Climate change, uncertainty, and consequent risks : opportunities for forest management adaptation in Britain
暂无分享,去创建一个
[1] D. Spittlehouse. Integrating climate change adaptation into forest management , 2005 .
[2] N. Reynard,et al. Climate adaptation: Risk, uncertainty and decision-making. UKCIP Technical Report , 2003 .
[3] A. Ager,et al. Risk assessment for biodiversity conservation planning in Pacific Northwest forests , 2007 .
[4] E. Wood,et al. Little change in global drought over the past 60 years , 2012, Nature.
[5] Roger N. Jones. An Environmental Risk Assessment/Management Framework for Climate Change Impact Assessments , 2001 .
[6] D. Spittlehouse,et al. Adaptation to climate change in forest management , 2004, Journal of Ecosystems and Management.
[7] Margarida Tomé,et al. Climate Change: Believing and Seeing Implies Adapting , 2012, PloS one.
[8] Christine L. Jocoy,et al. Feeling at Risk Matters: Water Managers and the Decision to Use Forecasts , 2005, Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis.
[9] Michael Obersteiner,et al. Beyond vulnerability assessment , 2013 .
[10] S. Kaplan,et al. On The Quantitative Definition of Risk , 1981 .
[11] R. J. Bord,et al. Risk Perceptions, General Environmental Beliefs, and Willingness to Address Climate Change , 1999 .
[12] R. Knutti,et al. Future climate resources for tourism in Europe based on the daily Tourism Climatic Index , 2010 .
[13] Manfred J. Lexer,et al. Adaptation options to reduce climate change vulnerability of sustainable forest management in the Austrian Alps , 2011 .
[14] Nebojsa Nakicenovic,et al. Integrated Assessment , 1996, Simul..
[15] E. M. Gould,et al. Complexity, Wickedness, and Public Forests , 1986, Journal of Forestry.
[16] R. D. Groot,et al. Function-analysis and valuation as a tool to assess land use conflicts in planning for sustainable, multi-functional landscapes , 2006 .
[17] Denys Yemshanov,et al. Evaluating Critical Uncertainty Thresholds in a Spatial Model of Forest Pest Invasion Risk , 2009, Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis.
[18] Péter Bálint. Wicked environmental problems : managing uncertainty and conflict , 2011 .
[19] N. Zimmermann,et al. Predictive mapping of alpine grasslands in Switzerland: Species versus community approach , 1999 .
[20] Marjolein B.A. Van Asselt,et al. The complex significance of uncertainty in a risk era: logics, manners and strategies in use , 2005 .
[21] Stephane Hallegatte,et al. Strategies to adapt to an uncertain climate change , 2009 .
[22] T. Glade,et al. Improvement of vulnerability curves using data from extreme events: debris flow event in South Tyrol , 2012, Natural Hazards.
[23] C. Field,et al. Risk Management and Climate Change , 2012 .
[24] Peter A. Vanrolleghem,et al. Uncertainty in the environmental modelling process - A framework and guidance , 2007, Environ. Model. Softw..
[25] M. Field,et al. The meteorological office rainfall and evaporation calculation system -- MORECS , 1983 .
[26] Piermaria Corona,et al. Impacts of climate change on European forests and options for adaptation , 2008 .
[27] R. Stedman. Risk and Climate Change: Perceptions of Key Policy Actors in Canada , 2004, Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis.
[28] D. Richards,et al. Understanding uncertainty , 2012, Evidence-Based Dentistry.
[29] Hans-Jürgen Zimmermann,et al. An application-oriented view of modeling uncertainty , 2000, Eur. J. Oper. Res..
[30] P. Slovic. Perception of risk. , 1987, Science.
[31] Timo Pukkala,et al. Multiple risks in multi-objective forest planning: integration and importance , 1998 .
[32] K. Blennow,et al. Understanding risk in forest ecosystem services: implications for effective risk management, communication and planning , 2014 .
[33] D. Ray,et al. Climate change: impacts and adaptation in England's woodlands. , 2010 .
[34] H. Rittel,et al. Dilemmas in a general theory of planning , 1973 .
[35] Julian Evans,et al. Growing broadleaves for timber. , 1993 .
[36] Hadley Wickham,et al. The Split-Apply-Combine Strategy for Data Analysis , 2011 .
[37] Andy P. Field,et al. Discovering Statistics Using SPSS , 2000 .
[38] G. Biging,et al. Climate change impacts on forest growth and tree mortality: a data-driven modeling study in the mixed-conifer forest of the Sierra Nevada, California , 2008 .
[39] C Pahl-Wostl,et al. Integrated management of natural resources: dealing with ambiguous issues, multiple actors and diverging frames. , 2005, Water science and technology : a journal of the International Association on Water Pollution Research.
[40] Practical Forestry for the Agent and Surveyor , 1967 .
[41] Maurizio Mencuccini,et al. Effects of climate and site characteristics on Scots pine growth , 2011, European Journal of Forest Research.
[42] A. Tversky,et al. Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases , 1974, Science.
[43] J. Gibbons,et al. Nonparametric statistics : an introduction , 1993 .
[44] A. Dewulf. Contrasting frames in policy debates on climate change adaptation , 2013 .
[45] S. Reaney,et al. Climate change and health and social care: Defining future hazard, vulnerability and risk for infrastructure systems supporting older people’s health care in England , 2012 .
[46] K. Price,et al. Regional vegetation die-off in response to global-change-type drought. , 2005, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.
[47] Floyd J. Fowler,et al. Improving Survey Questions: Design and Evaluation , 1995 .
[48] Timo Karjalainen,et al. Integrated forestry assessments for climate change impacts , 2002 .
[49] L. Hein,et al. Potential impacts of climate change on tourism; a case study for Spain , 2009 .
[50] Glenis,et al. UK Climate Projections science report: Projections of future daily climate for the UK from the Weather Generator , 2009 .
[51] Gabor Grothendieck,et al. Lattice: Multivariate Data Visualization with R , 2008 .
[52] N. McDowell,et al. A global overview of drought and heat-induced tree mortality reveals emerging climate change risks for forests , 2010 .
[53] B. Wisner,et al. At Risk: Natural Hazards, People's Vulnerability and Disasters , 1996 .
[54] Joanna M. Clark,et al. Assessment of projected changes in upland environments using simple climatic indices , 2010 .
[55] G. Nabuurs,et al. Adaptive forest management in central Europe: Climate change impacts, strategies and integrative concept , 2009 .
[56] Earl R. Babbie,et al. The practice of social research , 1969 .
[57] Ana Iglesias,et al. Physical and economic consequences of climate change in Europe , 2011, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.
[58] Antti Mäkinen,et al. Comparison of various sources of uncertainty in stand-level net present value estimates , 2010 .
[59] Christopher J. Still,et al. Forest responses to increasing aridity and warmth in the southwestern United States , 2010, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.
[60] Mikko Kurttila,et al. Selecting a forest plan among alternatives: Consistency of preferences within decision support frameworks , 2012 .
[61] Cedric E. Ginestet. ggplot2: Elegant Graphics for Data Analysis , 2011 .
[62] Ola Sallnäs,et al. Risk Perception Among Non-industrial Private Forest Owners , 2002 .
[63] Roger Few,et al. Scenario-based stakeholder engagement: incorporating stakeholders preferences into coastal planning for climate change. , 2008, Journal of environmental management.
[64] medolbec. Does climate adaptation policy need probabilities , 2010 .
[65] Annika Kangas,et al. Probability, possibility and evidence: approaches to consider risk and uncertainty in forestry decision analysis , 2004 .
[66] R. Gregory,et al. Deconstructing adaptive management: criteria for applications to environmental management. , 2006, Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America.
[67] B. Gardiner,et al. Management of forests to reduce the risk of abiotic damage — a review with particular reference to the effects of strong winds , 2000 .
[68] W. Adger,et al. Are there social limits to adaptation to climate change? , 2009 .
[69] Ingrid M. Martin,et al. The role of risk perceptions in the risk mitigation process: the case of wildfire in high risk communities. , 2009, Journal of environmental management.
[70] Richard J. T. Klein,et al. The Science of Adaptation: A Framework for Assessment , 1999 .
[71] Vincent Marchau,et al. Dealing With Uncertainty in Policy Analysis and Policymaking , 2003 .
[72] J. Borchers. Accepting uncertainty, assessing risk: decision quality in managing wildfire, forest resource values, and new technology , 2005 .
[73] Niklaus E. Zimmermann,et al. Climate change may cause severe loss in the economic value of European forest land , 2013 .
[74] Klaus von Gadow,et al. Evaluating risk in forest planning models , 2000 .
[75] G. Jenkins,et al. The climate of the United Kingdom and recent trends , 2007 .
[76] W. Walker,et al. Defining Uncertainty: A Conceptual Basis for Uncertainty Management in Model-Based Decision Support , 2003 .
[77] A. Hamann,et al. Bioclimate envelope model predictions for natural resource management: dealing with uncertainty , 2010 .
[78] M.B.A. van Asselt,et al. Perspectives on Uncertainty and Risk: The PRIMA Approach to Decision Support , 2000 .
[79] K. Matthews,et al. Assessment of the impact of climate change on the growth of Sitka spruce in Scotland , 1996 .
[80] W. Adger,et al. Successful adaptation to climate change across scales , 2005 .
[81] D. Ray. Impacts of climate change on forestry in Scotland – a synopsis of spatial modelling research , 2008 .
[82] P. Ciais,et al. Europe-wide reduction in primary productivity caused by the heat and drought in 2003 , 2005, Nature.
[83] Johannes Persson,et al. Climate change: Motivation for taking measure to adapt , 2009 .
[84] G. Mace,et al. Bringing Ecosystem Services into Economic Decision-Making: Land Use in the United Kingdom , 2013, Science.
[85] Tony Waters,et al. Environmental hazards: Assessing risk and reducing disaster , 1997 .
[86] Edward G. Carmines,et al. Measurement in the Social Sciences: The Link Between Theory and Data , 1980, American Political Science Review.
[87] A. Barbati,et al. Climate change impacts, adaptive capacity, and vulnerability of European forest ecosystems , 2010 .
[88] A. Fischlin,et al. Ecosystems, their properties, goods and services , 2007 .
[89] Kenneth H. Reckhow,et al. Water quality simulation modeling and uncertainty analysis for risk assessment and decision making , 1994 .
[90] M. Hulme,et al. Beyond the Tipping Point: Understanding Perceptions of Abrupt Climate Change and Their Implications , 2011 .
[91] Fredrik Lagergren,et al. Storms can cause Europe‐wide reduction in forest carbon sink , 2009 .
[92] Perceptions of climate change risk to forest ecosystems and forest-based communities , 2005 .
[93] A. Tversky,et al. The framing of decisions and the psychology of choice. , 1981, Science.
[94] J. Rotmans. Methods for IA: The challenges and opportunities ahead , 1998 .
[95] Anne van der Veen,et al. Flood risk perceptions and spatial multi-criteria analysis: an exploratory research for hazard mitigation , 2008 .
[96] Lawrence J. Axelrod,et al. Characterizing perception of ecological risk. , 1995, Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis.
[97] C. Pahl-Wostl,et al. The role of public participation in managing uncertainty in the implementation of the Water Framework Directive , 2005 .
[98] Warren E. Walker,et al. Dynamic adaptive policy pathways: A method for crafting robust decisions for a deeply uncertain world , 2013 .
[99] Maarten S. Krol,et al. Identification and classification of uncertainties in the application of environmental models , 2010, Environ. Model. Softw..
[100] D. Ray,et al. Climate change and the future for broadleaved tree species in Britain , 2005 .
[101] Frank Ewert,et al. Uncertainty analysis in integrated assessment: the users’ perspective , 2010 .
[102] R. Pielke,et al. Room for doubt , 2001, Nature.
[103] James D. Brown. Knowledge, uncertainty and physical geography: towards the development of methodologies for questioning belief , 2004 .
[104] Claudia Pahl-Wostl,et al. Toward a Relational Concept of Uncertainty: about Knowing Too Little, Knowing Too Differently, and Accepting Not to Know , 2008 .
[105] Lori M. Hunter,et al. The Association Between Environmental Perspective and Knowledge and Concern With Species Diversity , 2004 .
[106] David Etkin,et al. Climate Change: Perceptions and Discourses of Risk , 2007 .
[107] T. D. Mitchell,et al. Ecosystem Service Supply and Vulnerability to Global Change in Europe , 2005, Science.
[108] Heiner Schanz,et al. Future orientation and planning in forestry: a comparison of forest managers’ planning horizons in Germany and the Netherlands , 2008, European Journal of Forest Research.
[109] R. Norby,et al. Elevated CO₂ enhances leaf senescence during extreme drought in a temperate forest. , 2011, Tree physiology.
[110] E. Zavaleta,et al. Harnessing nature to help people adapt to climate change , 2012 .
[111] Robert V. O'Neill,et al. Treatment of risk in environmental impact assessment , 1987 .
[112] T. Carter,et al. Europe adapts to climate change: comparing national adaptation strategies , 2010 .
[113] D. Stephenson,et al. Future extreme events in European climate: an exploration of regional climate model projections , 2007 .
[114] N. Hanley,et al. Combating climate change: a role for UK forests. An assessment of the potential of the UK's trees and woodlands to mitigate and adapt to climate change. , 2009 .
[115] J. Innes,et al. Incorporating Climate Change Adaptation Considerations into Forest Management Planning in the Boreal Forest , 2007 .
[116] R. Kasperson,et al. A framework for vulnerability analysis in sustainability science , 2003, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.
[117] A. Nardini,et al. Global convergence in the vulnerability of forests to drought , 2012, Nature.
[118] S. Nicholls,et al. Climate change and tourism in Northwestern Europe: impacts and adaptation , 2008 .
[119] Antoine Guisan,et al. Climatic extremes improve predictions of spatial patterns of tree species , 2009, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.