medical Genetics an Open Access Database of Genome-wide Association Results , 2009 .

[53]  Loet Leydesdorff,et al.  The dynamics of triads in aggregated journal-journal citation relations: Specialty developments at the above-journal level , 2015, J. Informetrics.

[54]  Jean-Loup Guillaume,et al.  Fast unfolding of communities in large networks , 2008, 0803.0476.

[55]  Loet Leydesdorff,et al.  Clusters and Maps of Science Journals Based on Bi-connected Graphs in the Journal Citation Reports , 2009, ArXiv.

[56]  Loet Leydesdorff,et al.  Dynamic animations of journal maps: Indicators of structural changes and interdisciplinary developments , 2008 .

[57]  Klaus Krippendorff,et al.  Ross Ashby's information theory: a bit of history, some solutions to problems, and what we face today , 2009, Int. J. Gen. Syst..

[58]  Kevin W. Boyack,et al.  Mapping the backbone of science , 2004, Scientometrics.

[59]  Kevin W. Boyack,et al.  Toward a consensus map of science , 2009 .

[60]  Wouter de Nooy,et al.  Networks of action and events over time. A multilevel discrete-time event history model for longitudinal network data , 2011, Soc. Networks.

[61]  Edward M. Reingold,et al.  Graph drawing by force‐directed placement , 1991, Softw. Pract. Exp..

[62]  Félix de Moya Anegón,et al.  Visualizing the marrow of science , 2007, J. Assoc. Inf. Sci. Technol..