Numerical Aspects in the Evaluation of Measurement Uncertainty

Numerical quantification of the results from a measurement uncertainty computation is considered in terms of the inputs to that computation. The primary output is often an approximation to the PDF (probability density function) for the univariate or multivariate measurand (the quantity intended to be measured). All results of interest can be derived from this PDF. We consider uncertainty elicitation, propagation of distributions through a computational model, Bayes’ rule and its implementation and other numerical considerations, representation of the PDF for the measurand, and sensitivities of the numerical results with respect to the inputs to the computation. Speculations are made regarding future requirements in the area and relationships to problems in uncertainty quantification for scientific computing.

[1]  James Hardy Wilkinson,et al.  Rounding errors in algebraic processes , 1964, IFIP Congress.

[2]  Pierre L'Ecuyer,et al.  TestU01: A C library for empirical testing of random number generators , 2006, TOMS.

[3]  Maurice G. Cox,et al.  The use of a Monte Carlo method for evaluating uncertainty and expanded uncertainty , 2006 .

[4]  I. D. Hill,et al.  Generating good pseudo-random numbers , 2006, Comput. Stat. Data Anal..

[5]  P M Harris,et al.  Software specifications for uncertainty evaluation. , 2006 .

[6]  Richard J. Beckman,et al.  A Comparison of Three Methods for Selecting Values of Input Variables in the Analysis of Output From a Computer Code , 2000, Technometrics.

[7]  Ignacio Lira,et al.  Evaluating the Measurement Uncertainty , 2002 .

[8]  Hoon Kim,et al.  Monte Carlo Statistical Methods , 2000, Technometrics.

[9]  Ignacio Lira,et al.  Bayesian assessment of uncertainty in metrology: a tutorial , 2010 .

[10]  Antonio Possolo,et al.  Copulas for uncertainty analysis , 2010 .

[11]  L Wright,et al.  Uncertainty evaluation in continuous modelling. , 2003 .

[12]  L. Mead,et al.  Maximum entropy in the problem of moments , 1984 .

[13]  Stephan R. Sain,et al.  Multi-dimensional Density Estimation , 2004 .

[14]  S. Standard GUIDE TO THE EXPRESSION OF UNCERTAINTY IN MEASUREMENT , 2006 .

[15]  D. W. Scott,et al.  Multivariate Density Estimation, Theory, Practice and Visualization , 1992 .

[16]  Blaza Toman,et al.  Assessment of measurement uncertainty via observation equations , 2007 .

[17]  Christopher J. Roy,et al.  A comprehensive framework for verification, validation, and uncertainty quantification in scientific computing , 2011 .

[18]  Bengt Fornberg,et al.  Numerical Differentiation of Analytic Functions , 1981, TOMS.

[19]  Clemens Elster,et al.  A two-stage procedure for determining the number of trials in the application of a Monte Carlo method for uncertainty evaluation , 2010 .

[20]  R Willink,et al.  Representing Monte Carlo output distributions for transferability in uncertainty analysis: modelling with quantile functions , 2009 .

[21]  S. Sheather Density Estimation , 2004 .

[22]  Alistair B. Forbes,et al.  The GUM, Bayesian inference and the observation and measurement equations. , 2011 .

[23]  Clemens Elster,et al.  Bayesian uncertainty analysis under prior ignorance of the measurand versus analysis using the Supplement 1 to the Guide: a comparison , 2009 .

[24]  Awad H. Al-Mohy,et al.  The complex step approximation to the Fréchet derivative of a matrix function , 2009, Numerical Algorithms.

[25]  E. Iso,et al.  Measurement Uncertainty and Probability: Guide to the Expression of Uncertainty in Measurement , 1995 .

[26]  Total CO2 measurements in horses: where to draw the line , 2011 .

[27]  M. Cox The Numerical Evaluation of B-Splines , 1972 .