Asymptotic Theory of Integrated Conditional Moment Tests

In this paper we derive the asymptotic distribution of the test statistic of a generalized version of the integrated conditional moment (ICM) test of Bierens (1982, 1984), under a class of Vn-local alternatives, where n is the sample size. The generalized version involved includes neural network tests as a special case, and allows for testing misspecification of dynamic models. It appears that the ICM test has nontrivial local power. Moreover, we show that under the assumption of normal errors the ICM test is asymptotically admissible, in the sense that there does not exist a test that is uniformly more powerful. The asymptotic size of the test is case-dependent: the critical values of the test depend on the data-generating process. In this paper we derive case-independent upperbounds of the critical values

[1]  George Tauchen Diagnostic testing and evaluation of maximum likelihood models , 1985 .

[2]  Whitney K. Newey,et al.  Maximum Likelihood Specification Testing and Conditional Moment Tests , 1985 .

[3]  Joel L. Horowitz,et al.  Testing a Parametric Model Against a Semiparametric Alternative , 1994, Econometric Theory.

[4]  国田 寛 Stochastic flows and stochastic differential equations , 1990 .

[5]  Mtw,et al.  Stochastic flows and stochastic differential equations , 1990 .

[6]  H. Bierens Model specification testing of time series regressions , 1984 .

[7]  Bruce E. Hansen,et al.  Inference When a Nuisance Parameter Is Not Identified under the Null Hypothesis , 1996 .

[8]  Asymptotic power of the integrated conditional moment test against global and large local alternatives , 1995 .

[9]  E. Mammen,et al.  Comparing Nonparametric Versus Parametric Regression Fits , 1993 .

[10]  Herman J. Bierens,et al.  ARMA Memory Index Modeling of Economic Time Series , 1988, Econometric Theory.

[11]  H. Bierens,et al.  Non-linear regression with discrete explanatory variables, with an application to the earnings function , 1988 .

[12]  Jeffrey M. Wooldridge,et al.  A Test for Functional Form Against Nonparametric Alternatives , 1992, Econometric Theory.

[13]  Yongmiao Hong,et al.  Consistent Specification Testing via Nonparametric Series Regression , 1995 .

[14]  Arthur Lewbel,et al.  Comment on artificial neural networks: An econometric perspective , 1994 .

[15]  H. Strasser Mathematical Theory of Statistics: Statistical Experiments and Asymptotic Decision Theory , 1986 .

[16]  H. Bierens Consistent model specification tests , 1982 .

[17]  Yanqin Fan,et al.  Consistent model specification tests : Omitted variables and semiparametric functional forms , 1996 .

[18]  Clive W. J. Granger,et al.  Testing for neglected nonlinearity in time series models: A comparison of neural network methods and alternative tests , 1993 .

[19]  D. McLeish Dependent Central Limit Theorems and Invariance Principles , 1974 .

[20]  Michel Loève,et al.  Probability Theory I , 1977 .

[21]  Adonis Yatchew,et al.  Nonparametric Regression Tests Based on Least Squares , 1992, Econometric Theory.

[22]  H. Bierens Armax model specification testing, with an application to unemployment in the Netherlands , 1987 .

[23]  H. Bierens,et al.  On the Limit Behavior of a Chi-Square Type Test if the Number of Conditional Moments Tested Approaches Infinity , 1994, Econometric Theory.

[24]  H. White,et al.  An additional hidden unit test for neglected nonlinearity in multilayer feedforward networks , 1989, International 1989 Joint Conference on Neural Networks.

[25]  D. Andrews,et al.  Optimal Tests When a Nuisance Parameter Is Present Only Under the Alternative , 1992 .

[26]  Donald W. K. Andrews,et al.  Admissibility of the Likelihood Ratio Test When a Nuisance Parameter is Present Only Under the Alternative , 1995 .

[27]  Robert M. de Jong,et al.  THE BIERENS TEST UNDER DATA DEPENDENCE , 1996 .

[28]  P. Gozalo,et al.  A Consistent Model Specification Test for Nonparametric Estimation of Regression Function Models , 1993, Econometric Theory.

[29]  P. Billingsley,et al.  Convergence of Probability Measures , 1969 .

[30]  Herman J. Bierens,et al.  A consistent conditional moment test of functional form , 1990 .

[31]  H. Bierens Topics in Advanced Econometrics: Estimation, Testing, and Specification of Cross-Section and Time Series Models , 1996 .