Chronicle of a War Foretold: The Macroeconomic E(cid:11)ects of Anticipated Defense Spending Shocks (cid:3)

We identify news shocks to U

[1]  Nadav Ben Zeev,et al.  What can we learn about news shocks from the late 1990s and early 2000s boom-bust period? , 2018 .

[2]  Nadav Ben Zeev,et al.  Investment‐Specific News Shocks and U.S. Business Cycles , 2015 .

[3]  Nadav ben Zeev,et al.  Multipliers of unexpected increases in defense spending : an empirical investigation , 2015 .

[4]  Mario Forni,et al.  Government Spending Shocks in Open Economy VARs , 2014 .

[5]  Roberto Perotti Defense Government Spending is Contractionary, Civilian Government Spending is Expansionary , 2014 .

[6]  Carolin E. Pflueger,et al.  Inflation Risk in Corporate Bonds , 2013 .

[7]  Eric R. Sims NEWS, NON-INVERTIBILITY, AND STRUCTURAL VARS $ , 2012 .

[8]  John G. Fernald A quarterly, utilization-adjusted series on total factor productivity , 2012 .

[9]  S. Davis,et al.  Policy uncertainty: a new indicator , 2012 .

[10]  Per Krusell,et al.  News Shocks and Business Cycles , 2010 .

[11]  Todd B. Walker,et al.  Quantitative Effects of Fiscal Foresight , 2010 .

[12]  H. Uhlig Some Fiscal Calculus , 2010 .

[13]  Jonas D. M. Fisher Comment on 'Letting Different Views About Business Cycles Compete' , 2009 .

[14]  V. Ramey Identifying Government Spending Shocks: It's All in the Timing , 2009 .

[15]  Jonas D. M. Fisher,et al.  Using Stock Returns to Identify Government Spending Shocks , 2009 .

[16]  Karel Mertens,et al.  Measuring the Impact of Fiscal Policy in the Face of Anticipation: A Structural VAR Approach , 2009 .

[17]  Karel Mertens,et al.  Empirical Evidence on the Aggregate Effects of Anticipated and Unanticipated U.S. Tax Policy Shocks , 2009 .

[18]  M. Uribe,et al.  What's News in Business Cycles , 2008 .

[19]  Helmut Ltkepohl,et al.  New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis , 2007 .

[20]  S. Rebelo,et al.  Can News About the Future Drive the Business Cycle? , 2006 .

[21]  D. Romer,et al.  A New Measure of Monetary Shocks: Derivation and Implications , 2003 .

[22]  P. Beaudry,et al.  Stock Prices, News and Economic Fluctuations , 2003 .

[23]  Harald Uhlig,et al.  What are the Effects of Fiscal Policy Shocks? , 2002 .

[24]  Lutz Kilian,et al.  Finite-Sample Properties of Percentile and Percentile-t Bootstrap Confidence Intervals for Impulse Responses , 1999, Review of Economics and Statistics.

[25]  M. Shapiro,et al.  Costly Capital Reallocation and the Effects of Government Spending , 1998 .

[26]  Arah,et al.  Are Government Spending Multipliers Greater During Periods of Slack? Evidence from 20th Century Historical Data , 2013 .

[27]  R. Barro,et al.  Macroeconomic Effects from Government Purchases and Taxes , 2009 .

[28]  Luiss Guido,et al.  Preliminary, Comments Welcome , 2008 .

[29]  D. Romer,et al.  NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES THE MACROECONOMIC EFFECTS OF TAX CHANGES: ESTIMATES BASED ON A NEW MEASURE OF FISCAL SHOCKS , 2007 .

[30]  E. Mammen The Bootstrap and Edgeworth Expansion , 1997 .