论文信息 - Comments on 'Getting Scarred and Winning Lotteries: Effects of Exemplar Cuing and Statistical Format on Imagining Low-Probability Events,' by Newell, Mitchell, and Hayes (2008)

Comments on 'Getting Scarred and Winning Lotteries: Effects of Exemplar Cuing and Statistical Format on Imagining Low-Probability Events,' by Newell, Mitchell, and Hayes (2008)

Newell, Mitchell, and Hayes (NMH) conduct three experiments designed to test whether exemplar cuing (EC) theory or a statistical format theory provides a more accurate account for how people make judgments about low-probability events. They report finding support for the statistical format theory and little or no support for EC. However, NMH misstate the requirements for the production of exemplars in EC theory. As a result, they confuse non-exemplar conditions with exemplar conditions in their experiments, and find results that are virtually irrelevant to EC theory.

Jonathan J. Koehler | Laura Macchi

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[2] B. Newell,et al. Getting scarred and winning lotteries: effects of exemplar cuing and statistical format on imagining low‐probability events , 2008 .

[3] J. Koehler,et al. The Psychology of Numbers in the Courtroom: How to Make DNA Match Statistics Seem Impressive or Insufficient , 2001 .

[4] J. Koehler,et al. When Are People Persuaded By DNA Match Statistics? , 2001, Law and human behavior.