ZAPROS-LM — A method and system for ordering multiattribute alternatives

Abstract A method to aid in qualitative evaluation of multiattribute alternatives is proposed. It not only elicits information from a decision-maker in a qualitative form but tries to use it without resort to numbers, and to apply rational logic for comparison of alternatives. Special procedures for identification of possible inconsistencies in decision-maker's information and elimination of them in a dialogue with a decision-maker are developed. Possibilities for verification and explanation of the results for partial ordering of a large set of alternatives are shown. Two main assumptions are used: transitivity of the decision-maker's preferences and preferential independence of attributes. Problems of justification of these properties in real tasks of decision making are discussed. The description is accompanied by an example.

[1]  Alfred V. Aho,et al.  The Design and Analysis of Computer Algorithms , 1974 .

[2]  O. I. Larichev A Method for Evaluating R & D Proposals in Large Research Organizations , 1982 .

[3]  Oleg I. Larichev,et al.  Limits to decision-making ability in direct multiattribute alternative evaluation , 1988 .

[4]  O. Svenson Process descriptions of decision making. , 1979 .

[5]  John B. Kidd,et al.  Decision Making and Change in Human Affairs , 1979 .

[6]  R. L. Keeney,et al.  Decisions with Multiple Objectives: Preferences and Value Trade-Offs , 1977, IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics.

[7]  A. Tversky Intransitivity of preferences. , 1969 .

[8]  B. Roy Méthodologie multicritère d'aide à la décision , 1985 .

[9]  Oleg I. Larichev,et al.  Systematic research into human behavior in multiattribute object classification problems , 1988 .

[10]  S. R. Watson,et al.  Decision Synthesis: The Principles and Practice of Decision Analysis@@@Strategic and Tactical Decisions , 1989 .

[11]  Larry D. Rosen,et al.  An eye fixation analysis of multialternative choice , 1975, Memory & cognition.

[12]  Peter C. Fishburn,et al.  Utility theory for decision making , 1970 .

[13]  A. D. Nikiforov,et al.  Multicriterion linear programming problems: (Analytical survey) , 1987 .

[14]  Ralph L. Keeney,et al.  Multiplicative Utility Functions , 1974, Oper. Res..

[15]  O. Ore Theory of Graphs , 1962 .

[16]  Henry Montgomery,et al.  A Study of Intransitive Preferences using a Think Aloud Procedure , 1977 .

[17]  Rakesh K. Sarin,et al.  Ranking with Partial Information: A Method and an Application , 1985, Oper. Res..

[18]  Robin J. Wilson Introduction to Graph Theory , 1974 .

[19]  James A. Wise,et al.  Human decision making , 1983 .

[20]  P. Slovic,et al.  An analysis-of-variance model for the assessment of configural cue utilization in clinical judgment. , 1968, Psychological bulletin.

[21]  John W. Payne,et al.  Task complexity and contingent processing in decision making: An information search and protocol analysis☆ , 1976 .