Extreme shape analysis

We consider the analysis of extreme shapes rather than the more usual mean- and variance-based shape analysis. In particular, we consider extreme shape analysis in two applications: human muscle fibre images, where we compare healthy and diseased muscles, and temporal sequences of DNA shapes from molecular dynamics simulations. One feature of the shape space is that it is bounded, so we consider estimators which use prior knowledge of the upper bound when present. Peaks-over-threshold methods and maximum-likelihood-based inference are used. We introduce fixed end point and constrained maximum likelihood estimators, and we discuss their asymptotic properties for large samples. It is shown that in some cases the constrained estimators have half the mean-square error of the unconstrained maximum likelihood estimators. The new estimators are applied to the muscle and DNA data, and practical conclusions are given. Copyright 2006 Royal Statistical Society.

[1]  Janet E. Heffernan,et al.  Dependence Measures for Extreme Value Analyses , 1999 .

[2]  M. R. Leadbetter,et al.  Extremes and Related Properties of Random Sequences and Processes: Springer Series in Statistics , 1983 .

[3]  A. Ledford,et al.  Statistics for near independence in multivariate extreme values , 1996 .

[4]  Charles C. Taylor,et al.  Size Analysis of Nearly Regular Delaunay Triangulations , 1999 .

[5]  Michael Woodroofe,et al.  Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Translation Parameter of Truncated Distribution II , 1974 .

[6]  K. Mardia,et al.  Statistical Shape Analysis , 1998 .

[7]  B. M. Hill,et al.  A Simple General Approach to Inference About the Tail of a Distribution , 1975 .

[8]  R. Sibson Studies in the Robustness of Multidimensional Scaling: Procrustes Statistics , 1978 .

[9]  Richard L. Smith,et al.  Models for exceedances over high thresholds , 1990 .

[10]  D. Kendall SHAPE MANIFOLDS, PROCRUSTEAN METRICS, AND COMPLEX PROJECTIVE SPACES , 1984 .

[11]  J. Pickands Statistical Inference Using Extreme Order Statistics , 1975 .

[12]  Richard L. Smith Maximum likelihood estimation in a class of nonregular cases , 1985 .

[13]  D. Kendall,et al.  The Riemannian Structure of Euclidean Shape Spaces: A Novel Environment for Statistics , 1993 .

[14]  Wilfrid S. Kendall,et al.  Alignments in two-dimensional random sets of points , 1980, Advances in Applied Probability.

[15]  C. Goodall Procrustes methods in the statistical analysis of shape , 1991 .

[16]  M. R. Faghihi,et al.  Procrustes Shape Analysis of Planar Point Subsets , 1997 .

[17]  T. K. Carne,et al.  Shape and Shape Theory , 1999 .

[18]  D. Kendall A Survey of the Statistical Theory of Shape , 1989 .

[19]  C. Klüppelberg,et al.  Modelling Extremal Events , 1997 .

[20]  Richard L. Smith,et al.  Estimating the Extremal Index , 1994 .

[21]  P. Hall On Some Simple Estimates of an Exponent of Regular Variation , 1982 .

[22]  PAUL EMBRECHTS,et al.  Modelling of extremal events in insurance and finance , 1994, Math. Methods Oper. Res..

[23]  David G. Kendall,et al.  Shape & Shape Theory , 1999 .

[24]  Richard L. Smith Estimating tails of probability distributions , 1987 .

[25]  F. Bookstein,et al.  Morphometric Tools for Landmark Data: Geometry and Biology , 1999 .

[26]  C. Small The statistical theory of shape , 1996 .