Objective indicators of organizational performance at nuclear power plants

This report summarizes research conducted on the development and validation of organizational performance measures at operating nuclear power plants. Publicly available data, including measures from Licensee Event Reports, operating and outage data, and violations data, are used to predict penultimate measures of plant safety. Penultimate measures of safety include potentially significant events, overexposures and near overexposures, and several radiological release measures. The 1981 and 1982 performance measures are used in correlation and regression analyses to predict performance on the penultimate safety measures in 1982 and 1983. Many of the plant performance measures are consistently predictive of the frequency of potentially significant events. No strong, consistent predictors emerge for exposures or liquid radiological releases. Several performance measures are consistent predictors of gaseous releases. The regression analyses indicate that the predictors do not tend to combine in consistent, multivariate patterns, and controls for plant age, size, type, region, and fuel cycle stage do not substantially affect the results. The analysis concludes that existing performance data do appear to be predictive of some aspects of plant safety performance. The report recommends that more reliable, summary performance measures be created by combining several of the performance measures tested in the current analysis.