The origin and evolution of LIGO's first gravitational-wave source

LIGO has detected gravitational waves from the coalescence and merger of two massive stellar-origin black holes. The detection is consistent with our earlier predictions that the first LIGO detections from massive binary black hole mergers were imminent, based on isolated binary evolution. Within our classical evolutionary scenario we find that the stellar progenitors of the black holes constituting GW150914 most likely formed in low metallicity environments (Z 400 km/s) for massive black holes are unlikely. Development and survival of the common envelope is likely restricted to evolved stars. While models based on dynamical formation do not predict that the BH spins should be preferentially aligned with the binary angular momentum, our models of isolated BH-BH formation favor aligned BH spins (assuming that the progenitor star spins are aligned when the binaries form). We find that the existence of GW150914 does not require enhanced double black hole formation in dense stellar clusters or via exotic evolutionary channels. Our standard model BH-BH merger rate (200 Gpc^-3 yr^-1) is consistent with the LIGO empirical estimate (2-400 Gpc^-3 yr^-1) and it is 40 times higher than the typical rate of dynamically formed mergers. We predict that BH-BH mergers with total mass of 20-80 Msun are to be detected next.