Real-Time Work Schedule Adjustment Decisions: An Investigation and Evaluation

Service managers often find that available worker capacity does not match with actual demand during a given day. They then must attempt to modify the planned work schedule to improve service and increase profitability. This study, which defines such a setting as the real-time work schedule adjustment decision, proposes mathematical formulations of the real-time adjustment and develops efficient heuristic approaches for this decision. The study evaluates the relative effectiveness of these heuristics versus experienced service managers, investigates the effect of the degree of schedule adjustment on profitability, and assesses the effect of demand forecast update errors on the performance of the schedule adjustment efforts. First, the results indicate that the computer based heuristics achieve higher profit improvement than experienced managers. Second, there is a trade-off between schedule stability and profitability so that more extensive schedule revisions (efficiency first heuristics) generally result in higher profitability. However, the incremental return on schedule changes is diminishing. Third, we find that active adjustments of work schedules are beneficial as long as the direction of demand change is accurately identified.

[1]  Aj Vakharia,et al.  Efficient Scheduling of Part-Time Employees , 1992 .

[2]  V. Mabert,et al.  A Simulation Analysis of Tour-Shift Construction Procedures , 1982 .

[3]  Gary M. Thompson Improved implicit optimal modeling of the labor shift scheduling problem , 1995 .

[4]  Stephen E. Bechtold,et al.  Implicit modeling of flexible break assignments in optimal shift scheduling , 1990 .

[5]  Rohit Verma,et al.  Research opportunities in service process design , 2002 .

[6]  D. W. Trigg Monitoring a Forecasting System , 1964 .

[7]  Víctor M. Guerrero,et al.  Forecasting a cumulative variable using its partially accumulated data , 1997 .

[8]  E. Powell Robinson,et al.  Complexity Factors and Intuition-based Methods for Facility Network Design , 1997 .

[9]  Larry P. Ritzman,et al.  The Disaggregation of Aggregate Manpower Plans , 1976 .

[10]  Gary M. Thompson Controlling action times in daily workforce schedules , 1996 .

[11]  S. Kimes Yield management: A tool for capacity-considered service firms , 1989 .

[12]  William Swart,et al.  An Integrated Labor-Management System for Taco Bell , 1998, Interfaces.

[13]  Gary M. Thompson Labor Scheduling, Part 4 , 1999 .

[14]  Vincent A. Mabert,et al.  Planning Police Communications Support , 1983 .

[15]  R. Kapuściński,et al.  Value of Information in Capacitated Supply Chains , 1999 .

[16]  Vincent A. Mabert,et al.  Short interval forecasting of emergency phone call (911) work loads , 1985 .

[17]  Donald F. Rossin,et al.  Sufficient working subsets for the tour scheduling problem , 1991 .

[18]  Lawrence H. Peters,et al.  Situational Constraints and Employee Affective Reactions: A Partial Field Replication , 1982 .

[19]  Linda V. Green,et al.  AN IMPROVED HEURISTIC FOR STAFFING TELEPHONE CALL CENTERS WITH LIMITED OPERATING HOURS , 2003 .

[20]  William J. Abernathy,et al.  A Three-Stage Manpower Planning and Scheduling Model - A Service-Sector Example , 1973, Oper. Res..

[21]  Keebom Kang,et al.  Cross-Utilization of Workers Whose Capabilities Differ , 1999 .

[22]  Lilian Shiao Yen Wu,et al.  Business planning under uncertainty: Will we attain our goal? , 1992 .

[23]  Samuel E. Bodily,et al.  A Simulation of Techniques for Forecasting Shipments Using Firm Orders-to-Date , 1988 .

[24]  Oded Berman,et al.  Determining optimal pool size of a temporary call-in work force , 1994 .

[25]  John A. Buzacott,et al.  The value of information used in inventory control of a make-to-order inventory-production system , 2002 .

[26]  Manoj K. Malhotra,et al.  SCHEDULING FLEXIBILITY IN THE SERVICE SECTOR: A POSTAL CASE STUDY , 2009 .

[27]  Michael J. Showalter,et al.  Simple Approaches to Shift, Days-Off and Tour Scheduling Problems , 1983 .

[28]  E. H. Bowman Consistency and Optimality in Managerial Decision Making , 1963 .

[29]  Emre A. Veral,et al.  OUTPATIENT SCHEDULING IN HEALTH CARE: A REVIEW OF LITERATURE , 2003 .

[30]  E. Powell Robinson,et al.  A comparative model of facility network design methodologies , 1995 .

[31]  Rohit Verma,et al.  A MARKET UTILITY‐BASED MODEL FOR CAPACITY SCHEDULING IN MASS SERVICES , 2003 .

[32]  Arthur V. Hill,et al.  An experimental comparison of human schedulers and heuristic algorithms for the traveling salesman problem , 1982 .

[33]  Everette S. Gardner Automatic monitoring of forecast errors , 1983 .

[34]  Susana V. Mondschein,et al.  APPOINTMENT POLICIES IN SERVICE OPERATIONS: A CRITICAL ANALYSIS OF THE ECONOMIC FRAMEWORK , 2003 .

[35]  Michael J. Brusco,et al.  Staffing a Multiskilled Workforce with Varying Levels of Productivity: An Analysis of Cross‐training Policies* , 1998 .

[36]  Larry W. Jacobs,et al.  Optimal Models for Meal-Break and Start-Time Flexibility in Continuous Tour Scheduling , 2000 .

[37]  Gavriel Salvendy,et al.  An experimental study of human decision-making in computer-based scheduling of flexible manufacturing system , 1988 .

[38]  Robert R. Love,et al.  Management Science Improves Fast-Food Operations , 1990 .

[39]  Bruce H. Andrews,et al.  L. L. Bean Improves Call-Center Forecasting , 1995 .

[40]  Avishai Mandelbaum,et al.  Adaptive Behavior of Impatient Customers in Tele-Queues: Theory and Empirical Support , 2002, Manag. Sci..

[41]  Michael J. Brusco,et al.  Personnel Tour Scheduling When Starting-Time Restrictions Are Present , 1998 .

[42]  Sunder Kekre,et al.  Forecasting using partially known demands , 1990 .

[43]  William L. Berry,et al.  Forecasting Teller Window Demand with Exponential Smoothing , 1979 .

[44]  F. Robert Jacobs,et al.  Tour Scheduling and Task Assignment of a Heterogeneous Work Force: A Heuristic Approach , 1991 .

[45]  Gary M. Thompson Assigning Telephone Operators to Shifts at New Brunswick Telephone Company , 1997 .

[46]  T. Aykin Optimal Shift Scheduling with Multiple Break Windows , 1996 .

[47]  Donald F. Rossin,et al.  ANALYSIS OF ALTERNATIVE SCHEDULING POLICIES FOR HOSPITAL NURSES , 1992 .

[48]  Michael Pinedo,et al.  Call Centers in Financial Services: Strategies, Technologies, and Operations , 2000 .