Supply-side structural effect on carbon emissions in China

This paper carries out a structural decomposition analysis (SDA) of production-related carbon emissions in China from 1992 to 2005 by adopting the Ghosh input-output model. It finds that the supply-side structure, measured by sectoral shares in value added, increased production-related carbon emissions in 1992-2002, mainly due to the rapid growth of manufacturing sectors, but reduced them in 2002-2005 thanks to the decreased shares of carbon-intensive sectors. Whatever the supply-side structure, forward carbon multipliers of each sector or changes in supply-side sectoral shares and related emissions effects calculated by adopting the Ghosh input-output model were different from their demand-side counterparts estimated by adopting the Leontief input-output model. The results suggest optimizing the supply-side structure and lowering the forward carbon multipliers to control carbon emissions in the future.

[1]  Stefan Giljum,et al.  Designing an indicator of environmental responsibility , 2006 .

[2]  K. Treanton,et al.  Revised 1996 IPCC guidelines for national greenhouse gas inventories. v. 1: Greenhouse gas inventory reporting instructions.- v. 2: Greenhouse gas inventory workbook.- v.3: Greenhouse gas inventory reference manual , 1997 .

[3]  R. Bon,et al.  Comparative stability analysis of demand-side and supply-side input–output models in the UK , 1993 .

[4]  Yi-Ming Wei,et al.  Changes in carbon intensity in China: Empirical findings from 1980-2003 , 2007 .

[5]  C. Weber,et al.  China's growing CO2 emissions--a race between increasing consumption and efficiency gains. , 2007, Environmental science & technology.

[6]  Hyun-Sik Chung,et al.  Change in CO2 emission and its transmissions between Korea and Japan using international input–output analysis , 2006 .

[7]  Youguo Zhang,et al.  Structural decomposition analysis of sources of decarbonizing economic development in China; 1992-2006 , 2009 .

[8]  Jining Chen,et al.  Decomposition of energy-related CO2 emission in China: 1957–2000 , 2005 .

[9]  Yi-Ming Wei,et al.  Using LMDI method to analyze the change of China's industrial CO2 emissions from final fuel use: An empirical analysis , 2007 .

[10]  Bart Los,et al.  Structural decomposition techniques : sense and sensitivity , 1998 .

[11]  Bart Los,et al.  Structural Decomposition Analyses with Dependent Determinants , 2000 .

[12]  Manfred Lenzen,et al.  Environmentally important paths, linkages and key sectors in the Australian economy , 2003 .

[13]  Shinji Kaneko,et al.  Driving forces behind the stagnancy of China's energy-related CO2 emissions from 1996 to 1999: The relative importance of structural change, intensity change and scale change , 2005 .

[14]  Jan Oosterhaven,et al.  THE SUPPLY-DRIVEN INPUT-OUTPUT MODEL - A NEW INTERPRETATION BUT STILL IMPLAUSIBLE , 1989 .

[15]  Tiago Domingos,et al.  Consumer and producer environmental responsibility: Comparing two approaches , 2008 .

[16]  M. Lenzen,et al.  A consistent input–output formulation of shared producer and consumer responsibility , 2005 .

[17]  B. W. Ang,et al.  Decomposition analysis for policymaking in energy:: which is the preferred method? , 2004 .

[18]  Peter Rørmose,et al.  Structural Decomposition Analysis of Air Emissions in Denmark 1980-2002 , 2005 .

[19]  中華人民共和国国家統計局.  China statistical yearbook , 1988 .

[20]  Tomonari Yashiro,et al.  Comparative stability analysis of demand-side and supply-side input-output models: the case of Japan, 1960-90 , 1996 .

[21]  Hyun-Sik Chung,et al.  A residual-free decomposition of the sources of carbon dioxide emissions: a case of the Korean industries , 2001 .

[22]  J. Oosterhaven.  Leontief versus Ghoshian Price and Quantity Models , 1996 .

[23]  Miguel Ángel Tarancón Morán,et al.  A combined input-output and sensitivity analysis approach to analyse sector linkages and CO2 emissions , 2007 .

[24]  Shinji Kaneko,et al.  Dynamics of energy-related CO2 emissions in China during 1980 to 2002: The relative importance of energy supply-side and demand-side effects , 2006 .

[25]  Erik Dietzenbacher,et al.  Interregional Multipliers: Looking Backward, Looking Forward , 2002 .

[26]  M. Lenzen,et al.  Shared producer and consumer responsibility — Theory and practice , 2007 .

[27]  Chia-Yon Chen,et al.  On the application of input-output analysis to energy issues , 1990 .

[28]  C. Weber,et al.  Journey to world top emitter: An analysis of the driving forces of China's recent CO2 emissions surge , 2009 .

[29]  Erik Dietzenbacher,et al.  In Vindication of the Ghosh Model: A Reinterpretation as a Price Model , 1997 .

[30]  J. C. J. M. Bergh,et al.  Comparing structural decomposition analysis and index , 2003 .

[31]  Arpita Ghosh,et al.  Input-Output Approach in an Allocation System , 1958 .

[32]  C. Weber,et al.  The drivers of Chinese CO2 emissions from 1980 to 2030 , 2008 .

[33]  Jiang Zhao-hua,et al.  Decomposition Model and Empirical Study of Carbon Emissions for China,1995-2004 , 2006 .

[34]  Ranko Bon,et al.  Comparative Stability Analysis of Demand-Side and Supply-Side Input-Output Models: The Case of the US* , 2018, Economic Structure and Maturity.

[35]  J. Oosterhaven.  ON THE PLAUSIBILITY OF THE SUPPLY-DRIVEN INPUT-OUTPUT MODEL , 1988 .

[36]  Yongchen Song,et al.  Decomposition of energy-related CO2 emission over 1991-2006 in China , 2009 .

[37]  Adam Rose,et al.  INPUT-OUTPUT STRUCTURAL DECOMPOSITION ANALYSIS: A CRITICAL APPRAISAL , 1996 .

[38]  Giuseppe Tassielli,et al.  Global warming agreements, international trade and energy/carbon embodiments: an input–output approach to the Italian case , 2006 .

[39]  Jan Oosterhaven.  Leontief versus Ghoshian price and quantity , 1996 .