Levelized cost of solar photovoltaics and wind supported by storage technologies to supply firm electricity

Abstract Energy storage technologies can assist intermittent solar and wind power to supply firm electricity by forming flexible hybrid systems. However, evaluating these hybrid systems has proved to be a major challenge, since their techno-economic performance depends on a large number of parameters, including the renewable energy generation profile, operational parameters of storage technologies and their associated costs. In this study, we develop a method to simulate the performance and determine the levelized cost of hybrid systems to provide firm electricity supply under various supply strategies such as peak demand and baseload at three different scales (representative sizes). The methodology is implemented for Switzerland, however, it can also be replicated for other geographies. Our results show that the optimal choice for a hybrid system depends on the scale rather than the supply mode strategy. We find that solar photovoltaics in combination with lithium-ion battery at the residential (0.39 to 0.77 EUR/kWh) and utility scale (0.17 to 0.36 EUR/kWh) as well as with pumped hydro storage at the bulk scale (0.13 to 0.18 EUR/kWh) offer the lowest levelized costs. Reducing the cost of both renewable and storage technologies as well as the storage size by allowing some level of curtailment or distortion in the firm supply profile improves the cost-competitiveness of hybrid systems.

[1]  D. Iribarren,et al.  Life-cycle consequences of internalising socio-environmental externalities of power generation. , 2018, The Science of the total environment.

[2]  Siddharth Suman,et al.  Hybrid nuclear-renewable energy systems: A review , 2018 .

[3]  Hazel E. Thornton,et al.  The climatological relationships between wind and solar energy supply in Britain , 2015, 1505.07071.

[4]  Anthony Paul Roskilly,et al.  Levelised Cost of Storage for Pumped Heat Energy Storage in comparison with other energy storage technologies , 2017 .

[5]  Matthew R. Shaner,et al.  Geophysical constraints on the reliability of solar and wind power in the United States , 2018 .

[6]  H. Khatib,et al.  Economics of nuclear and renewables , 2016 .

[7]  Joydeep Mitra,et al.  Quantification of Storage Necessary to Firm Up Wind Generation , 2017 .

[8]  S. Pfenninger,et al.  Impacts of Inter-annual Wind and Solar Variations on the European Power System , 2018, Joule.

[9]  Zhi Zhou,et al.  The benefits of nuclear flexibility in power system operations with renewable energy , 2018, Applied Energy.

[10]  Philipp Blechinger,et al.  Energy storage potential for solar based hybridization of off-grid diesel power plants in Tanzania , 2014 .

[11]  D. Parra,et al.  An assessment of the impacts of renewable and conventional electricity supply on the cost and value of power-to-gas , 2019, International Journal of Hydrogen Energy.

[12]  Luis Fialho,et al.  Implementation and Validation of a Self-Consumption Maximization Energy Management Strategy in a Vanadium Redox Flow BIPV Demonstrator , 2016 .

[13]  Patrick Milan,et al.  Kolmogorov spectrum of renewable wind and solar power fluctuations , 2014 .

[14]  Ahmad Zahedi,et al.  Review of control strategies for voltage regulation of the smart distribution network with high penetration of renewable distributed generation , 2016 .

[15]  Wen Zhou,et al.  Regional Impact Assessment of Monsoon Variability on Wind Power Availability and Optimization in Asia , 2017 .

[16]  Joshua M. Pearce,et al.  A Review of Solar Photovoltaic Levelized Cost of Electricity , 2011 .

[17]  Joakim Widen,et al.  Correlations Between Large-Scale Solar and Wind Power in a Future Scenario for Sweden , 2011, IEEE Transactions on Sustainable Energy.

[18]  C. Mansilla,et al.  Nuclear and intermittent renewables: Two compatible supply options? The case of the French power mix , 2016 .

[19]  Robert A. Taylor,et al.  Assessment of solar and wind resource synergy in Australia , 2017 .

[20]  Marcelo Gradella Villalva,et al.  Comprehensive Approach to Modeling and Simulation of Photovoltaic Arrays , 2009, IEEE Transactions on Power Electronics.

[21]  Hannele Holttinen,et al.  Current Methods to Calculate Capacity Credit of Wind Power, IEA Collaboration , 2008, 2008 IEEE Power and Energy Society General Meeting - Conversion and Delivery of Electrical Energy in the 21st Century.

[22]  W. Beckman,et al.  Solar Engineering of Thermal Processes , 1985 .

[23]  Iain Staffell,et al.  The increasing impact of weather on electricity supply and demand , 2018 .

[24]  A. Prashant Kumar,et al.  Analysis of Hybrid Systems: Software tools , 2016, 2016 2nd International Conference on Advances in Electrical, Electronics, Information, Communication and Bio-Informatics (AEEICB).

[25]  Iain Staffell,et al.  High solar photovoltaic penetration in the absence of substantial wind capacity: Storage requirements and effects on capacity adequacy , 2017 .

[26]  Joao P. S. Catalao,et al.  An overview of Demand Response: Key-elements and international experience , 2017 .

[27]  Jesse D. Jenkins,et al.  The Role of Firm Low-Carbon Electricity Resources in Deep Decarbonization of Power Generation , 2018, Joule.

[28]  Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft The Future of Swiss Hydropower: A Review on Drivers and Uncertainties , 2015 .

[29]  Malcolm McCulloch,et al.  Levelized cost of electricity for solar photovoltaic and electrical energy storage , 2017 .

[30]  Sanna Syri,et al.  Electrical energy storage systems: A comparative life cycle cost analysis , 2015 .

[31]  Machteld van den Broek,et al.  Least-cost options for integrating intermittent renewables in low-carbon power systems , 2016 .

[32]  Begüm Özkaynak,et al.  Citizens’ preferences on nuclear and renewable energy sources: Evidence from Turkey , 2012 .

[33]  F. DeAngelis,et al.  An economic analysis of residential photovoltaic systems with lithium ion battery storage in the United States , 2018, Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews.

[34]  Guzmán Díaz,et al.  Dynamic evaluation of the levelized cost of wind power generation , 2015 .

[35]  William D'haeseleer,et al.  An analytical formula for the capacity credit of wind power , 2006 .

[36]  P. Denholm,et al.  The Potential for Energy Storage to Provide Peaking Capacity in California Under Increased Penetration of Solar Photovoltaics , 2018 .

[37]  A. Owen,et al.  Renewable energy: Externality costs as market barriers , 2006 .

[38]  Marta C. González,et al.  Optimized PV-coupled battery systems for combining applications: Impact of battery technology and geography , 2019, Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews.

[39]  P. B. Eriksen,et al.  Wind and solar energy curtailment: A review of international experience , 2016 .

[40]  René Schumann,et al.  The Future of Swiss Hydropower - A Review on Drivers and Uncertainties , 2015 .

[41]  Martin Kumar Patel,et al.  Techno-economic and environmental assessment of stationary electricity storage technologies for different time scales , 2017 .

[42]  Robert B. Bass,et al.  Calculation of levelized costs of electricity for various electrical energy storage systems , 2017 .

[43]  Kathrin Volkart,et al.  Life Cycle Assessment of Power-to-Gas: Approaches, system variations and their environmental implications , 2017 .

[44]  Joshua M. Pearce,et al.  Levelized cost of electricity for solar photovoltaic, battery and cogen hybrid systems , 2016 .

[45]  Christian Breyer,et al.  Transition towards a 100% Renewable Energy System and the Role of Storage Technologies: A Case Study of Iran , 2017 .

[46]  Sunanda Sinha,et al.  Review of software tools for hybrid renewable energy systems , 2014 .

[47]  Yongliang Li,et al.  An economic feasibility assessment of decoupled energy storage in the UK: With liquid air energy storage as a case study , 2018, Applied Energy.

[48]  Martin Kumar Patel,et al.  An interdisciplinary review of energy storage for communities: Challenges and perspectives , 2017 .

[49]  Annelen Kahl,et al.  Potential contributions of wind power to a stable and highly renewable Swiss power supply , 2017 .

[50]  J. Trancik,et al.  Value of storage technologies for wind and solar energy , 2016 .

[51]  Alejandro Pena-Bello,et al.  Additional Emissions and Cost from Storing Electricity in Stationary Battery Systems. , 2019, Environmental science & technology.

[52]  Verena Jülch,et al.  Comparison of electricity storage options using levelized cost of storage (LCOS) method , 2016 .

[53]  Nirala Singh,et al.  Levelized cost of energy and sensitivity analysis for the hydrogen-bromine flow battery , 2015 .

[54]  Michael Kurrat,et al.  Challenges and opportunities for a European HVDC grid , 2017 .