Exact Elliptical Distributions for Models of Conditionally Random Financial Volatility

Assuming the time series of random returns to be jointly elliptical, we derive a relationship between its conditional variance and the probability density function of the conditioning set. In the case that such a relationship is linear in a quadratic form for of the conditioning variables, we show that the probability density function of the conditioning variables is multivariate t. This result is then applied to models of conditionally random volatility and used to derive exact results for the GARCH(p,q) class of processes previously thought to be intractable.

[1]  Stephen G. Hall,et al.  Measuring the correlation of shocks between the EU15 and the new member countries , 2007, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[2]  G. Tavlas,et al.  Wage Rigidity and Monetary Union , 2003, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[3]  Modelling Economic Time Series in the Presence of Variance Non-Stationarity: A Practical Approach , 2003 .

[4]  E. Pentecost,et al.  The Dynamic Adjustment of a Transition Economy in the Early Stages of Transformation , 2004, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[5]  Nicholas G. Zonzilos Econometric Modelling at the Bank of Greece , 2004, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[6]  S. Hall,et al.  An Indicator Measuring Underlying Economic Activity in Greece , 2003, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[7]  Sophocles N. Brissimis,et al.  Testing Long-Run Purchasing Power Parity Under Exchange Rate Targeting , 2005, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[8]  S. Lazaretou The Drachma, Foreign Creditors and the International Monetary System: Tales of a Currency During the 19th and the Early 20th Century , 2005, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[9]  Eleni Angelopoulou,et al.  The Comparative Performance of Q-Type and Dynamic Models of Firm Investment: Empirical Evidence from the UK , 2005, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[10]  Sophocles N. Brissimis,et al.  Forward-Looking Information in VAR Models and the Price Puzzle , 2006, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[11]  H. Gibson,et al.  Capital Flows and Speculative Attacks in Prospective EU Member States , 2004, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[12]  Ioannis Tsikripis,et al.  Regional Integration Challenges in South East Europe: Banking Sector Trends , 2007, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[13]  Thanasis N. Christodoulopoulos,et al.  Measuring Liquidity in the Greek Government Securities Market , 2005, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[14]  S. Lazaretou Greek Monetary Economics in Retrospect: The Adventures of the Drachma , 2005, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[15]  Sarantis Lolos,et al.  Financial Markets and Economic Growth in Greece , 2004, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[16]  George A. Christodoulakis,et al.  The European Union GDP Forecast Rationality under Asymmetric Preferences , 2005 .

[17]  Sophocles N. Brissimis,et al.  Empirical Modelling of Money Demand in Periods of Structural Change: The Case of Greece , 2003, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[18]  Sarantis Lolos,et al.  Financial markets and economic growth in Greece, 1986–1999 , 2005 .

[19]  Yiannis Stournaras,et al.  Aggregate Supply and Demand, the Real Exchange Rate and Oil Price Denomination , 2005, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[20]  Theodoros S. Papaspyrou EMU Strategies: Lessons from Past Experience in View of EU Enlargement , 2004, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[21]  G. Hondroyiannis,et al.  Inflation persistence during periods of structural change: an assessment using Greek data , 2004, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[22]  Sophocles N. Brissimis,et al.  Bank-Specific, Industry-Specific and Macroeconomic Determinants of Bank Profitability , 2008, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[23]  Sophocles N. Brissimis,et al.  Market Power, Innovative Activity and Exchange Rate Pass-Through in the Euro Area , 2005, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[24]  Thanasis N. Christodoulopoulos,et al.  The Effect of Dynamic Hedging of Options Positions on Intermediate-Maturity Interest Rates , 2003, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[25]  Sophocles N. Brissimis,et al.  Changes in Financial Structure and Asset Price Substitutability: A Test of the Bank Lending Channel , 2005, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[26]  P. Tzamourani,et al.  Cost Efficiency in Greek Banking , 2004, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[27]  Nicholas G. Zonzilos,et al.  The Greek Model of the European System of Central Banks Multi-Country Model , 2005, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[28]  G. Tavlas,et al.  The Global Implications of Regional Exchange Rate Regimes , 2003, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[29]  D. Sideris Testing for Long-Run PPP in a System Context: Evidence for the Us, Germany and Japan , 2006, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[30]  P. A. V. B. Swamy,et al.  Some Further Evidence on Exchange-Rate Volatility and Exports , 2008 .

[31]  Christos Papazoglou,et al.  Real Exchange Rate Dynamics and Output Contraction Under Transition , 2005, SSRN Electronic Journal.