Energy Systems Analysis for Developing Countries

1 Introduction.- 1.1 What is Energy Systems Analysis.- 1.2 Applicability of Energy Systems Analysis to Developing Countries.- 1.3 A Framework for National Energy Planning.- 1.4 Scope of This Book.- 2 Mathematical Fundamentals.- 2.1 Matrix Algebra.- 2.2 Econometrics.- 2.3 Linear Programming.- 2.4 Classical Optimization Techniques.- 2.5 Statistical Analysis of Energy Data: Oil Consumption in Tunisia.- 3 Network Models.- 3.1 Reference Energy Systems.- 3.2 Energy Demand and Fuel Mix Analysis.- 3.3 Matrix Algebraic Formulation: Application to the Dominican Republic.- 3.4 Matrix Notation for Fuel Mix Tables Residential Demand in the Dominican Republic.- 4 Econometric Models.- 4.1 Estimating Elasticities.- 4.2 Estimation Problems.- 4.3 Application: Income and Price Elasticity of Energy Demand in Tunisia.- 5 Petroleum Sector Models.- 5.1 Technical Background.- 5.2 A Simple Refinery LP.- 5.3 Application to a West African Refinery.- 5.4 Application: Refinery Rehabilitation in Bangladesh.- 6 Input-Output Models.- 6.1 Fundamentals of Input-Output Analysis.- 6.2 Energy Denominated I/O Tables.- 6.3 RES-Transaction Table Relationships.- 6.4 Interfuel Substitutions in the I/O Framework.- 6.5 An Energy Input-Output Model for Portugal.- 7 Industrial Process Models.- 7.1 Introduction.- 7.2 A Process Model of the Egyptian Iron and Steel Industry.- 7.2.1 Introduction.- 7.2.2 Options for the Egyptian Iron & Steel Industry.- 7.2.3 Formulation as a Linear Program.- 8 Electric Sector Models.- 8.1 Introduction.- 8.2 The Capacity Expansion Problem.- 8.3 Adding a Spatial Dimension: The Siting Problem.- 8.4 The Treatment of Electric Transmission in Spatial Programming Models.- 8.5 Incorporating Water Resource Planning Considerations.- 8.6 Environmental Considerations.- 8.7 An LP of the Jordanian Electric System.- 9 Energy System Optimization Models.- 9.1 The Basic Linear Programming Model.- 9.2 Capacity Variables.- 9.3 Interpretation of the Shadow Prices.- 10 Simulation Models.- 10.1 Introduction.- 10.2 An Energy Cash Flow Simulation Model.- 11 Energy Economic Linkages.- 11.1 Linking the I/O and LP.- 11.2 Process Model Linkages.- 11.3 Macroeconomic Linkages.