Linear Shrinkage Estimation of Large Covariance Matrices with Use of Factor Models

The problem of estimating large covariance matrices with use of factor models is addressed when both the sample size and the dimension of covariance matrix tend to innity. In this paper, we consider a general class of weighted estimators which includes (i) linear combinations of the sample covariance matrix and the model-based estimator under the factor model and (ii) ridge-type estimators without factors as special cases. The optimal weights in the class are derived, and the plug-in weighted estimators are suggested since the optimal weights depend on unknown parameters. Numerical results show our methods perform well. Finally, an application to portfolio managements is given. --

[1]  L. R. Haff An identity for the Wishart distribution with applications , 1979 .

[2]  Harrison H. Zhou,et al.  OPTIMAL RATES OF CONVERGENCE FOR SPARSE COVARIANCE MATRIX ESTIMATION , 2012, 1302.3030.

[3]  Alfred O. Hero,et al.  Shrinkage Algorithms for MMSE Covariance Estimation , 2009, IEEE Transactions on Signal Processing.

[4]  Olivier Ledoit,et al.  Improved estimation of the covariance matrix of stock returns with an application to portfolio selection , 2003 .

[5]  C. Stein Estimation of the Mean of a Multivariate Normal Distribution , 1981 .

[6]  M. Srivastava Some Tests Concerning the Covariance Matrix in High Dimensional Data , 2005 .

[7]  Wing-Keung Wong,et al.  ENHANCEMENT OF THE APPLICABILITY OF MARKOWITZ'S PORTFOLIO OPTIMIZATION BY UTILIZING RANDOM MATRIX THEORY , 2009 .

[8]  P. Bickel,et al.  Regularized estimation of large covariance matrices , 2008, 0803.1909.

[9]  Olivier Ledoit,et al.  A well-conditioned estimator for large-dimensional covariance matrices , 2004 .

[10]  P. Bickel,et al.  Covariance regularization by thresholding , 2009, 0901.3079.

[11]  Weidong Liu,et al.  Adaptive Thresholding for Sparse Covariance Matrix Estimation , 2011, 1102.2237.

[12]  Jianqing Fan,et al.  Large covariance estimation by thresholding principal orthogonal complements , 2011, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B, Statistical methodology.

[13]  Xiaoqian Sun,et al.  Improved Stein-type shrinkage estimators for the high-dimensional multivariate normal covariance matrix , 2011, Comput. Stat. Data Anal..

[14]  Korbinian Strimmer,et al.  An empirical Bayes approach to inferring large-scale gene association networks , 2005, Bioinform..

[15]  M. Rothschild,et al.  Arbitrage, Factor Structure, and Mean-Variance Analysis on Large Asset Markets , 1982 .

[16]  Adam J. Rothman,et al.  Generalized Thresholding of Large Covariance Matrices , 2009 .

[17]  M. Rothschild,et al.  Arbitrage, Factor Structure, and Mean-Variance Analysis on Large Asset Markets , 1983 .

[18]  E. Fama,et al.  Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds , 1993 .

[19]  Jianqing Fan,et al.  Sparsistency and Rates of Convergence in Large Covariance Matrix Estimation. , 2007, Annals of statistics.

[20]  Jianqing Fan,et al.  High dimensional covariance matrix estimation using a factor model , 2007, math/0701124.

[21]  Katsumi Shimotsu,et al.  Improvement in finite sample properties of the Hansen–Jagannathan distance test☆ , 2009 .

[22]  Jianqing Fan,et al.  High Dimensional Covariance Matrix Estimation in Approximate Factor Models , 2011, Annals of statistics.