Movie recommender system for profit maximization

Traditional recommender systems minimize prediction error with respect to users' choices. Recent studies have shown that recommender systems have a positive effect on the provider's revenue. In this paper we show that by providing a set of recommendations different than the one perceived best according to user acceptance rate, the recommendation system can further increase the business' utility (e.g. revenue), without any significant drop in user satisfaction. Indeed, the recommendation system designer should have in mind both the user, whose taste we need to reveal, and the business, which wants to promote specific content. We performed a large body of experiments comparing a commercial state-of-the-art recommendation engine with a modified recommendation list, which takes into account the utility (or revenue) which the business obtains from each suggestion that is accepted by the user. We show that the modified recommendation list is more desirable for the business, as the end result gives the business a higher utility (or revenue). To study possible reduce in satisfaction by providing the user worse suggestions, we asked the users how they perceive the list of recommendation that they received. Differences in user satisfaction between the lists is negligible, and not statistically significant. We also uncover a phenomenon where movie consumers prefer watching and even paying for movies that they have already seen in the past than movies that are new to them.

[1]  Füsun F. Gönül,et al.  Modeling Multiple Sources of Heterogeneity in Multinomial Logit Models: Methodological and Managerial Issues , 1993 .

[2]  Claire Mathieu,et al.  Maximizing profit using recommender systems , 2009, ArXiv.

[3]  A. Tversky,et al.  The framing of decisions and the psychology of choice. , 1981, Science.

[4]  John R. Hauser,et al.  Consideration-set heuristics ☆ , 2014 .

[5]  Ron Shachar,et al.  The Asymmetric Information Model of State Dependence , 2002 .

[6]  A. M. Madni,et al.  Recommender systems in e-commerce , 2014, 2014 World Automation Congress (WAC).

[7]  Guy Shani,et al.  An MDP-Based Recommender System , 2002, J. Mach. Learn. Res..

[8]  Jure Leskovec,et al.  Supervised random walks: predicting and recommending links in social networks , 2010, WSDM '11.

[9]  Ram D. Gopal,et al.  Empirical Analysis of the Impact of Recommender Systems on Sales , 2010, J. Manag. Inf. Syst..

[10]  J. Heckman Heterogeneity and State Dependence , 1981 .

[11]  J. Lattin A Model of Balanced Choice Behavior , 1987 .

[12]  Long-Sheng Chen,et al.  Developing recommender systems with the consideration of product profitability for sellers , 2008, Inf. Sci..

[13]  R. Bornstein,et al.  Stimulus recognition and the mere exposure effect. , 1992, Journal of personality and social psychology.

[14]  Bracha Shapira,et al.  Recommender Systems Handbook , 2010, Springer US.

[15]  D. Read Monetary incentives, what are they good for? , 2005 .

[16]  John Riedl,et al.  Recommender systems in e-commerce , 1999, EC '99.

[17]  Greg Linden,et al.  Amazon . com Recommendations Item-to-Item Collaborative Filtering , 2001 .

[18]  Amos Azaria,et al.  Strategic advice provision in repeated human-agent interactions , 2012, Autonomous Agents and Multi-Agent Systems.

[19]  R. Zajonc Attitudinal effects of mere exposure. , 1968 .

[20]  Ramayya Krishnan,et al.  Recomended for You: The Impact of Profit Incentives on the Relevance of Online Recommendations , 2008, ICIS.

[21]  Sidney J. Levy,et al.  The Temporal and Focal Dynamics of Volitional Reconsumption: A Phenomenological Investigation of Repeated Hedonic Experiences , 2012 .

[22]  Gary J. Russell,et al.  A Probabilistic Choice Model for Market Segmentation and Elasticity Structure , 1989 .

[23]  Patrick Seemann,et al.  Matrix Factorization Techniques for Recommender Systems , 2014 .

[24]  Peter E. Rossi,et al.  The Value of Purchase History Data in Target Marketing , 1996 .