论文信息 - Estimating the Recreational Value of Mountain Biking Sites in Scotland Using Count Data Models

Estimating the Recreational Value of Mountain Biking Sites in Scotland Using Count Data Models

Mountain biking is a relatively recent forest recreational activity and this paper estimates the use value associated with purpose-built centres in southern Scotland. An on-site survey is used to generate visitor frequency that can be related to travel costs and participants' socio-economic characteristics. Count data regressions provide maximum likelihood estimates of model coefficients used to estimate expected per-trip economic surplus. The estimated consumer surplus for the Glentress biking range is £80 per visit. An aggregate value of £9.6 million is obtained, with an estimated 120,000 visits annually. While appreciable relative to the site investment outlay, data limitations lead the authors to caution against extrapolating this value over a range of substitute sites planned by the UK's Forestry Commission.

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