Automated Negotiations Under Uncertain Preferences

Automated Negotiation is an emerging field of electronic markets and multi-agent system research. Market engineers are faced in this connection with computational as well as economic issues, such as individual rationality and incentive compatibility. Most literature is focused on autonomous agents and negotiation protocols regarding these issues. However, common protocols show two deficiencies: (1) neglected consideration of agents’ incentives to strive for social welfare, (2) underemphasized acknowledgement that agents build their decision upon preference information delivered by human principals. Since human beings make use of heuristics for preference elicitation, their preferences are subject to informational uncertainty. The contribution of this paper is the proposition of a research agenda that aims at overcoming these research deficiencies. Our research agenda draws theoretically and methodologically on auctions, iterative bargaining, and fuzzy set theory. We complement our agenda with simulation-based preliminary results regarding differences in the application of auctions and iterative bargaining.

[1]  Karl Kurbel,et al.  Automated Negotiation on Agent-Based e-Marketplaces: An Overview , 2001, Bled eConference.

[2]  Esfandiar Eslami,et al.  Advances in soft computing: an introduction to fuzzy logic and fuzzy sets , 2002 .

[3]  Hans-Jürgen Zimmermann,et al.  An application-oriented view of modeling uncertainty , 2000, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[4]  Katia Sycara,et al.  Efficient Multi-Attribute Negotiation with Incomplete Information , 2006 .

[5]  Guoming Lai,et al.  A Generic Framework for Automated Multi-attribute Negotiation , 2009 .

[6]  Mark Klein,et al.  Negotiating Complex Contracts , 2003, AAMAS '02.

[7]  Yoav Shoham,et al.  Truth revelation in approximately efficient combinatorial auctions , 2002, EC '99.

[8]  H.-J. Zimmermann Fuzzy set theory , 2010 .

[9]  Martin Bichler,et al.  Design science in information systems research , 2006, Wirtschaftsinf..

[10]  Sarit Kraus,et al.  Automated Negotiation and Decision Making in Multiagent Environments , 2001, EASSS.

[11]  Martin Grieger Electronic marketplaces: A literature review and a call for supply chain management research , 2003, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[12]  Ramayya Krishnan,et al.  On Negotiations and Deal Making in Electronic Markets , 1999, Inf. Syst. Frontiers.

[13]  Andreas Fink,et al.  A Combinatorial Auction Negotiation Protocol for Time-Restricted Group Decisions , 2011, ICAIS.

[14]  Tuomas Sandholm,et al.  eMediator: A Next Generation Electronic Commerce Server , 1999, AGENTS '00.

[15]  David Porter,et al.  Combinatorial auction design , 2003, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.

[16]  Alan R. Hevner,et al.  Focus Groups for Artifact Refinement and Evaluation in Design Research , 2010, Commun. Assoc. Inf. Syst..

[17]  Piero P. Bonissone,et al.  A Linguistic Approach to Decisionmaking with Fuzzy Sets , 1980, IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics.

[18]  Nicholas R. Jennings,et al.  Designing a successful trading agent:A fuzzy set approach , 2004, IEEE Transactions on Fuzzy Systems.

[19]  Andreas Fink,et al.  Supply Chain Coordination by Means of Automated Negotiations Between Autonomous Agents , 2006 .

[20]  Juho Mäkiö,et al.  meet2trade: A generic electronic market platform ∗ , 2005 .

[21]  N. R. Jennings,et al.  To appear in: Int Journal of Group Decision and Negotiation GDN2000 Keynote Paper Automated Negotiation: Prospects, Methods and Challenges , 2022 .

[22]  Martin Bichler,et al.  Towards a Structured Design of Electronic Negotiations , 2003 .

[23]  Dirk Neumann,et al.  Market engineering: a structured design process for electronic markets , 2010 .

[24]  A. Lloyd Threats to the estimation of benefit: are preference elicitation methods accurate? , 2003, Health economics.

[25]  Christof Weinhardt,et al.  The Montreal Taxonomy for Electronic Negotiations , 2003 .

[26]  Tung Bui,et al.  Fuzzy preferences in bilateral negotiation support systems , 1991, Proceedings of the Twenty-Fourth Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences.

[27]  H. Zimmermann,et al.  Fuzzy Set Theory and Its Applications , 1993 .

[28]  Vincent Conitzer,et al.  Making decisions based on the preferences of multiple agents , 2010, CACM.

[29]  Ryan Riordan,et al.  Algorithmic Trading and Information , 2009 .

[30]  Beat F. Schmid Requirements for Electronic Markets Architecture , 1997, Electron. Mark..

[31]  Ryszard Kowalczyk,et al.  On Fuzzy e-Negotiation Agents: autonomous negotiation with incomplete and imprecise information , 2000, Proceedings 11th International Workshop on Database and Expert Systems Applications.

[32]  Alan R. Hevner,et al.  Design Science in Information Systems Research , 2004, MIS Q..

[33]  James J. Buckley,et al.  Monte Carlo Methods in Fuzzy Optimization , 2008, Studies in Fuzziness and Soft Computing.

[34]  Torsten Eymann,et al.  Optimizing Strategy in Agent-Based Automated Negotiation , 2003, Wirtschaftsinformatik.

[35]  David Levine,et al.  Winner determination in combinatorial auction generalizations , 2002, AAMAS '02.

[36]  George J. Klir,et al.  Fuzzy sets and fuzzy logic - theory and applications , 1995 .

[37]  Ken Binmore,et al.  Applying game theory to automated negotiation , 1999 .

[38]  D. Lehmann,et al.  The Winner Determination Problem , 2003 .

[39]  Noam Nisan,et al.  Computationally feasible VCG mechanisms , 2000, EC '00.

[40]  M. Bichler The Future of Emarkets: Multi-Dimensional Market Mechanisms , 2001 .

[41]  M. J. Moon,et al.  E-Procurement Management in State Governments: Diffusion of E-Procurement Practices and Its Determinants , 2005 .