Selection of funding schemes by a borrowing decision model: a Hong Kong case study

In financial decision‐making, a number of mathematical models have been developed for financial management in construction. However, optimizing both qualitative and quantitative factors and the semi‐structured nature of construction finance optimization problems are key challenges in solving construction finance decisions. The selection of funding schemes by a modified construction loan acquisition model is solved by an adaptive genetic algorithm (AGA) approach. The basic objectives of the model are to optimize the loan and to minimize the interest payments for all projects. Multiple projects being undertaken by a medium‐size construction firm in Hong Kong were used as a real case study to demonstrate the application of the model to the borrowing decision problems. A compromise monthly borrowing schedule was finally achieved. The results indicate that Small and Medium Enterprise (SME) Loan Guarantee Scheme (SGS) was first identified as the source of external financing. Selection of sources of funding can then be made to avoid the possibility of financial problems in the firm by classifying qualitative factors into external, interactive and internal types and taking additional qualitative factors including sovereignty, credit ability and networking into consideration. Thus a more accurate, objective and reliable borrowing decision can be provided for the decision‐maker to analyse the financial options.

[1]  L. Jennergren VALUATION BY LINEAR PROGRAMMING — A PEDAGOGICAL NOTE , 1990 .

[2]  Fred Hanssmann Operations research techniques for capital investment , 1968 .

[3]  Ka Chi Lam,et al.  Using an adaptive genetic algorithm to improve construction finance decisions , 2001 .

[4]  E. Hansen Entrepreneurial Networks and New Organization Growth , 1995 .

[5]  Kar Yan Tam,et al.  Solving facility layout problems with geometric constraints using parallel genetic algorithms: Experimentation and findings , 1998 .

[6]  Monetary Policy and Government Credit Programs , 2002 .

[7]  Sai On Cheung,et al.  Capital budget planning practices of building contractors in Hong Kong , 2001 .

[8]  Owen D. Wilson,et al.  A construction project cash flow model—an idiographic approach , 1986 .

[9]  John Culhane Operational Research Techniques for Capital Investment , 1968 .

[10]  Manfred W. Padberg,et al.  Optimal project selection when borrowing and lending rates differ , 1999 .

[11]  Chung-Wei Feng,et al.  Using genetic algorithms to solve construction time-cost trade-off problems , 1997 .

[12]  C. Tam,et al.  Modelling loan acquisition decisions , 1998 .

[13]  Lotfi A. Zadeh,et al.  The Concepts of a Linguistic Variable and its Application to Approximate Reasoning , 1975 .

[14]  Sai On Cheung,et al.  Site pre-cast yard layout arrangement through genetic algorithms , 2002 .

[15]  S. Myers Determinants of corporate borrowing , 1977 .

[16]  T. Hu,et al.  Multi‐project cash flow optimization: non‐inferior solution through neuro‐multiobjective algorithm , 2001 .

[17]  Richard Barkham,et al.  The Determinants of Small Firm Growth An inter-regional study in the United Kingdom 1986-90 , 2016 .

[18]  Miroslaw J. Skibniewski,et al.  Multiheuristic Approach for Resource Leveling Problem in Construction Engineering: Hybrid Approach , 1999 .

[19]  Taha Elhag,et al.  Applying fuzzy techniques to cash flow analysis , 1999 .

[20]  K. Lam,et al.  Modelling financial decisions in construction firms , 1999 .

[21]  D. E. Goldberg,et al.  Genetic Algorithms in Search , 1989 .

[22]  Howard E. Aldrich,et al.  Personal and Extended Networks Are Central to the Entrepreneurial Process , 1991 .

[23]  Tiesong Hu,et al.  An integration of the fuzzy reasoning technique and the fuzzy optimization method in construction project management decision-making , 2001 .

[24]  Andrew D.F. Price,et al.  Modelling standard cost commitment curves for contractors' cash flow forecasting , 1993 .

[25]  Richard Pike,et al.  Investment Decisions and Financial Strategy , 1986 .

[26]  A. Jain Inflation, terms of trade, and debt capacity , 1990 .

[27]  Mitsuo Gen,et al.  Genetic algorithms and engineering optimization , 1999 .

[28]  Lawrence. Davis,et al.  Handbook Of Genetic Algorithms , 1990 .

[29]  Sdhabhon Bhokha,et al.  Application of artificial neural network to forecast construction duration of buildings at the predesign stage , 1999 .

[30]  David E. Goldberg,et al.  The Design of Innovation: Lessons from and for Competent Genetic Algorithms , 2002 .

[31]  A. J. Hogan Estimating debt capacity of New York State Health facilities. , 1985, Socio-economic planning sciences.

[32]  Kyung-shik Shin,et al.  A genetic algorithm application in bankruptcy prediction modeling , 2002, Expert Syst. Appl..

[33]  Tom V. Mathew Genetic Algorithm , 2022 .

[34]  Concepción Maroto,et al.  A Robust Genetic Algorithm for Resource Allocation in Project Scheduling , 2001, Ann. Oper. Res..

[35]  John H. Holland,et al.  Adaptation in Natural and Artificial Systems: An Introductory Analysis with Applications to Biology, Control, and Artificial Intelligence , 1992 .

[36]  David Valler Barkham, R., Gudgin, G., Hart, M. and Hanvey, E., "The Determinants of Small Firm Growth: An Inter-regional Study in the UK 1986-90" (Book Review) , 1997 .

[37]  Nader Nazmi Global finance, sovereign risk and economic performance of Brazil , 2002 .

[38]  David E. Goldberg,et al.  Genetic Algorithms in Search Optimization and Machine Learning , 1988 .

[39]  R. Kenley Financing Construction: Cash Flows and Cash Farming , 2003 .

[40]  Alex P. Alex,et al.  Using genetic algorithms to solve optimization problems in construction , 1999 .