Malaria control in Botswana, 2008–2012: the path towards elimination

BackgroundBotswana has made substantial progress towards malaria elimination across the country. This work assessed interventions and epidemiological characteristics of malaria in Botswana, during a period of decreasing transmission intensity.MethodsNational passive malaria surveillance data for five years (2008–2012) were analysed. A district-level, random effects model with Poisson regression was used to explore the association between malaria cases and coverage with long-lasting insecticide-treated nets (LLINs) and indoor residual spraying (IRS). Malaria cases were mapped to visualize spatio-temporal variation in malaria for each year.ResultsWithin five years, a reduction in malaria prevalence (approximately 98%) and number of deaths (12 to three) was observed. Between 2008 and 2012, 237,050 LLINs were distributed and 596,979 rooms were sprayed with insecticides. Coverage with LLINs and IRS was not uniformly distributed over the study period and only targeted the northern districts with a high malaria burden. The coverage of IRS was associated with a reduction in malaria cases.ConclusionsBotswana has made significant strides towards its goal of country-wide elimination of malaria. A major challenge in the future will be prevention and management of imported malaria infections from neighbouring countries. In order to accurately monitor progress towards the elimination goal, the malaria control programme (NMP) should strengthen the reporting and capturing of data at household and individual level. Systematic, periodic operational research to feedback the NMP will help to guide and achieve elimination.

[1]  Malaria Prevalence, Risk Factors and Spatial Distribution in a Hilly Forest Area of Bangladesh , 2011, PloS one.

[2]  Abdullah S. Ali,et al.  Perception of malaria risk in a setting of reduced malaria transmission: a qualitative study in Zanzibar , 2013, Malaria Journal.

[3]  Caroline O. Buckee,et al.  A sticky situation: the unexpected stability of malaria elimination , 2013, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences.

[4]  David L. Smith,et al.  Travel risk, malaria importation and malaria transmission in Zanzibar , 2011, Scientific reports.

[5]  S. Hay,et al.  The decline in paediatric malaria admissions on the coast of Kenya , 2007, Malaria Journal.

[6]  David L Smith,et al.  The changing burden of malaria and association with vector control interventions in Zambia using district-level surveillance data, 2006–2011 , 2013, Malaria Journal.

[7]  A. Getis The Analysis of Spatial Association by Use of Distance Statistics , 2010 .

[8]  D. Conway,et al.  Changes in malaria indices between 1999 and 2007 in The Gambia: a retrospective analysis , 2008, The Lancet.

[9]  U. Haque,et al.  Modelling malaria treatment practices in Bangladesh using spatial statistics , 2012, Malaria Journal.

[10]  W. Hawley,et al.  Progress towards malaria elimination in Sabang Municipality, Aceh, Indonesia , 2013, Malaria Journal.

[11]  Abdullah S. Ali,et al.  Challenges for malaria elimination in Zanzibar: pyrethroid resistance in malaria vectors and poor performance of long-lasting insecticide nets , 2013, Parasites & Vectors.

[12]  Masahiro Hashizume,et al.  Progress and challenges to control malaria in a remote area of Chittagong hill tracts, Bangladesh , 2010, Malaria Journal.

[13]  Weltgesundheitsorganisation World malaria report , 2005 .

[14]  Tobago Population and Housing Census. , 2011 .

[15]  U. Haque,et al.  Risk Factors Associated with Clinical Malaria Episodes in Bangladesh: A Longitudinal Study , 2013, The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene.

[16]  Shyamal Roy,et al.  Characterizing the spatial and temporal variation of malaria incidence in Bangladesh, 2007 , 2012, Malaria Journal.

[17]  E. Faerstein,et al.  A DICTIONARY OF EPIDEMIOLOGY , 2016 .

[18]  Natacha Protopopoff,et al.  Evidence for a useful life of more than three years for a polyester-based long-lasting insecticidal mosquito net in Western Uganda , 2011, Malaria Journal.

[19]  R. Snow,et al.  Effect of a fall in malaria transmission on morbidity and mortality in Kilifi, Kenya , 2008, The Lancet.

[20]  M. Thomson,et al.  Use of rainfall and sea surface temperature monitoring for malaria early warning in Botswana. , 2005, The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene.

[21]  J. Ord,et al.  Local Spatial Autocorrelation Statistics: Distributional Issues and an Application , 2010 .

[22]  Abdullah S Ali,et al.  Impact of Artemisinin-Based Combination Therapy and Insecticide-Treated Nets on Malaria Burden in Zanzibar , 2007, PLoS medicine.

[23]  Miquel Porta,et al.  A Dictionary of Epidemiology , 2008 .

[24]  Andrew P. Morse,et al.  Malaria early warnings based on seasonal climate forecasts from multi-model ensembles , 2006, Nature.