Proximate Population Factors and Deforestation in Tropical Agricultural Frontiers

Forest conversion for agriculture expansion is the most salient signature of human occupation of the earth's land surface. Although population growth and deforestation are significantly associated at the global and regional scales, evidence for population links to deforestation at micro-scales—where people are actually clearing forests—is scant. Much of the planet's forest elimination is proceeding along tropical agricultural frontiers. This article examines the evolution of thought on population–environment theories relevant to deforestation in tropical agricultural frontiers. Four primary ways by which population dynamics interact with frontier forest conversion are examined: population density, fertility, and household demographic composition, and in-migration.

[1]  K Davis,et al.  The theory of change and response in modern demographic history. , 1963, Population index.

[2]  T. Amelung,et al.  Deforestation of tropical rain forests. Economic causes and impact on development , 1992 .

[3]  Stokes Cs,et al.  Access to land and fertility in developing countries , 1984 .

[4]  D. Major,et al.  Population and Environment , 1994 .

[5]  V. Smil Deforestation in China , 1983 .

[6]  E. Barbier The economic determinants of land degradation in developing countries , 1997 .

[7]  R. Schultes,et al.  Deforestation and Shrinking Crop Gene-pools in Amazonia , 1990, Environmental Conservation.

[8]  D. Shapiro Population growth, changing agricultural practices, and environmental degradation in Zaire , 1993 .

[9]  R. Byron,et al.  Deforestation mechanisms: a survey , 1999 .

[10]  W. Conelly Population pressure, labor availability, and agricultural disintensification: The decline of farming on Rusinga Island, Kenya , 1994 .

[11]  E. Barbier Economic Aspects of Tropical Deforestation in Southeast Asia , 1993 .

[12]  A. Mather,et al.  The human drivers of global land cover change: the case of forests , 1998 .

[13]  P. Blaikie A Review of Political Ecology , 1999 .

[14]  A. Angelsen,et al.  Intensified small-scale livestock systems in the Western Brazilian Amazon. , 2001 .

[15]  J. Schelhas Land Use Choice and Change: Intensification and Diversification in the Lowland Tropics of Costa Rica , 1996 .

[16]  J. Bongaarts A framework for analyzing the proximate determinants of fertility , 1978 .

[17]  D. Green Agricultural Mechanization and the Evolution of Farming Systems in Sub-Saharan Africa , 1989 .

[18]  S. Fujisaka,et al.  Will intensifying pasture management in Latin America protect forests - or is it the other way around? , 2000 .

[19]  Aleksandr Vasilʹevich Chai︠a︡nov,et al.  A.V. Chayanov on the theory of peasant economy , 1986 .

[20]  D. Ricardo Letters of David Ricardo to Thomas Robert Malthus, 1810-1823 , 2022 .

[21]  Robert E. Evenson,et al.  Induced Innovation: Technology, Institutions, and Development , 1978 .

[22]  Eric F. Lambin,et al.  Spatial modelling of deforestation in southern Cameroon - Spatial disaggregation of diverse deforestation processes , 1997 .

[23]  E. Moran Deforestation and land use in the Brazilian Amazon , 1993 .

[24]  M. Tolba,et al.  The World Environment 1972–1992: Two decades of challenge , 1992 .

[25]  Richard H. Moss,et al.  Relating land use and global land-cover change , 1993 .

[26]  P. Fearnside,et al.  Soil carbon changes from conversion of forest to pasture in Brazilian Amazonia , 1998 .

[27]  D. Kummer Remote sensing and tropical deforestation : a cautionary note from the Philippines , 1992 .

[28]  J. Ingram,et al.  Effects of slash-and-burn agriculture and deforestation on climate change , 1996 .

[29]  S. Stonich,et al.  "I am Destroying the Land!" The Political Ecology of Poverty and Environmental Destruction in Honduras. , 1995 .

[30]  Doug Barnes,et al.  The Causes of Deforestation in Developing Countries , 1985 .

[31]  S. Cassels,et al.  Population and Environment. , 2007, Annual review of environment and resources.

[32]  P. Dasgupta Population, Poverty and the Local Environment , 1995 .

[33]  L. A. Brown,et al.  Migrant fertility differentials in Ecuador. , 1989, Geografiska annaler. Series B, Human geography.

[34]  Eduardo S. Brondizio,et al.  The colonist footprint: toward a conceptual framework of land use and deforestation trajectories among small farmers in the Amazonian Frontier. , 2002 .

[35]  Maureen L. Cropper,et al.  Roads, population pressures, and deforestation in Thailand, 1976-89 , 1997 .

[36]  W. Adger,et al.  Land Use and the Causes of Global Warming , 1995 .

[37]  J. Bongaarts Population Pressure and the Food Supply System in the Developing World , 1996 .

[38]  G. Cornwell,et al.  Relationships among land, tenancy, and fertility: a study of Philippine barrios. , 1980, Journal Of Developing Areas.

[39]  A. Angelsen,et al.  A general equilibrium analysis of technology, migration and deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon. , 2001 .

[40]  R. Lesthaeghe,et al.  Cultural Dynamics and Economic Theories of Fertility Change , 1988 .

[41]  Norman Myers Population / environment linkages: discontinuities ahead. , 1992 .

[42]  Michael Taylor Diversity of life , 1994, Nature.

[43]  Eric F. Lambin,et al.  What drives tropical deforestation?: a meta-analysis of proximate and underlying causes of deforestation based on subnational case study evidence , 2001 .

[44]  Laura Schneider,et al.  Deforestation in the southern Yucatan peninsular region: an integrative approach , 2001 .

[45]  Francisco J Pichon,et al.  Colonist Land‐Allocation Decisions, Land Use, and Deforestation in the Ecuadorian Amazon Frontier , 1997, Economic Development and Cultural Change.

[46]  Richard A. Houghton,et al.  Tropical deforestation and atmospheric carbon dioxide , 1991 .

[47]  Jeffrey R. Jones Colonization and Environment: Land Settlement Projects in Central America , 1990 .

[48]  R. Houghton The worldwide extent of land-use change , 1994 .

[49]  Population and Technological Change: A Study of Long-Term Trends. , 1982 .

[50]  C. Stokes,et al.  Is the Relationship Between Landholding and Fertility Spurious? A Response to Cain , 1986 .

[51]  Jeanne X. Kasperson,et al.  Regions at risk : comparisons of threatened environments , 1996 .

[52]  Philip M Fearnalde Deforestation in Brazilian Amazonia: the effect of population and land tenure , 1993 .

[53]  M. Cain On the relationship between landholding and fertility. , 1985 .

[54]  K. O’Brien,et al.  Deforestation and climate change in the Selva Lacandona of Chiapas, Mexico: some preliminary results , 1995 .

[55]  Marie J. Condorcet,et al.  Sketch for a Historical Picture of the Progress of the Human Mind. , 1955, American Political Science Review.

[56]  Philip M. Fearnside,et al.  Amazonian deforestation and global warming: carbon stocks in vegetation replacing Brazil's Amazon forest , 1996 .

[57]  C. Weil Health problems associated with agricultural colonization in Latin America. , 1981, Social science & medicine. Part D, Medical geography.

[58]  R. Feen Keeping the balance: Ancient Greek philosophical concerns with population and environment , 1996 .

[59]  Robert Q. Hanham,et al.  Population pressure and agricultural intensity , 1977 .

[60]  Ridker Rg,et al.  Resources, environment, and population: the nature of future limits. , 1979 .

[61]  M. Leach,et al.  Reframing Deforestation: Global Analyses and Local Realities: Studies in West Africa , 1998 .

[62]  D. R. Leet,et al.  Interrelations of population density, urbanization, literacy, and fertility. , 1977, Explorations in economic history.

[63]  Guangjin Tian Land-use changes in comparative perspective , 2004 .

[64]  J. Caldwell,et al.  The Cultural Context of High Fertility in Sub-Saharan Africa , 1987 .

[65]  J. Casterline The Proximate determinants of fertility , 1984 .

[66]  L. A. Brown,et al.  Rural-destined migration in Third World settings: a neglected phenomenon? , 1985, Regional studies.

[67]  C. Marquette Land Use Patterns Among Small Farmer Settlers in the Northeastern Ecuadorian Amazon , 1998 .

[68]  S. H. Moreno,et al.  Colonización y destrucción de bosques en Panamá : ensayos sobre un grave problema ecológico , 1984 .

[69]  D. Southgate,et al.  The Causes of Land Degradation along "Spontaneously" Expanding Agricultural Frontiers in the Third World , 1990 .

[70]  John McIntire,et al.  Behavioral and Material Determinants of Production Relations in Land-Abundant Tropical Agriculture , 1987, Economic Development and Cultural Change.

[71]  C. Uhl,et al.  Economic and ecological perspectives on agriculture in the Eastern Amazon , 1995 .

[72]  M. Baksh,et al.  A regional analysis of Barí land use intensification and its impact on landscape heterogeneity , 1994 .

[73]  G. Rullière,et al.  The Theory of Peasant Economy , 1969 .

[74]  A. Palloni,et al.  Center for Demography and Ecology University of Wisconsin-Madison Population and Deforestation in Costa Rica , 1996 .

[75]  Robert W. Sussman,et al.  Satellite imagery, human ecology, anthropology, and deforestation in Madagascar , 1994 .

[76]  L. Grossman The Political Ecology of Bananas: Contract Farming, Peasants, and Agrarian Change in the Eastern Caribbean , 2000 .

[77]  Lawrence A. Brown,et al.  The causes of tropical deforestation in Ecuador: A statistical analysis , 1991 .

[78]  Bernard Nietschmann Ecological Change, Inflation, and Migration in the Far Western Caribbean , 1979 .

[79]  F. Ellis,et al.  Peasant Economics: Farm Households and Agrarian Development , 1989 .

[80]  A. D. Almeida The Colonization of the Amazon , 1992 .

[81]  J. Knodel,et al.  Europe's fertility transition: new evidence and lessons for today's developing world. , 1980, Population bulletin.

[82]  E. Lambin,et al.  Dynamics of Land-Use and Land-Cover Change in Tropical Regions , 2003 .

[83]  D. Paulson Understanding Tropical Deforestation: the Case of Western Samoa , 1994, Environmental Conservation.

[84]  Findley Se. Colonist constraints, strategies and mobility: recent trends in Latin American frontier zones , 1984 .

[85]  A. Barbieri,et al.  Gender-specific out-migration, deforestation and urbanization in the Ecuadorian Amazon. , 2005, Global and planetary change.

[86]  A. Gier,et al.  Deforestation and its driving forces: a case study of Riam Kanan watershed, Indonesia , 1998 .

[87]  D. I. Stewart After the Trees: Living on the Transamazon Highway , 1996 .

[88]  Steven Sanderson,et al.  Tropical Deforestation: Small Farmers and Land Clearing in the Ecuadorian Amazon , 1994 .

[89]  P. Sánchez,et al.  Alternatives to slash and burn: a pragmatic approach for mitigating tropical deforestation. , 1994 .

[90]  Vernon W. Ruttan,et al.  Population and Technological Change: A Study of Long-Term Trends by Ester Boserup (review) , 1982 .

[91]  J. Perrott The Fate of the Foreskin , 1950 .

[92]  R. D. Singh Fertility-mortality variations across LDCs: women's education, labor force participation, and contraceptive-use. , 1994, Kyklos : Jahrbuch des Instituts fur Geschichte der Medizin an der Universitat Leipzig.

[93]  A. Angelsen Agricultural expansion and deforestation: modelling the impact of population , 1999 .

[94]  M. Teitelbaum Relevance of demographic transition theory for developing countries. , 1975, Science.

[95]  K. Zimmerer Wetland Production and Smallholder Persistence: Agricultural Change in a Highland Peruvian Region , 1991 .

[96]  K. Zimmerer Soil erosion and labor shortages in the Andes with special reference to Bolivia, 1953ndash;1991: Implications for “conservation-with-development” , 1993 .

[97]  Stephen G. Perz Household demographic factors as life cycle determinants of land use in the Amazon , 2001 .

[98]  Francis N. Gichuki,et al.  More People, Less Erosion: Environmental Recovery in Kenya , 1995 .

[99]  A. Angelsen,et al.  Economic models of tropical deforestation: a review. , 1998 .

[100]  E. Barbier,et al.  Economic analysis of deforestation in Mexico , 1996, Environment and Development Economics.

[101]  J. Vanclay Saving the Tropical Forest: Needs and Prognosis , 1993 .

[102]  P. Fearnside Land-Tenure Issues as Factors in Environmental Destruction in Brazilian Amazonia: The Case of Southern Para , 2001 .

[103]  R. Bilsborrow Population pressures and agricultural development in developing countries: A conceptual framework and recent evidence , 1987 .

[104]  S. Sader,et al.  Forest change estimates for the northern Petén region of Guatemala — 1986–1990 , 1994 .

[105]  Stephen J. Walsh,et al.  Scale-Dependent Relationships between Population and Environment in Northeastern Thailand , 1999 .

[106]  D. French Confronting an unsolvable problem: deforestation in Malawi. , 1986 .

[107]  Robert Walker,et al.  Land Use and Land Cover Change in Forest Frontiers: The Role of Household Life Cycles , 2002 .

[108]  J. Sanders,et al.  Shifting from extensive to intensive agricultural systems: a case study in the Sudan , 1998 .

[109]  W. Lutz Population and biodiversity: A commentary , 1996 .

[110]  D. Clawson,et al.  Deforestation and Land Use in the Amazon , 2004 .

[111]  W. Zelinsky,et al.  The Hypothesis of the Mobility Transition , 1971 .

[112]  Women's education and fertility behaviour. , 1993, Population newsletter.

[113]  J. Caldwell Mass education as a determinant of the timing of fertility decline. , 1980 .

[114]  C. Isaac Class Stratification and Cooperative Production Among Rural Women in Central Mexico , 1995, Latin American Research Review.

[115]  W. Robinson,et al.  Agricultural Development and Demographic Change: A Generalization of the Boserup Model , 1984, Economic Development and Cultural Change.

[116]  J. Poindexter,et al.  Farm size, land ownership, and fertility in rural Egypt. , 1983, Land economics.

[117]  Dennis Ojima,et al.  The global impact of land-use change , 1994 .

[118]  D. Clay,et al.  Size of Farm or Size of Family: Which Comes First? , 1992 .

[119]  J. Knodel Thailand's reproductive revolution. , 1987, Social science.

[120]  Eduardo S. Brondizio,et al.  Land use patterns on an agricultural frontier in Brazil: insights and examples from a demographic perspective. , 2002 .

[121]  A. J. Shriar,et al.  Agricultural intensity and its measurement in frontier regions , 2000, Agroforestry Systems.

[122]  Billie Turner,et al.  The human causes of Deforestation in Southeast Asia , 1994 .

[123]  F. Achard,et al.  Determination of Deforestation Rates of the World's Humid Tropical Forests , 2002, Science.

[124]  Brechin,et al.  Protected area deforestation in South Sumatra Indonesia. , 1993 .

[125]  A. Hawley Rural Fertility in Central Luzon , 1955 .

[126]  Harold Brookfield,et al.  In Place of the Forest: Environmental and Socio-Economic Transformation in Borneo and the Eastern Malay Peninsula , 1997 .

[127]  P. Pingali Population density and farming systems : the changing focus of innovations and technical change , 1984 .

[128]  Arild Angelsen,et al.  Shifting cultivation and “deforestation”: A study from Indonesia , 1995 .

[129]  L. Jarosz,et al.  Defining and explaining tropical deforestation: shifting cultivation and population growth in colonial Madagascar (1896-1940). , 1993, Economic geography.

[130]  Stephen G. Perz Social Determinants and Land Use Correlates of Agricultural Technology Adoption in a Forest Frontier: A Case Study in the Brazilian Amazon , 2003 .

[131]  A. J. Shriar,et al.  The Dynamics of Agricultural Intensification and Resource Conservation in the Buffer Zone of the Maya Biosphere Reserve, Petén, Guatemala , 2001 .

[132]  B. Turner,et al.  Comparative farming systems , 1987 .

[133]  J. Krautkraemer Population growth, soil fertility, and agricultural intensification. , 1994, Journal of development economics.

[134]  N. Myers Tropical forests: Present status and future outlook , 1991, Climatic change.

[135]  B. Turner,et al.  Induced intensification: agricultural change in Bangladesh with implications for Malthus and Boserup. , 1996, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.

[136]  A. Oberai,et al.  The colonization experience in Brazil. , 1988 .

[137]  John C. Caldwell,et al.  Toward a restatement of demographic transition theory. , 1976 .

[138]  C. Rocha,et al.  Population and technological change: A study of long-term trends , 1981 .

[139]  R. Netting,et al.  Agricultural expansion intensification and market participation among the Kofyar Jos Plateau Nigeria. , 1993 .

[140]  Thomas Rudel,et al.  The paths to rain forest destruction: Crossnational patterns of tropical deforestation, 1975-1990 , 1997 .

[141]  R. Repetto,et al.  Population growth poverty and environmental stress: frontier migration in the Philippines and Costa Rica. , 1992 .

[142]  T. Panayotou,et al.  An econometric study of the causes of tropical deforestation: the case of northeast Thailand. , 1989 .

[143]  Francisco Pichon,et al.  Settler households and land-use patterns in the Amazon frontier: Farm-level evidence from Ecuador , 1997 .

[144]  A. Angelsen,et al.  Introduction: the role of agricultural technologies in tropical deforestation. , 2001 .

[145]  K. Chomitz,et al.  Roads, land use, and deforestation : a spatial model applied to Belize , 1996 .

[146]  Alexander Strickland Pfaff Talikoff What Drives Deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon? Evidence from Satellite and Socioeconomic Data , 1996 .

[147]  Abe Goldman,et al.  Agricultural Innovation in Three Areas of Kenya: Neo-Boserupian Theories and Regional Characterization* , 1993 .