Analyzing variations in life-history traits of Pacific salmon in the context of Dynamic Energy Budget (DEB) theory

To determine the response of Pacific salmon (Oncorhynchus spp.) populations to environmental change, we need to understand impacts on all life stages. However, an integrative and mechanistic approach is particularly challenging for Pacific salmon as they use multiple habitats (river, estuarine and marine) during their life cycle. Here we develop a bioenergetic model that predicts development, growth and reproduction of a Pacific salmon in a dynamic environment, from an egg to a reproducing female, and that links female state to egg traits. This model uses Dynamic Energy Budget (DEB) theory to predict how life history traits vary among five species of Pacific salmon: Pink, Sockeye, Coho, Chum and Chinook. Supplemented with a limited number of assumptions on anadromy and semelparity and external signals for migrations, the model reproduces the qualitative patterns in egg size, fry size and fecundity both at the inter- and intra-species levels. Our results highlight how modeling all life stages within a single framework enables us to better understand complex life-history patterns. Additionally we show that body size scaling relationships implied by DEB theory provide a simple way to transfer model parameters among Pacific salmon species, thus providing a generic approach to study the impact of environmental conditions on the life cycle of Pacific salmon.

[1]  Donald L. DeAngelis,et al.  An Overview of Methods for Developing Bioenergetic and Life History Models for Rare and Endangered Species , 2008 .

[2]  S. Kooijman,et al.  From food‐dependent statistics to metabolic parameters, a practical guide to the use of dynamic energy budget theory , 2008, Biological reviews of the Cambridge Philosophical Society.

[3]  T. Quinn,et al.  Spatial–Temporal Dynamics of Early Feeding Demand and Food Supply for Sockeye Salmon Fry in Lake Washington , 2004 .

[4]  Marc Mangel,et al.  Modelling the proximate basis of salmonid life-history variation, with application to Atlantic salmon, Salmo salar L. , 2004, Evolutionary Ecology.

[5]  Kerim Aydin,et al.  Linking oceanic food webs to coastal production and growth rates of Pacific salmon (Oncorhynchus spp.), using models on three scales , 2005 .

[6]  C. P. Madenjian,et al.  Evaluation of a chinook salmon (Oncorhynchus tshawytscha) bioenergetics model , 2004 .

[7]  M. Mangel,et al.  Steelhead Life History on California's Central Coast: Insights from a State-Dependent Model , 2009 .

[8]  T. Beacham,et al.  Fecundity and egg size variation in North American Pacific salmon (Oncorhynchus) , 1993 .

[9]  Gene E. Likens,et al.  Rising stream and river temperatures in the United States , 2010 .

[10]  R. Nisbet,et al.  Sublethal toxicant effects with dynamic energy budget theory: model formulation , 2009, Ecotoxicology.

[11]  D. Welch,et al.  Modeling the Oxygen Consumption Rates in Pacific Salmon and Steelhead: An Assessment of Current Models and Practices , 2004 .

[12]  S. Hinch,et al.  Swim speeds and energy use of upriver-migrating sockeye salmon (Oncorhynchus nerka): simulating metabolic power and assessing risk of energy depletion , 1998 .

[13]  M. Mangel Climate change and salmonid life history variation , 1994 .

[14]  P. A. Larkin,et al.  A Concept of Growth in Fishes , 1959 .

[15]  S. Kooijman,et al.  From molecules to ecosystems through dynamic energy budget models. , 2000 .

[16]  T. Quinn,et al.  The influence of life history trade-offs and the size of incubation gravels on egg size variation in sockeye salmon (Oncorhynchus nerka) , 1995 .

[17]  A. Ballantyne,et al.  The importance of dietary phosphorus and highly unsaturated fatty acids for sockeye (Oncorhynchus nerka) growth in Lake Washington — a bioenergetics approach , 2003 .

[18]  M. Mangel,et al.  COMBINING PROXIMATE AND ULTIMATE APPROACHES TO UNDERSTAND LIFE HISTORY VARIATION IN SALMONIDS WITH APPLICATION TO FISHERIES, CONSERVATION, AND AQUACULTURE , 2008 .

[19]  Pierre Petitgas,et al.  Modeling fish growth and reproduction in the context of the Dynamic Energy Budget theory to predict environmental impact on anchovy spawning duration , 2009 .

[20]  S. Kooijman,et al.  A quantitative estimation of the energetic cost of brown ring disease in the Manila clam using Dynamic Energy Budget theory. , 2009 .

[21]  D. J. Stewart,et al.  Predation and Production by Salmonine Fishes in Lake Michigan, 1978–88 , 1991 .

[22]  M. Lewis,et al.  Transmission dynamics of parasitic sea lice from farm to wild salmon , 2005, Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences.

[23]  Bas Kooijman,et al.  Dynamic Energy Budget Theory for Metabolic Organisation , 2005 .

[24]  P. Rombough Initial Egg Weight, Time to Maximum Alevin Wet Weight, and Optimal Ponding Times for Chinook Salmon (Oncorhynchus tshawytscha) , 1985 .

[25]  Sebastiaan A.L.M. Kooijman,et al.  Body size scaling relationships in flatfish as predicted by dynamic energy budgets (deb theory): implications for recruitment. , 2003 .

[26]  Sebastiaan A.L.M. Kooijman,et al.  The “covariation method” for estimating the parameters of the standard Dynamic Energy Budget model I: Philosophy and approach , 2011 .

[27]  John R. Post,et al.  Instream flow needs in streams and rivers: the importance of understanding ecological dynamics , 2006 .

[28]  S. Kooijman,et al.  What the egg can tell about its hen: Embryonic development on the basis of dynamic energy budgets , 2009, Journal of mathematical biology.

[29]  R. Francis,et al.  Food consumption of juvenile coho (Oncorhynchus kisutch) and chinook salmon (O. tshawytscha) on the continental shelf off Washington and Oregon , 1992 .

[30]  T. Beacham,et al.  Temperature, Egg Size, and Development of Embryos and Alevins of Five Species of Pacific Salmon: A Comparative Analysis , 1990 .

[31]  T. Quinn,et al.  Breeding location choice in salmon: causes (habitat, competition, body size, energy stores) and consequences (life span, energy stores) , 2001 .

[32]  K. D. Arkush,et al.  State-dependent life history plasticity in Sacramento River winter-run chinook salmon (Oncorhynchus tshawytscha): interactions among photoperiod and growth modulate smolting and early male maturation , 2007 .

[33]  S. Kooijman,et al.  Dynamic energy budget theory restores coherence in biology , 2010, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences.

[34]  L. Margolis,et al.  Physiological Ecology of Pacific Salmon , 2002 .

[35]  N. Scholz,et al.  Pesticides, aquatic food webs, and the conservation of Pacific salmon , 2010 .

[36]  T. Quinn The Behavior and Ecology of Pacific Salmon and Trout , 2004 .

[37]  D. Welch,et al.  Indicators of Energetic Status in Juvenile Coho Salmon and Chinook Salmon , 2005 .