Landslide Susceptibility Mapping Using Machine Learning Algorithms and Remote Sensing Data in a Tropical Environment

We used AdaBoost (AB), alternating decision tree (ADTree), and their combination as an ensemble model (AB-ADTree) to spatially predict landslides in the Cameron Highlands, Malaysia. The models were trained with a database of 152 landslides compiled using Synthetic Aperture Radar Interferometry, Google Earth images, and field surveys, and 17 conditioning factors (slope, aspect, elevation, distance to road, distance to river, proximity to fault, road density, river density, normalized difference vegetation index, rainfall, land cover, lithology, soil types, curvature, profile curvature, stream power index, and topographic wetness index). We carried out the validation process using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and several parametric and non-parametric performance metrics, including positive predictive value, negative predictive value, sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, root mean square error, and the Friedman and Wilcoxon sign rank tests. The AB model (AUC = 0.96) performed better than the ensemble AB-ADTree model (AUC = 0.94) and successfully outperformed the ADTree model (AUC = 0.59) in predicting landslide susceptibility. Our findings provide insights into the development of more efficient and accurate landslide predictive models that can be used by decision makers and land-use managers to mitigate landslide hazards.

[1]  A. Clerici,et al.  A procedure for landslide susceptibility zonation by the conditional analysis method , 2002 .

[2]  Filippo Catani,et al.  Landslide susceptibility map refinement using PSInSAR data , 2016 .

[3]  C. F. Lee,et al.  Assessment of landslide susceptibility on the natural terrain of Lantau Island, Hong Kong , 2001 .

[4]  Nadhir Al-Ansari,et al.  Groundwater Potential Mapping Combining Artificial Neural Network and Real AdaBoost Ensemble Technique: The DakNong Province Case-study, Vietnam , 2020, International journal of environmental research and public health.

[5]  Wei Chen,et al.  GIS-Based Evaluation of Landslide Susceptibility Models Using Certainty Factors and Functional Trees-Based Ensemble Techniques , 2019, Applied Sciences.

[6]  P. T. Ghazvinei,et al.  A Hybrid Intelligence Approach to Enhance the Prediction Accuracy of Local Scour Depth at Complex Bridge Piers , 2020 .

[7]  Himan Shahabi,et al.  A novel hybrid approach of Bayesian Logistic Regression and its ensembles for landslide susceptibility assessment , 2018, Geocarto International.

[8]  Himan Shahabi,et al.  Hybrid artificial intelligence models based on a neuro-fuzzy system and metaheuristic optimization algorithms for spatial prediction of wildfire probability , 2019, Agricultural and Forest Meteorology.

[9]  Biswajeet Pradhan,et al.  A comparative study of different machine learning methods for landslide susceptibility assessment: A case study of Uttarakhand area (India) , 2016, Environ. Model. Softw..

[10]  B. Pradhan,et al.  Spatial prediction of landslide hazard at the Yihuang area (China) using two-class kernel logistic regression, alternating decision tree and support vector machines , 2015 .

[11]  Himan Shahabi,et al.  INTEGRATION OF INSAR TECHNIQUE, GOOGLE EARTH IMAGES AND EXTENSIVE FIELD SURVEY FOR LANDSLIDE INVENTORY IN A PART OF CAMERON HIGHLANDS, PAHANG, MALAYSIA , 2018 .

[12]  Dieu Tien Bui,et al.  Genetic and firefly metaheuristic algorithms for an optimized neuro-fuzzy prediction modeling of wildfire probability. , 2019, Journal of environmental management.

[13]  Joseph H. A. Guillaume,et al.  Characterising performance of environmental models , 2013, Environ. Model. Softw..

[14]  Bayes Ahmed,et al.  Application of Bivariate and Multivariate Statistical Techniques in Landslide Susceptibility Modeling in Chittagong City Corporation, Bangladesh , 2017, Remote. Sens..

[15]  Ataollah ShirzadiLee A GIS-based logistic regression model in rock-fall susceptibility mapping along a mountainous road: Salavat Abad case study, Kurdistan, Iran , 2012 .

[16]  D. Bui,et al.  Shallow landslide susceptibility assessment using a novel hybrid intelligence approach , 2017, Environmental Earth Sciences.

[17]  A. Jaafari LiDAR-supported prediction of slope failures using an integrated ensemble weights-of-evidence and analytical hierarchy process , 2018, Environmental Earth Sciences.

[18]  Dieu Tien Bui,et al.  Hybrid integration of Multilayer Perceptron Neural Networks and machine learning ensembles for landslide susceptibility assessment at Himalayan area (India) using GIS , 2017 .

[19]  B. Pham,et al.  Prediction Success of Machine Learning Methods for Flash Flood Susceptibility Mapping in the Tafresh Watershed, Iran , 2019, Sustainability.

[20]  A. Darvishsefat,et al.  Land use change modeling through an integrated Multi-Layer Perceptron Neural Network and Markov Chain analysis (case study: Arasbaran region, Iran) , 2019, Journal of Forestry Research.

[21]  Biswajeet Pradhan,et al.  Application of a neuro-fuzzy model to landslide-susceptibility mapping for shallow landslides in a tropical hilly area , 2011, Comput. Geosci..

[22]  T. Brewer,et al.  Rainfall thresholding and susceptibility assessment of rainfall-induced landslides: application to landslide management in St Thomas, Jamaica , 2009 .

[23]  Saro Lee,et al.  Modelling gully-erosion susceptibility in a semi-arid region, Iran: Investigation of applicability of certainty factor and maximum entropy models. , 2019, The Science of the total environment.

[24]  The sand dunes migration patterns in Mesr Erg region using satellite imagery analysis and wind data , 2017 .

[25]  John J. Clague,et al.  Shallow Landslide Susceptibility Mapping by Random Forest Base Classifier and Its Ensembles in a Semi-Arid Region of Iran , 2020 .

[26]  B. Pradhan,et al.  Landslide Susceptibility Mapping Along the National Road 32 of Vietnam Using GIS-Based J48 Decision Tree Classifier and Its Ensembles , 2014 .

[27]  Wei Chen,et al.  Applying population-based evolutionary algorithms and a neuro-fuzzy system for modeling landslide susceptibility , 2019, CATENA.

[28]  Dieu Tien Bui,et al.  Spatially explicit predictions of changes in the extent of mangroves of Iran at the end of the 21st century , 2020 .

[29]  D. Bui,et al.  Hybrid Machine Learning Approaches for Landslide Susceptibility Modeling , 2019, Forests.

[30]  Binh Thai Pham,et al.  Wildfire spatial pattern analysis in the Zagros Mountains, Iran: A comparative study of decision tree based classifiers , 2018, Ecol. Informatics.

[31]  B. Pradhan,et al.  A comparative study of logistic model tree, random forest, and classification and regression tree models for spatial prediction of landslide susceptibility , 2017 .

[32]  Nadhir Al-Ansari,et al.  Flood Detection and Susceptibility Mapping Using Sentinel-1 Remote Sensing Data and a Machine Learning Approach: Hybrid Intelligence of Bagging Ensemble Based on K-Nearest Neighbor Classifier , 2020, Remote. Sens..

[33]  Dieu Tien Bui,et al.  Meta optimization of an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system with grey wolf optimizer and biogeography-based optimization algorithms for spatial prediction of landslide susceptibility , 2019, CATENA.

[34]  Dieu Tien Bui,et al.  Hybrid computational intelligence models for groundwater potential mapping , 2019, CATENA.

[35]  B. Pradhan,et al.  GIS-based modeling of rainfall-induced landslides using data mining-based functional trees classifier with AdaBoost, Bagging, and MultiBoost ensemble frameworks , 2016, Environmental Earth Sciences.

[36]  Wei Chen,et al.  A Hybrid Computational Intelligence Approach to Groundwater Spring Potential Mapping , 2019, Water.

[37]  Hossein Moayedi,et al.  A spatially explicit deep learning neural network model for the prediction of landslide susceptibility , 2020 .

[38]  Mohammad Mehrabi,et al.  Novel hybrids of adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) with several metaheuristic algorithms for spatial susceptibility assessment of seismic-induced landslide , 2019, Geomatics, Natural Hazards and Risk.

[39]  Biswajeet Pradhan,et al.  Novel GIS Based Machine Learning Algorithms for Shallow Landslide Susceptibility Mapping , 2018, Sensors.

[40]  A. Zhu,et al.  A novel hybrid integration model using support vector machines and random subspace for weather-triggered landslide susceptibility assessment in the Wuning area (China) , 2017, Environmental Earth Sciences.

[41]  Zahra Kalantari,et al.  Capability and robustness of novel hybridized models used for drought hazard modeling in southeast Queensland, Australia. , 2019, The Science of the total environment.

[42]  Jie Dou,et al.  New Ensemble Models for Shallow Landslide Susceptibility Modeling in a Semi-Arid Watershed , 2019, Forests.

[43]  Tri Dev Acharya,et al.  Landslide susceptibility mapping using J48 Decision Tree with AdaBoost, Bagging and Rotation Forest ensembles in the Guangchang area (China) , 2018 .

[44]  D. Bui,et al.  A hybrid machine learning ensemble approach based on a Radial Basis Function neural network and Rotation Forest for landslide susceptibility modeling: A case study in the Himalayan area, India , 2017, International Journal of Sediment Research.

[45]  Sahana,et al.  Landslide Susceptibility Assessment by Novel Hybrid Machine Learning Algorithms , 2019, Sustainability.

[46]  Majid Shadman Roodposhti,et al.  Landslide susceptibility mapping using geographically-weighted principal component analysis , 2014 .

[47]  Wei Chen,et al.  Hybrid Computational Intelligence Methods for Landslide Susceptibility Mapping , 2020, Symmetry.

[48]  Saro Lee,et al.  Use of an artificial neural network for analysis of the susceptibility to landslides at Boun, Korea , 2003 .

[49]  A. Zhu,et al.  GIS-based landslide susceptibility evaluation using a novel hybrid integration approach of bivariate statistical based random forest method , 2018 .

[50]  F. Dai,et al.  Assessment of land-slide susceptibility on the natural terrain of Lantau Island , 2001 .

[51]  Javad Rezaeian,et al.  Prediction of Slope Failures in Support of Forestry Operations Safety , 2017 .

[52]  Nadhir Al-Ansari,et al.  Shallow Landslide Susceptibility Mapping: A Comparison between Logistic Model Tree, Logistic Regression, Naïve Bayes Tree, Artificial Neural Network, and Support Vector Machine Algorithms , 2020, International journal of environmental research and public health.

[53]  Wei Chen,et al.  GIS-Based Gully Erosion Susceptibility Mapping: A Comparison of Computational Ensemble Data Mining Models , 2020, Applied Sciences.

[54]  Biswajeet Pradhan,et al.  Modeling flood susceptibility using data-driven approaches of naïve Bayes tree, alternating decision tree, and random forest methods. , 2019, The Science of the total environment.

[55]  Binh Thai Pham,et al.  Application of artificial neural networks for predicting tree survival and mortality in the Hyrcanian forest of Iran , 2019, Comput. Electron. Agric..

[56]  H. Shahabi,et al.  Soil Erosion Hazard Mapping in Central Zab Basin Using Epm Model in GIS Environment , 2016 .

[57]  Nadhir Al-Ansari,et al.  Mapping of Groundwater Spring Potential in Karst Aquifer System Using Novel Ensemble Bivariate and Multivariate Models , 2020, Water.

[58]  A. Zhu,et al.  Novel hybrid artificial intelligence approach of bivariate statistical-methods-based kernel logistic regression classifier for landslide susceptibility modeling , 2018, Bulletin of Engineering Geology and the Environment.

[59]  Bahareh Kalantar,et al.  Two novel neural-evolutionary predictive techniques of dragonfly algorithm (DA) and biogeography-based optimization (BBO) for landslide susceptibility analysis , 2019, Geomatics, Natural Hazards and Risk.

[60]  Dieu Tien Bui,et al.  Wildfire Probability Mapping: Bivariate vs. Multivariate Statistics , 2019, Remote. Sens..

[61]  Lee Saro,et al.  A GIS-based logistic regression model in rock-fall susceptibility mapping along a mountainous road: Salavat Abad case study, Kurdistan, Iran , 2012, Natural Hazards.

[62]  A. Jaafari,et al.  Modeling erosion and sediment delivery from unpaved roads in the north mountainous forest of Iran , 2015 .

[63]  Mazlan Hashim,et al.  Landslide susceptibility mapping using GIS-based statistical models and Remote sensing data in tropical environment , 2015, Scientific Reports.

[64]  Mustafa Neamah Jebur,et al.  Optimization of landslide conditioning factors using very high-resolution airborne laser scanning (LiDAR) data at catchment scale , 2014 .

[65]  Philippa J. Mason,et al.  Landslide hazard assessment in the Three Gorges area of the Yangtze river using ASTER imagery: Zigui–Badong , 2004 .

[66]  Biswajeet Pradhan,et al.  Shallow Landslide Prediction Using a Novel Hybrid Functional Machine Learning Algorithm , 2019, Remote. Sens..

[67]  Yoav Freund,et al.  The Alternating Decision Tree Learning Algorithm , 1999, ICML.

[68]  Wei Chen,et al.  Landslide Detection and Susceptibility Mapping by AIRSAR Data Using Support Vector Machine and Index of Entropy Models in Cameron Highlands, Malaysia , 2018, Remote. Sens..

[69]  Dieu Tien Bui,et al.  Development of a Novel Hybrid Intelligence Approach for Landslide Spatial Prediction , 2019, Applied Sciences.

[70]  R. Danby,et al.  Inconsistent relationships between annual tree ring-widths and satellite-measured NDVI in a mountainous subarctic environment , 2018, Ecological Indicators.

[71]  H. Shahabi,et al.  Novel forecasting approaches using combination of machine learning and statistical models for flood susceptibility mapping. , 2018, Journal of environmental management.

[72]  M. Friedman The Use of Ranks to Avoid the Assumption of Normality Implicit in the Analysis of Variance , 1937 .

[73]  B. Pradhan,et al.  A comparative assessment of flood susceptibility modeling using Multi-Criteria Decision-Making Analysis and Machine Learning Methods , 2019, Journal of Hydrology.

[74]  Lior Rokach,et al.  Ensemble-based classifiers , 2010, Artificial Intelligence Review.

[75]  Biswajeet Pradhan,et al.  Novel Hybrid Integration Approach of Bagging-Based Fisher’s Linear Discriminant Function for Groundwater Potential Analysis , 2019, Natural Resources Research.

[76]  Wei Chen,et al.  Performance evaluation of the GIS-based data mining techniques of best-first decision tree, random forest, and naïve Bayes tree for landslide susceptibility modeling. , 2018, The Science of the total environment.

[77]  Wei Chen,et al.  Evaluating the usage of tree-based ensemble methods in groundwater spring potential mapping , 2020 .

[78]  Ravinesh C. Deo,et al.  Land subsidence modelling using tree-based machine learning algorithms. , 2019, The Science of the total environment.

[79]  M. Turrini,et al.  An objective method to rank the importance of the factors predisposing to landslides with the GIS methodology: application to an area of the Apennines (Valnerina; Perugia, Italy) , 2002 .

[80]  T. Cheng,et al.  Mapping landslide susceptibility and types using Random Forest , 2018 .

[81]  Nadhir Al-Ansari,et al.  GIS Based Hybrid Computational Approaches for Flash Flood Susceptibility Assessment , 2020, Water.

[82]  H. Pourghasemi,et al.  GIS-based frequency ratio and index of entropy models for landslide susceptibility assessment in the Caspian forest, northern Iran , 2014, International Journal of Environmental Science and Technology.

[83]  Himan Shahabi,et al.  Landslide spatial modelling using novel bivariate statistical based Naïve Bayes, RBF Classifier, and RBF Network machine learning algorithms. , 2019, The Science of the total environment.

[84]  Abolfazl Jaafari,et al.  Mangrove regional feedback to sea level rise and drought intensity at the end of the 21st century , 2020 .

[85]  Isik Yilmaz,et al.  Landslide susceptibility mapping using frequency ratio, logistic regression, artificial neural networks and their comparison: A case study from Kat landslides (Tokat - Turkey) , 2009, Comput. Geosci..

[86]  D. Bui,et al.  Uncertainties of prediction accuracy in shallow landslide modeling: Sample size and raster resolution , 2019, CATENA.

[87]  Hossein Shafizadeh-Moghadam,et al.  Big data in Geohazard; pattern mining and large scale analysis of landslides in Iran , 2018, Earth Science Informatics.

[88]  Wei Chen,et al.  Spatial prediction of landslide susceptibility by combining evidential belief function, logistic regression and logistic model tree , 2019, Geocarto International.

[89]  H. Shahabi,et al.  Remote sensing and GIS-based landslide susceptibility mapping using frequency ratio, logistic regression, and fuzzy logic methods at the central Zab basin, Iran , 2015, Environmental Earth Sciences.

[90]  D. Bui,et al.  Landslide susceptibility modeling using Reduced Error Pruning Trees and different ensemble techniques: Hybrid machine learning approaches , 2019, CATENA.

[91]  Nadhir Al-Ansari,et al.  Soft Computing Ensemble Models Based on Logistic Regression for Groundwater Potential Mapping , 2020, Applied Sciences.

[92]  Dieu Tien Bui,et al.  A comparative study between popular statistical and machine learning methods for simulating volume of landslides , 2017 .

[93]  Wei Chen,et al.  A novel hybrid artificial intelligence approach based on the rotation forest ensemble and naïve Bayes tree classifiers for a landslide susceptibility assessment in Langao County, China , 2017 .

[94]  F. Wilcoxon Individual Comparisons by Ranking Methods , 1945 .

[95]  Haijun Wang,et al.  Application of kernel-based Fisher discriminant analysis to map landslide susceptibility in the Qinggan River delta, Three Gorges, China , 2012 .

[96]  Wei Chen,et al.  Land Subsidence Susceptibility Mapping in South Korea Using Machine Learning Algorithms , 2018, Sensors.

[97]  Yanli Wu,et al.  Application of alternating decision tree with AdaBoost and bagging ensembles for landslide susceptibility mapping , 2020 .

[98]  T. Topal,et al.  GIS-based landslide susceptibility mapping for a problematic segment of the natural gas pipeline, Hendek (Turkey) , 2003 .

[99]  David J. Wachal,et al.  Mapping landslide susceptibility in Travis County, Texas, USA , 2000 .

[100]  M. Komac A landslide susceptibility model using the Analytical Hierarchy Process method and multivariate statistics in perialpine Slovenia , 2006 .

[101]  Yi Wang,et al.  Spatial Prediction of Landslide Susceptibility Using GIS-Based Data Mining Techniques of ANFIS with Whale Optimization Algorithm (WOA) and Grey Wolf Optimizer (GWO) , 2019, Applied Sciences.

[102]  Wei Chen,et al.  Landslide susceptibility assessment at the Wuning area, China: a comparison between multi-criteria decision making, bivariate statistical and machine learning methods , 2018, Natural Hazards.

[103]  H. Shahabi,et al.  Landslide susceptibility mapping at central Zab basin, Iran: a comparison between analytical hierarchy process, frequency ratio and logistic regression models , 2014 .

[104]  B. Pradhan,et al.  Regional landslide susceptibility analysis using back-propagation neural network model at Cameron Highland, Malaysia , 2010 .

[105]  Ali P. Yunus,et al.  Improved landslide assessment using support vector machine with bagging, boosting, and stacking ensemble machine learning framework in a mountainous watershed, Japan , 2019, Landslides.

[106]  Jin-King Liu,et al.  Topographic Correction of Wind-Driven Rainfall for Landslide Analysis in Central Taiwan with Validation from Aerial and Satellite Optical Images , 2013, Remote. Sens..

[107]  A Mohammadi,et al.  LAND COVER MAPPING USING A NOVEL COMBINATION MODEL OF SATELLITE IMAGERIES: CASE STUDY OF A PART OF THE CAMERON HIGHLANDS, PAHANG, MALAYSIA , 2019, Applied Ecology and Environmental Research.

[108]  L. Tham,et al.  Landslide susceptibility mapping based on Support Vector Machine: A case study on natural slopes of Hong Kong, China , 2008 .

[109]  Francisco Gutiérrez,et al.  Sinkhole susceptibility mapping: A comparison between Bayes‐based machine learning algorithms , 2019, Land Degradation & Development.

[110]  Biswajeet Pradhan,et al.  Hybridized neural fuzzy ensembles for dust source modeling and prediction , 2020 .

[111]  B. Pham,et al.  Bagging based Support Vector Machines for spatial prediction of landslides , 2018, Environmental Earth Sciences.

[112]  Abolfazl Jaafari,et al.  Modeling multi-decadal mangrove leaf area index in response to drought along the semi-arid southern coasts of Iran. , 2019, The Science of the total environment.

[113]  Tom Fawcett,et al.  An introduction to ROC analysis , 2006, Pattern Recognit. Lett..