(www.interscience.wiley.com) DOI: 10.1002/ppp.690 Thermal State of Permafrost in North America: A Contribution to the International Polar Year

A snapshot of the thermal state of permafrost in northern North America during the International Polar Year (IPY) was developed using ground temperature data collected from 350 boreholes. More than half these were established during IPY to enhance the network in sparsely monitored regions. The measurement sites span a diverse range of ecoclimatic and geological conditions across the continent and are at various elevations within the Cordillera. The ground temperatures within the discontinuous permafrost zone are generally above −3°C, and range down to −15°C in the continuous zone. Ground temperature envelopes vary according to substrate, with shallow depths of zero annual amplitude for peat and mineral soils, and much greater depths for bedrock. New monitoring sites in the mountains of southern and central Yukon suggest that permafrost may be limited in extent. In concert with regional air temperatures, permafrost has generally been warming across North America for the past several decades, as indicated by measurements from the western Arctic since the 1970s and from parts of eastern Canada since the early 1990s. The rates of ground warming have been variable, but are generally greater north of the treeline. Latent heat effects in the southern discontinuous zone dominate the permafrost thermal regime close to 0°C and allow permafrost to persist under a warming climate. Consequently, the spatial diversity of permafrost thermal conditions is decreasing over time. Copyright © 2010 Crown in the right of Canada and John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

[1]  L. Dyke,et al.  Permafrost and Peatland Evolution in the Northern Hudson Bay Lowland, Manitoba , 2010 .

[2]  M. Allard,et al.  Recent Cooling along the Southern Shore of Hudson Strait, Quebec, Canada, Documented from Permafrost Temperature Measurements , 1995, Arctic and Alpine Research.

[3]  S. Smith,et al.  Geotechnical database and descriptions of permafrost monitoring sites established 2006-07 in the central and southern Mackenzie Corridor , 2009 .

[4]  M. Allard,et al.  Late-Holocene climatic changes as detected by the growth and decay of ice wedges on the southern shore of Hudson Strait, northern Québec, Canada , 2001 .

[5]  Yinsuo Zhang,et al.  Permafrost and climate change at Herschel Island (Qikiqtaruq), Yukon Territory, Canada , 2009 .

[6]  A. Lewkowicz Evaluation of miniature temperature‐loggers to monitor snowpack evolution at mountain permafrost sites, northwestern Canada , 2008 .

[7]  A. Lewkowicz,et al.  Probability mapping of mountain permafrost using the BTS method, Wolf Creek, Yukon Territory, Canada , 2004 .

[8]  Steven V. Kokelj,et al.  The environment and permafrost of the Mackenzie Delta area , 2009 .

[9]  J. R. Mackay Seismic Shot Holes and Ground Temperatures, Mackenzie Delta area, Northwest Territories , 1974 .

[10]  F. Warren CHAPTER 2 Background Information : Concepts , Overviews and Approaches , 2008 .

[11]  Kenji Yoshikawa,et al.  Permafrost temperature records: Indicators of climate change , 2002 .

[12]  W. Oechel,et al.  Observational Evidence of Recent Change in the Northern High-Latitude Environment , 2000 .

[13]  K. Isaksen,et al.  Recent extreme near‐surface permafrost temperatures on Svalbard in relation to future climate scenarios , 2007 .

[14]  T. E. Osterkamp,et al.  Thermal Regime of Permafrost in Alaska and Predicted Global Warming , 1990 .

[15]  A. Lachenbruch,et al.  Permafrost, heat flow, and the geothermal regime at Prudhoe Bay, Alaska , 1982 .

[16]  T. E. Osterkamp,et al.  Characteristics of the recent warming of permafrost in Alaska , 2007 .

[17]  J. R. Mackay,et al.  Snow Cover and Ground Temperatures, Garry Island, N.W.T. , 1974 .

[18]  E. S. Melnikov,et al.  Circum-Arctic map of permafrost and ground-ice conditions , 1997 .

[19]  Sharon L. Smith,et al.  Recent trends from Canadian permafrost thermal monitoring network sites , 2005 .

[20]  Ketil Isaksen,et al.  Recent warming of mountain permafrost in Svalbard and Scandinavia , 2007 .

[21]  R. Rosso,et al.  Wind control of storm‐triggered shallow landslides , 2007 .

[22]  Kelin Wang,et al.  Canadian Arctic Permafrost Observatories: Detecting contemporary climate change through inversion of subsurface temperature time series , 2006 .

[23]  Mountain permafrost probability mapping using the BTS method in two climatically dissimilar locations, northwest Canada , 2008 .

[24]  J. Throop Spatial and temporal variability in permafrost conditions, northern Canada , 2010 .

[25]  A. Lachenbruch,et al.  Changing Climate: Geothermal Evidence from Permafrost in the Alaskan Arctic , 1986, Science.

[26]  J. Gosink,et al.  MEASUREMENTS OF PERMAFROST TEMPERATURES TO EVALUATE THE CONSEQUENCES OF RECENT CLIMATE WARMING , 1988 .

[27]  Donald A. Walker,et al.  Soil climate and frost heave along the Permafrost/Ecological North American Arctic Transect , 2006 .

[28]  M. C. Brewer Some results of geothermal investigations of permafrost in northern Alaska , 1958 .

[29]  W. Rouse,et al.  Impacts of Hudson Bay on the Terrestrial Climate of the Hudson Bay Lowlands , 1991 .

[30]  R. Fortier,et al.  Recent climate variations in the subarctic inferred from three borehole temperature profiles in northern Quebec, Canada , 2007 .

[31]  Vladimir E. Romanovsky,et al.  Permafrost: changes and impacts , 2001 .

[32]  Vladimir E. Romanovsky,et al.  Evidence for warming and thawing of discontinuous permafrost in Alaska , 1999 .

[33]  Sharon L. Smith,et al.  Active‐layer characteristics and summer climatic indices, Mackenzie Valley, Northwest Territories, Canada , 2009 .

[34]  A. Taylor,et al.  Permafrost and the shallow thermal regime at Alert, N.W.T. , 1982 .