Are there limits to swimming world records?

The purpose of this article was to investigate whether swimming world records are beginning to plateau and whether the inequality between men and women's swimming performances is narrowing, similar to that observed in running world records. A flattened "S-shaped curve" logistic curve is fitted to 100-m, 200-m, and 400-m front-crawl world-record swimming speeds for men and women from 1 May 1957 to the present time, using the non-linear least-squares regression. The inequality between men and women's world records is also assessed using the ratio, Women's/Men's world record speeds. The results confirm that men and women's front-crawl swimming world-record speeds are plateauing and the ratio between women's and men's world records has remained stable at approximately 0.9. In conclusion, the logistic curves provide evidence that swimming world-record speeds experienced a period of "accelerated" growth/improvements during the 1960 - 1970s, but are now beginning to plateau. The period of acceleration corresponded with numerous advances in science and technology but also coincided with the anecdotal evidence for institutionalised doping. Also noteworthy, however, is the remarkably consistency in the women's/men's world record ratio, circa 0.9, similar to those observed in middle and long distance running performances. These finding supports the notion that a 10 % gender inequality exists for both swimming and running.

[1]  Megan E. Anderson,et al.  Monitoring changes in lean mass of elite male and female swimmers. , 2006, International Journal of Sports Physiology and Performance.

[2]  David J Smith,et al.  Performance Evaluation of Swimmers , 2002, Sports medicine.

[3]  G. Box An analysis of transformations (with discussion) , 1964 .

[4]  D. Costill,et al.  Relationship between power and sprint freestyle swimming. , 1982, Medicine and science in sports and exercise.

[5]  A. Nevill,et al.  Are there limits to running world records? , 2005, Medicine and science in sports and exercise.

[6]  Piero Mognoni,et al.  An analysis of world records in three types of locomotion , 2004, European Journal of Applied Physiology and Occupational Physiology.

[7]  S. Ward,et al.  Will women soon outrun men? , 1992, Nature.

[8]  Robert Carter,et al.  Running Performance Differences between Men and Women , 2005, Sports medicine.

[9]  Susan R Hopkins,et al.  Gender and Pulmonary Gas Exchange During Exercise , 2004, Exercise and sport sciences reviews.

[10]  Sangit Chatterjee,et al.  New Lamps for Old: An Exploratory Analysis of Running Times in Olympic Games , 1982 .

[11]  W. Mckenna,et al.  The upper limit of physiological cardiac hypertrophy in elite male and female athletes: the British experience , 2004, European Journal of Applied Physiology.

[12]  P. Sparling,et al.  The gender difference in distance running performance has plateaued: an analysis of world rankings from 1980 to 1996. , 1998, Medicine and science in sports and exercise.

[13]  A. Sheel,et al.  Sex Differences in Respiratory Exercise Physiology , 2004, Sports medicine.

[14]  Pat Besford Encyclopaedia of swimming , 1971 .

[15]  Dc Blest Lower bounds for athletic performance , 1996 .

[16]  Paul B. Gastin,et al.  Energy System Interaction and Relative Contribution During Maximal Exercise , 2001, Sports medicine.