Reply to Feeley and Silman: Extinction risk estimates are approximations but are not invalid

Feeley and Silman (1) call our extinction risk estimates (,2) “invalid.” They are not. They are approximations. Ranges of species with >106 individuals are sufficiently large to avoid extinction even under Laurance et al.'s (3) pessimistic scenario, irrespective of range shape. Range shapes of species with <103 individuals are also irrelevant (ranges …

[1]  M. Silman,et al.  Unrealistic assumptions invalidate extinction estimates , 2008, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[2]  S. Hubbell,et al.  How many tree species are there in the Amazon and how many of them will go extinct? , 2008, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[3]  H. Muller‐Landau,et al.  The Future of Tropical Forest Species 1 , 2006 .

[4]  William F. Laurance,et al.  The Future of the Brazilian Amazon , 2001, Science.