Modeling and analysis of GPS-TEC low latitude climatology during the 24th solar cycle using empirical orthogonal functions

Abstract The Total Electron Content (TEC) is an essential component describing the temporal and spatial characteristics of the ionosphere. In this paper, an empirical orthogonal function (EOF) model is constructed by using ground based Global Navigational Satellite System (GNSS) TEC observation data at the Bangalore International GNSS Service (IGS) station (geographic – 13.02° N, 77.57° E; geomagnetic latitude 4.4° N) during an extended period (2009–2016) in the 24th solar cycle. EOF model can be decomposed into base functions and its corresponding coefficients. These decomposed modes well represented the influence of solar and geomagnetic activity towards TEC. The first three EOFs modes constitute about 98% of the total variance of the observed data sets. The Fourier Series Analysis (FSA) is carried out to characterize the solar-cycle, annual and semi-annual dependences by modulating the first three EOF coefficients with solar (F10.7) and geomagnetic (Ap and Dst) indices. The TEC model is validated during daytime and nighttime conditions as well as under different solar activity and geomagnetic conditions. A positive correlation (0.85) of averaged daily GPS-TEC with averaged daily F10.7 strongly supports those time-varying characteristics of the ionosphere features depends on the solar activity. Further, the validity and reliability of EOF model is verified by comparing with the GPS-TEC data, and standard global ionospheric models (International Reference Ionosphere, IRI2016 and Standard Plasmasphere-Ionosphere Model, SPIM). The performances of the standard ionospheric models are marked to be relatively better during High Solar Activity (HSA) periods as compared to the Low Solar Activity (LSA) periods.

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