Conditional design of the EWMA median chart with estimated parameters

ABSTRACT The exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) chart is often designed assuming the process parameters are known. In practice, the parameters are rarely known and need to be estimated from Phase I samples. Different Phase I samples are used when practitioners construct their own control chart's limits, which leads to the “Phase I between-practitioners” variability in the in-control average run length (ARL) of control charts. The standard deviation of the ARL (SDARL) is a good alternative to quantify this variability in control charts. Based on the SDARL metric, the performance of the EWMA median chart with estimated parameters is investigated in this paper. Some recommendations are given based on the SDARL metric. The results show that the EWMA median chart requires a much larger amount of Phase I data in order to reduce the variation in the in-control ARL up to a reasonable level. Due to the limitation of the amount of the Phase I data, the suggested EWMA median chart is designed with the bootstrap method which provides a good balance between the in-control and out-of-control ARL values.

[1]  D. A. Evans,et al.  An approach to the probability distribution of cusum run length , 1972 .

[2]  Marion R. Reynolds,et al.  Shewhart x-charts with estimated process variance , 1981 .

[3]  Marcel F. Neuts,et al.  Matrix-geometric solutions in stochastic models - an algorithmic approach , 1982 .

[4]  Gemai Chen,et al.  The run length distributions of the R, s and s2 control charts when is estimated , 1998 .

[5]  Vaidyanathan Ramaswami,et al.  Introduction to Matrix Analytic Methods in Stochastic Modeling , 1999, ASA-SIAM Series on Statistics and Applied Mathematics.

[6]  Tom Burr,et al.  Introduction to Matrix Analytic Methods in Stochastic Modeling , 2001, Technometrics.

[7]  Joseph J. Pignatiello,et al.  On Estimating X̄ Control Chart Limits , 2001 .

[8]  Philippe Castagliola An (X/R)-EWMA Control Chart for Monitoring the Process Sample Median , 2001 .

[9]  Charles W. Champ,et al.  The Performance of Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Charts With Estimated Parameters , 2001, Technometrics.

[10]  L. Allison Jones,et al.  The Statistical Design of EWMA Control Charts with Estimated Parameters , 2002 .

[11]  S. Psarakis,et al.  EFFECT OF ESTIMATION OF THE PROCESS PARAMETERS ON THE CONTROL LIMITS OF THE UNIVARIATE CONTROL CHARTS FOR PROCESS DISPERSION , 2002 .

[12]  Charles W. Champ,et al.  The Run Length Distribution of the CUSUM with Estimated Parameters , 2004 .

[13]  Michael B. C. Khoo,et al.  A Control Chart Based on Sample Median for the Detection of a Permanent Shift in the Process Mean , 2005 .

[14]  Shey-Huei Sheu,et al.  The Generally Weighted Moving Average Median Control Chart , 2006 .

[15]  Charles W. Champ,et al.  Effects of Parameter Estimation on Control Chart Properties: A Literature Review , 2006 .

[16]  Shey-Huei Sheu,et al.  The Generally Weighted Moving Average Control Chart for Monitoring the Process Median , 2006 .

[17]  Hyo-Il Park,et al.  Median Control Charts Based on Bootstrap Method , 2009, Commun. Stat. Simul. Comput..

[18]  Philippe Castagliola,et al.  Computational Statistics and Data Analysis an Ewma Chart for Monitoring the Process Standard Deviation When Parameters Are Estimated , 2022 .

[19]  Giovanni Celano,et al.  THE EXACT RUN LENGTH DISTRIBUTION AND DESIGN OF THE S2 CHART WHEN THE IN-CONTROL VARIANCE IS ESTIMATED , 2009 .

[20]  Giovanna Capizzi,et al.  Combined Shewhart–EWMA control charts with estimated parameters , 2010 .

[21]  M. A. Graham,et al.  A Phase I nonparametric Shewhart-type control chart based on the median , 2010 .

[22]  Christian H. Weiß,et al.  Properties of the exponential EWMA chart with parameter estimation , 2010, Qual. Reliab. Eng. Int..

[23]  Philippe Castagliola,et al.  The synthetic [Xbar] chart with estimated parameters , 2011 .

[24]  Axel Gandy,et al.  Guaranteed Conditional Performance of Control Charts via Bootstrap Methods , 2011, 1111.4180.

[25]  P. Maravelakis,et al.  A CUSUM control chart for monitoring the variance when parameters are estimated , 2011 .

[26]  Philippe Castagliola,et al.  The variable sampling interval X̄ chart with estimated parameters , 2012, Qual. Reliab. Eng. Int..

[27]  Ying Zhang,et al.  The Variable Sample Size X¯ Chart with Estimated Parameters , 2012, Qual. Reliab. Eng. Int..

[28]  Stefan H Steiner,et al.  Assessing the effect of estimation error on risk-adjusted CUSUM chart performance. , 2012, International journal for quality in health care : journal of the International Society for Quality in Health Care.

[29]  Fadel M. Megahed,et al.  Geometric Charts with Estimated Control Limits , 2013, Qual. Reliab. Eng. Int..

[30]  Philippe Castagliola,et al.  The median chart with estimated parameters , 2013 .

[31]  Mahmoud A. Mahmoud,et al.  The performance of multivariate CUSUM control charts with estimated parameters , 2013 .

[32]  Philippe Castagliola,et al.  Some Recent Developments on the Effects of Parameter Estimation on Control Charts , 2014, Qual. Reliab. Eng. Int..

[33]  Min Zhang,et al.  The Poisson INAR(1) one-sided EWMA chart with estimated parameters , 2014 .

[34]  William H. Woodall,et al.  A Reevaluation of the Adaptive Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Control Chart When Parameters are Estimated , 2015, Qual. Reliab. Eng. Int..

[35]  Eugenio K. Epprecht,et al.  Effect of the Amount of Phase I Data on the Phase II Performance of S2 and S Control Charts , 2015 .

[36]  William H. Woodall,et al.  Another Look at the EWMA Control Chart with Estimated Parameters , 2015 .

[37]  William H. Woodall,et al.  The Difficulty in Designing Shewhart X̄ and X Control Charts with Estimated Parameters , 2015 .

[38]  William H. Woodall,et al.  Guaranteed conditional performance of the S2 control chart with estimated parameters , 2015 .

[39]  Michael B. C. Khoo,et al.  Optimal designs of the variable sample size and sampling interval X¯ chart when process parameters are estimated , 2015 .

[40]  Mahmoud A. Mahmoud,et al.  The Performance of the Multivariate Adaptive Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Control Chart with Estimated Parameters , 2016, Qual. Reliab. Eng. Int..

[41]  R. Noorossana,et al.  EWMA Control Chart Performance with Estimated Parameters under Non‐normality , 2016, Qual. Reliab. Eng. Int..

[42]  Philippe Castagliola,et al.  The EWMA median chart with estimated parameters , 2016 .

[43]  Philippe Castagliola,et al.  On the Performance of Shewhart median Chart in the Presence of Measurement Errors , 2017, Qual. Reliab. Eng. Int..

[44]  Philippe Castagliola,et al.  Guaranteed conditional design of the median chart with estimated parameters , 2017, Qual. Reliab. Eng. Int..

[45]  P. Maravelakis,et al.  The CUSUM Median Chart for Known and Estimated Parameters , 2019 .