The estimation of underwater multi-target state has always been the difficult problem of active sonar target tracking.In order to get the variable number of target and their state, the random finite set theory is applied to multi-target tracking system.This theory not only effectively avoids the problem of multi-target tracking data association, and also realizes the estimation of time-varying number of targets and their states.Due to Probability Hypothesis Density(PHD) recursion propagates cardnality distribution with only a single parameter, a new generalization of the PHD recursion called Cardinalized Probability Hypothesis Density(CPHD) recursion, which jointly propagates the intensity function and the cardnality distribution, while have a big computation than PHD.Also there did not have closed-form solution for PHD recursion and CPHD recursion, so for linear Gaussian multi-target tracking system, the Gaussian Mixture Probability Hypothesis Density and Gaussian Mixture Cardinalized Probability Hypothesis Density(GM-CPHD) filter algorithm is put forward.GM-CPHD is more accurate than GM-PHD in estimation of the time-varying number of targets.In this paper, we use the ellipse gate tracking strategy to reduce computation in GM-CPHD filtering algorithm.At the same time, according to the characteristics of underwater target tracking, using active sonar equation, we get the relationship between detection probability, distance and false alarm, when fixed false alarm, analytic formula of the relationship between adaptive detection probability and distance is obtained, we puts forward the adaptive detection probability GM-CPHD filtering algorithm.Simulation shows that the combination of ellipse tracking gate strategy and adaptive detection probability GM-CPHD filtering algorithm can realize the estimation of the time-varying number of targets and their state more accuracy in dense clutter environment.
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